Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#223
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#192
Pace69.0#175
Improvement+2.3#51

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#292
First Shot-1.9#228
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#305
Layup/Dunks+3.1#79
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#291
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#261
Freethrows-0.5#210
Improvement+0.9#104

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#139
First Shot+4.3#59
After Offensive Rebounds-3.3#349
Layups/Dunks-0.3#178
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#20
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#182
Freethrows+1.9#59
Improvement+1.4#75
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 29.5% 40.9% 29.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.4 15.3
.500 or above 75.9% 93.4% 75.4%
.500 or above in Conference 95.3% 98.5% 95.2%
Conference Champion 42.8% 58.7% 42.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four8.8% 3.7% 8.9%
First Round25.3% 38.8% 24.9%
Second Round0.8% 1.8% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi (Away) - 3.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 11 - 5
Quad 31 - 22 - 7
Quad 415 - 617 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 228   @ South Dakota L 79-93 40%     0 - 1 -14.6 -7.7 -5.3
  Nov 07, 2024 43   @ Iowa L 74-89 6%     0 - 2 -0.9 +2.4 -2.7
  Nov 13, 2024 357   @ Texas A&M - Commerce L 68-70 76%     0 - 3 -12.5 -9.7 -2.8
  Nov 20, 2024 24   @ Texas A&M L 54-71 4%     0 - 4 -0.1 -5.5 +4.1
  Nov 30, 2024 101   @ Louisiana Tech W 73-70 15%     1 - 4 +11.0 +4.0 +7.0
  Dec 07, 2024 247   @ Tulsa W 70-66 44%     2 - 4 +2.2 +1.4 +1.1
  Dec 17, 2024 26   @ Mississippi L 61-81 3%    
  Dec 20, 2024 189   @ Loyola Marymount L 65-70 33%    
  Dec 22, 2024 80   @ USC L 63-76 11%    
  Dec 30, 2024 52   @ Nebraska L 62-78 6%    
  Jan 04, 2025 300   @ Texas Southern W 71-70 55%    
  Jan 06, 2025 340   @ Prairie View W 80-75 67%    
  Jan 11, 2025 355   Florida A&M W 74-61 88%    
  Jan 13, 2025 289   Bethune-Cookman W 72-65 73%    
  Jan 18, 2025 287   Grambling St. W 70-64 72%    
  Jan 25, 2025 362   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-72 84%    
  Jan 27, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 72-57 91%    
  Feb 01, 2025 343   Alcorn St. W 74-63 84%    
  Feb 03, 2025 311   Jackson St. W 73-65 76%    
  Feb 08, 2025 361   @ Alabama A&M W 76-67 78%    
  Feb 10, 2025 275   @ Alabama St. L 72-73 49%    
  Feb 15, 2025 340   Prairie View W 83-72 83%    
  Feb 17, 2025 300   Texas Southern W 74-67 74%    
  Feb 22, 2025 287   @ Grambling St. W 68-67 52%    
  Mar 01, 2025 289   @ Bethune-Cookman W 69-68 52%    
  Mar 03, 2025 355   @ Florida A&M W 71-64 72%    
  Mar 06, 2025 275   Alabama St. W 75-69 70%    
  Mar 08, 2025 361   Alabama A&M W 79-64 90%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 3.6 9.0 12.0 10.2 5.8 1.7 42.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.6 7.4 5.8 2.0 0.2 0.0 19.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.5 3.5 0.6 0.0 12.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 4.1 2.6 0.4 0.0 8.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.8 2.2 0.3 0.0 6.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.7 0.3 0.0 4.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 2.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.5 4.4 6.6 9.6 12.6 14.9 15.4 14.0 10.4 5.8 1.7 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.7    1.7
17-1 100.0% 5.8    5.7 0.1
16-2 98.0% 10.2    9.3 0.9 0.0
15-3 85.7% 12.0    8.9 2.9 0.2
14-4 58.3% 9.0    4.3 3.7 0.9 0.1 0.0
13-5 23.9% 3.6    0.8 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0
12-6 4.4% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 42.8% 42.8 30.8 9.3 2.2 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.7% 61.0% 61.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7
17-1 5.8% 54.0% 54.0% 14.2 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.1 0.1 2.7
16-2 10.4% 46.5% 46.5% 14.7 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.3 0.8 5.6
15-3 14.0% 38.5% 38.5% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.5 2.0 8.6
14-4 15.4% 33.7% 33.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.3 10.2
13-5 14.9% 27.4% 27.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.3 10.8
12-6 12.6% 21.0% 21.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.5 9.9
11-7 9.6% 17.6% 17.6% 16.0 0.0 1.7 7.9
10-8 6.6% 14.6% 14.6% 16.0 0.0 1.0 5.6
9-9 4.4% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 0.4 4.0
8-10 2.5% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.1 2.3
7-11 1.2% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 1.2
6-12 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.6
5-13 0.2% 0.2
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 29.5% 29.5% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.4 4.1 8.6 15.2 70.5 0.0%