Gardner-Webb
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#240
Expected Predictive Rating-4.1#237
Pace72.5#83
Improvement-3.9#350

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#218
First Shot+0.2#163
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#291
Layup/Dunks+3.5#68
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#249
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#231
Freethrows-0.2#192
Improvement-1.5#296

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#249
First Shot-2.2#247
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#194
Layups/Dunks-3.5#308
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#183
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#105
Freethrows-0.9#247
Improvement-2.4#328
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.0% 8.6% 6.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 24.6% 36.7% 17.0%
.500 or above in Conference 52.6% 59.2% 48.4%
Conference Champion 6.8% 8.5% 5.8%
Last Place in Conference 8.9% 6.8% 10.3%
First Four2.6% 2.2% 2.8%
First Round5.9% 7.7% 4.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Southern (Away) - 38.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 34 - 84 - 12
Quad 49 - 613 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 4   @ Tennessee L 64-80 1%     0 - 1 +7.0 +6.8 -0.3
  Nov 08, 2024 258   @ NC Central W 88-82 44%     1 - 1 +3.5 +9.1 -5.8
  Nov 11, 2024 32   @ Pittsburgh L 64-83 5%     1 - 2 -3.6 -4.3 +1.6
  Nov 15, 2024 149   Elon W 80-79 44%     2 - 2 -1.5 +10.5 -11.9
  Nov 19, 2024 170   @ Charlotte L 54-60 27%     2 - 3 -3.6 -13.8 +9.6
  Nov 26, 2024 230   SE Louisiana W 73-69 49%     3 - 3 +0.3 -1.2 +1.4
  Nov 27, 2024 289   Bethune-Cookman W 79-64 60%     4 - 3 +8.2 +1.1 +6.2
  Nov 29, 2024 129   @ Belmont L 74-83 20%     4 - 4 -4.1 -4.1 +0.6
  Dec 04, 2024 163   @ Wofford L 64-88 26%     4 - 5 -21.4 -5.9 -16.9
  Dec 07, 2024 258   NC Central L 77-78 67%     4 - 6 -9.5 -2.8 -6.7
  Dec 14, 2024 280   Queens L 83-85 69%     4 - 7 -11.2 +6.2 -17.5
  Dec 17, 2024 235   @ Georgia Southern L 76-79 38%    
  Dec 21, 2024 164   @ East Carolina L 68-75 27%    
  Jan 02, 2025 299   @ Charleston Southern W 75-74 51%    
  Jan 04, 2025 250   Presbyterian W 76-72 64%    
  Jan 08, 2025 181   Winthrop L 79-80 50%    
  Jan 11, 2025 134   @ High Point L 72-80 22%    
  Jan 15, 2025 202   @ Radford L 69-74 31%    
  Jan 18, 2025 334   South Carolina Upstate W 84-75 80%    
  Jan 22, 2025 182   UNC Asheville L 75-76 50%    
  Jan 29, 2025 220   Longwood W 75-73 56%    
  Feb 01, 2025 181   @ Winthrop L 77-83 29%    
  Feb 05, 2025 182   @ UNC Asheville L 72-78 29%    
  Feb 08, 2025 299   Charleston Southern W 78-72 71%    
  Feb 15, 2025 334   @ South Carolina Upstate W 81-78 62%    
  Feb 19, 2025 220   @ Longwood L 72-76 35%    
  Feb 22, 2025 134   High Point L 75-77 41%    
  Feb 26, 2025 202   Radford W 72-71 53%    
  Mar 01, 2025 250   @ Presbyterian L 73-75 42%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.7 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 6.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 3.7 3.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 9.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 5.0 4.9 1.2 0.1 12.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 5.3 6.2 1.3 0.1 13.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 5.2 7.1 1.7 0.1 14.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.7 7.1 2.0 0.1 14.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 4.3 5.8 2.0 0.1 13.3 7th
8th 0.2 1.2 3.4 3.9 1.3 0.1 10.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.6 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.7 9th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.9 5.9 9.5 12.6 15.2 15.4 13.7 10.4 6.7 3.9 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
14-2 98.3% 0.6    0.5 0.0
13-3 88.5% 1.5    1.2 0.3 0.0
12-4 61.5% 2.4    1.2 1.0 0.2 0.0
11-5 25.6% 1.7    0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1
10-6 4.3% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 6.8% 6.8 3.6 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.2% 34.6% 34.6% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.6% 30.1% 30.1% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
13-3 1.7% 22.9% 22.9% 14.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.3
12-4 3.9% 19.4% 19.4% 14.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 3.1
11-5 6.7% 15.4% 15.4% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 5.7
10-6 10.4% 11.4% 11.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 9.2
9-7 13.7% 8.5% 8.5% 15.7 0.0 0.4 0.8 12.6
8-8 15.4% 6.1% 6.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.8 14.5
7-9 15.2% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7 14.5
6-10 12.6% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.4 12.2
5-11 9.5% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 9.4
4-12 5.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.8
3-13 2.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.8
2-14 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.0
1-15 0.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.3 3.7 93.0 0.0%