Utah
Big 12
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.5#51
Expected Predictive Rating+0.2#191
Pace73.2#78
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.1#53
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#63
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 1.0% 1.7% 0.5%
Top 4 Seed 4.4% 7.5% 2.4%
Top 6 Seed 10.7% 17.2% 6.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 35.9% 49.1% 27.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 35.0% 48.1% 26.9%
Average Seed 7.7 7.4 8.0
.500 or above 72.0% 85.1% 63.9%
.500 or above in Conference 37.0% 45.8% 31.5%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.7% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 9.3% 6.1% 11.4%
First Four3.7% 4.2% 3.3%
First Round34.1% 47.0% 26.0%
Second Round19.4% 28.0% 14.0%
Sweet Sixteen7.2% 11.3% 4.7%
Elite Eight2.8% 4.4% 1.8%
Final Four1.1% 1.8% 0.7%
Championship Game0.4% 0.8% 0.2%
National Champion0.2% 0.3% 0.1%

Next Game: Mississippi St. (Neutral) - 38.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 11
Quad 24 - 38 - 13
Quad 32 - 111 - 14
Quad 48 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 352   Alcorn St. W 100-59 98%     1 - 0 +25.0 +23.5 +3.9
  Nov 07, 2024 346   Central Arkansas W 98-63 98%     2 - 0 +19.8 +8.6 +7.9
  Nov 12, 2024 297   Queens W 96-65 95%     3 - 0 +21.0 +10.8 +7.7
  Nov 17, 2024 26   Mississippi St. L 75-78 38%    
  Nov 22, 2024 301   Utah Tech W 87-67 97%    
  Nov 26, 2024 364   Mississippi Valley W 85-53 99.9%   
  Nov 30, 2024 228   Eastern Washington W 89-73 92%    
  Dec 07, 2024 40   St. Mary's W 72-70 56%    
  Dec 14, 2024 254   Radford W 83-66 94%    
  Dec 17, 2024 355   Florida A&M W 87-60 99%    
  Dec 21, 2024 45   Iowa L 82-83 48%    
  Dec 31, 2024 13   @ Baylor L 70-79 22%    
  Jan 04, 2025 14   Texas Tech L 73-75 42%    
  Jan 07, 2025 11   @ Iowa St. L 67-77 20%    
  Jan 11, 2025 87   Oklahoma St. W 78-72 70%    
  Jan 15, 2025 53   @ TCU L 75-78 40%    
  Jan 18, 2025 32   BYU W 78-77 52%    
  Jan 21, 2025 2   @ Houston L 62-75 13%    
  Jan 25, 2025 13   Baylor L 73-76 41%    
  Jan 28, 2025 22   Cincinnati L 74-75 49%    
  Feb 01, 2025 87   @ Oklahoma St. L 75-76 50%    
  Feb 05, 2025 76   Colorado W 76-71 66%    
  Feb 08, 2025 57   @ West Virginia L 74-76 42%    
  Feb 11, 2025 22   @ Cincinnati L 71-77 29%    
  Feb 15, 2025 5   Kansas L 75-81 29%    
  Feb 17, 2025 42   Kansas St. W 74-72 57%    
  Feb 23, 2025 66   @ Central Florida L 74-76 44%    
  Feb 26, 2025 8   @ Arizona L 75-86 18%    
  Mar 01, 2025 72   Arizona St. W 77-72 66%    
  Mar 04, 2025 57   West Virginia W 77-73 62%    
  Mar 08, 2025 32   @ BYU L 74-80 32%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.1 3rd
4th 0.2 1.3 1.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 2.3 1.3 0.2 0.0 5.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 2.9 2.1 0.3 0.0 6.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.1 2.9 0.6 0.0 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.5 3.9 1.2 0.1 8.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 4.4 2.2 0.2 0.0 8.5 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 3.9 3.0 0.5 0.0 8.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.3 4.0 1.0 0.1 8.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.1 1.6 0.1 8.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.8 2.2 0.3 0.0 8.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.2 2.3 0.5 0.0 7.6 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.7 2.0 0.5 0.0 7.0 15th
16th 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.0 5.3 16th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.8 3.2 5.5 7.6 9.7 11.3 11.8 11.5 10.8 8.8 6.7 4.5 3.0 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 90.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-2 97.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
17-3 66.7% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 38.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 12.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 18.2% 81.8% 1.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.4% 100.0% 15.8% 84.2% 2.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.9% 100.0% 12.8% 87.2% 3.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.7% 99.8% 10.0% 89.8% 4.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
14-6 3.0% 99.8% 6.4% 93.4% 5.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
13-7 4.5% 98.6% 4.3% 94.3% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.5%
12-8 6.7% 93.1% 2.5% 90.6% 7.4 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.5 92.9%
11-9 8.8% 82.8% 1.5% 81.3% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.9 1.7 1.3 0.5 0.0 1.5 82.5%
10-10 10.8% 60.5% 0.8% 59.7% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.6 1.6 1.2 0.1 4.3 60.2%
9-11 11.5% 31.8% 0.6% 31.3% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 7.8 31.4%
8-12 11.8% 10.9% 0.2% 10.7% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 10.5 10.8%
7-13 11.3% 2.0% 2.0% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.0 2.0%
6-14 9.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.7 0.1%
5-15 7.6% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 7.6 0.0%
4-16 5.5% 5.5
3-17 3.2% 3.2
2-18 1.8% 1.8
1-19 0.6% 0.6
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 35.9% 1.3% 34.6% 7.7 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.0 2.8 3.5 4.7 5.8 5.3 4.8 4.0 0.7 0.0 64.1 35.0%