Iowa
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.1#45
Expected Predictive Rating+5.0#100
Pace77.7#26
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+8.9#14
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#132
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.8% 0.8% 0.5%
Top 2 Seed 2.1% 2.1% 0.5%
Top 4 Seed 7.5% 7.5% 0.5%
Top 6 Seed 16.2% 16.3% 3.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 45.2% 45.4% 14.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 43.1% 43.3% 12.9%
Average Seed 7.3 7.3 7.9
.500 or above 75.6% 75.8% 40.7%
.500 or above in Conference 49.3% 49.5% 24.3%
Conference Champion 4.1% 4.2% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 7.2% 7.1% 18.5%
First Four4.0% 4.1% 1.6%
First Round43.1% 43.3% 12.7%
Second Round25.4% 25.5% 5.8%
Sweet Sixteen9.8% 9.9% 1.1%
Elite Eight4.1% 4.1% 1.1%
Final Four1.6% 1.6% 0.0%
Championship Game0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas A&M - Commerce (Home) - 99.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 44 - 9
Quad 25 - 39 - 13
Quad 33 - 112 - 13
Quad 47 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 353   Texas A&M - Commerce W 90-64 99%    
  Nov 07, 2024 273   Southern W 89-74 95%     1 - 0 +6.1 +10.3 -4.9
  Nov 12, 2024 252   South Dakota W 96-77 94%     2 - 0 +11.6 +12.4 -1.7
  Nov 15, 2024 75   Washington St. W 85-82 59%    
  Nov 19, 2024 227   Rider W 88-72 94%    
  Nov 22, 2024 43   Utah St. L 83-84 48%    
  Nov 26, 2024 316   South Carolina Upstate W 93-71 98%    
  Dec 03, 2024 50   Northwestern W 78-75 62%    
  Dec 07, 2024 25   @ Michigan L 78-84 30%    
  Dec 12, 2024 11   Iowa St. L 76-79 39%    
  Dec 15, 2024 347   New Orleans W 97-72 99%    
  Dec 21, 2024 51   Utah W 83-82 52%    
  Dec 30, 2024 326   New Hampshire W 94-71 98%    
  Jan 03, 2025 38   @ Wisconsin L 76-80 36%    
  Jan 07, 2025 67   Nebraska W 82-77 67%    
  Jan 11, 2025 24   Indiana W 82-81 51%    
  Jan 14, 2025 65   @ USC L 82-83 45%    
  Jan 17, 2025 30   @ UCLA L 71-76 32%    
  Jan 21, 2025 88   Minnesota W 81-74 72%    
  Jan 24, 2025 36   Penn St. W 86-84 56%    
  Jan 27, 2025 17   @ Ohio St. L 75-82 28%    
  Feb 04, 2025 15   Purdue L 81-82 45%    
  Feb 08, 2025 38   Wisconsin W 79-77 57%    
  Feb 12, 2025 37   @ Rutgers L 76-80 36%    
  Feb 16, 2025 31   @ Maryland L 74-79 34%    
  Feb 19, 2025 39   Oregon W 80-78 58%    
  Feb 22, 2025 79   Washington W 86-80 69%    
  Feb 25, 2025 20   @ Illinois L 81-87 30%    
  Feb 28, 2025 50   @ Northwestern L 75-78 41%    
  Mar 06, 2025 27   Michigan St. W 80-79 51%    
  Mar 09, 2025 67   @ Nebraska L 79-80 46%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 1.6 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.1 3rd
4th 0.2 1.5 2.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 2.9 1.6 0.2 0.0 5.6 5th
6th 0.3 2.5 2.5 0.4 0.0 5.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 3.5 1.1 0.0 6.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.3 2.3 0.2 0.0 6.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 3.5 0.8 0.0 6.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.6 2.1 0.1 6.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.8 3.6 0.6 0.0 6.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 3.4 1.9 0.1 0.0 6.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.9 0.4 0.0 6.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.3 1.2 0.0 6.2 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.6 2.1 0.3 0.0 6.0 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.1 2.1 0.6 0.0 5.5 16th
17th 0.1 0.6 1.7 1.8 0.7 0.1 5.0 17th
18th 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 4.0 18th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 3.5 5.4 7.5 9.3 10.3 11.6 11.2 10.1 8.6 7.2 5.1 3.4 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 92.9% 0.4    0.4 0.0
17-3 86.1% 0.9    0.6 0.2 0.0
16-4 56.5% 1.1    0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 31.4% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-6 8.0% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 2.1 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 41.9% 58.1% 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.5% 100.0% 32.9% 67.1% 1.9 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.0% 100.0% 24.4% 75.6% 2.4 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 2.0% 100.0% 21.1% 78.9% 3.5 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 3.4% 99.9% 18.1% 81.8% 4.3 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
14-6 5.1% 99.3% 11.7% 87.6% 5.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
13-7 7.2% 97.6% 7.7% 89.9% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.4 1.8 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.2 97.4%
12-8 8.6% 90.8% 4.0% 86.8% 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.6 1.8 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.8 90.4%
11-9 10.1% 78.1% 2.2% 75.9% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.6 2.1 1.7 0.9 0.1 2.2 77.6%
10-10 11.2% 55.2% 1.8% 53.4% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.2 1.8 1.5 0.1 5.0 54.4%
9-11 11.6% 27.6% 1.0% 26.6% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.3 0.2 8.4 26.9%
8-12 10.3% 8.1% 0.4% 7.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 9.4 7.8%
7-13 9.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.6% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.2 0.6%
6-14 7.5% 7.5
5-15 5.4% 5.4
4-16 3.5% 3.5
3-17 2.0% 2.0
2-18 0.9% 0.9
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 45.2% 3.6% 41.6% 7.3 0.8 1.3 2.4 3.0 4.0 4.7 5.8 6.3 6.1 5.6 4.5 0.7 54.8 43.1%