Bethune-Cookman
Southwestern Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#255
Expected Predictive Rating-2.8#217
Pace72.5#81
Improvement-2.2#278

Offense
Total Offense-7.0#343
First Shot-4.9#312
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#297
Layup/Dunks+2.5#93
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#193
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#335
Freethrows-1.6#283
Improvement-1.8#286

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#125
First Shot+3.2#80
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#306
Layups/Dunks+2.3#85
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#183
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#193
Freethrows+0.6#135
Improvement-0.3#202
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.2% 19.7% 13.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 57.8% 59.7% 31.8%
.500 or above in Conference 97.3% 97.8% 90.2%
Conference Champion 16.0% 16.8% 5.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four12.2% 12.3% 11.3%
First Round13.3% 13.7% 7.9%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Pine Bluff (Home) - 93.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 31 - 31 - 10
Quad 415 - 617 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 17   @ Texas Tech L 61-94 2%     0 - 1 -13.8 -2.4 -12.2
  Nov 09, 2024 52   @ Nebraska L 58-63 5%     0 - 2 +8.3 -10.6 +19.2
  Nov 12, 2024 145   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 69-91 19%     0 - 3 -17.9 -8.7 -8.0
  Nov 16, 2024 243   South Carolina St. W 75-62 57%     1 - 3 +5.8 -3.1 +8.6
  Nov 19, 2024 148   @ Tulane L 57-72 19%     1 - 4 -11.1 -13.6 +2.3
  Nov 26, 2024 277   North Dakota W 79-67 55%     2 - 4 +5.5 -1.7 +7.1
  Nov 27, 2024 239   Gardner-Webb L 64-79 46%     2 - 5 -19.4 -15.2 -3.2
  Dec 01, 2024 98   @ Minnesota L 62-79 11%     2 - 6 -9.2 -1.4 -9.3
  Dec 12, 2024 107   @ Virginia L 41-59 14%     2 - 7 -11.8 -16.8 +1.0
  Dec 14, 2024 32   @ West Virginia L 61-84 4%     2 - 8 -7.3 -2.9 -4.2
  Dec 18, 2024 154   @ South Florida W 77-69 20%     3 - 8 +11.4 +8.2 +3.5
  Dec 21, 2024 121   @ Davidson L 63-76 16%     3 - 9 -7.6 -8.8 +1.0
  Dec 30, 2024 23   @ Mississippi St. L 73-87 3%     3 - 10 +3.9 +7.7 -3.9
  Jan 04, 2025 360   @ Florida A&M W 62-55 74%     4 - 10 1 - 0 -4.9 -9.0 +4.8
  Jan 11, 2025 325   @ Grambling St. W 65-59 57%     5 - 10 2 - 0 -1.3 -9.5 +8.3
  Jan 13, 2025 219   @ Southern L 53-69 32%     5 - 11 2 - 1 -16.5 -19.3 +3.7
  Jan 18, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 83-58 97%     6 - 11 3 - 1 -3.0 +2.2 -3.9
  Jan 20, 2025 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 86-70 93%    
  Jan 25, 2025 278   @ Jackson St. L 67-69 44%    
  Jan 27, 2025 332   @ Alcorn St. W 69-66 60%    
  Feb 01, 2025 299   Alabama St. W 74-69 69%    
  Feb 03, 2025 358   Alabama A&M W 77-65 88%    
  Feb 08, 2025 330   @ Prairie View W 76-73 59%    
  Feb 10, 2025 300   @ Texas Southern L 69-70 47%    
  Feb 15, 2025 332   Alcorn St. W 71-63 79%    
  Feb 17, 2025 278   Jackson St. W 70-66 65%    
  Feb 22, 2025 358   @ Alabama A&M W 74-67 72%    
  Feb 24, 2025 299   @ Alabama St. L 71-72 48%    
  Mar 01, 2025 219   Southern W 68-67 54%    
  Mar 03, 2025 325   Grambling St. W 70-63 76%    
  Mar 08, 2025 360   Florida A&M W 75-63 87%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.2 4.2 6.1 3.6 0.9 16.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.9 8.6 9.2 3.4 0.5 23.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.8 9.7 8.5 2.3 0.2 23.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 7.0 6.0 1.2 0.0 15.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.2 4.3 0.8 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.1 3.0 0.7 5.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 1.7 0.5 0.0 3.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 4.8 9.3 14.9 18.4 19.5 15.8 9.7 4.0 0.9 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.9    0.8 0.1
16-2 88.5% 3.6    2.7 0.9 0.0
15-3 63.0% 6.1    3.0 2.5 0.5 0.0
14-4 26.8% 4.2    1.3 1.9 0.9 0.1 0.0
13-5 6.1% 1.2    0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 16.0% 16.0 8.0 5.7 2.0 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.9% 45.7% 45.7% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-2 4.0% 36.2% 36.2% 15.2 0.1 0.9 0.4 2.6
15-3 9.7% 29.8% 29.8% 15.7 0.1 0.8 2.0 6.8
14-4 15.8% 24.3% 24.3% 15.9 0.3 3.5 12.0
13-5 19.5% 20.4% 20.4% 16.0 0.2 3.8 15.5
12-6 18.4% 16.5% 16.5% 16.0 0.1 3.0 15.4
11-7 14.9% 14.4% 14.4% 16.0 2.1 12.8
10-8 9.3% 11.0% 11.0% 16.0 1.0 8.3
9-9 4.8% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.3 4.5
8-10 1.9% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.1 1.8
7-11 0.6% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6
6-12 0.1% 0.1
5-13
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 19.2% 19.2% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.4 16.3 80.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 14.0 2.4 23.8 50.0 21.4 2.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%