Utah
Big 12
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +3.9 110
Expected Predictive Rating +2.0 132
Pace 69.5 158
Improvement +1.3 130

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- #87 B C- B- C+ B-
Defense C #161 C+ C+ D+ B C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 48 61% 99 +4.4 44
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 232 36% 244 -1.4 257
Three Pointers 39% 229 39% 21 +1.6 120
1st FG Attempt 1.11 57 +4.6 57
Second Chance 30.3% 190 0.96 278 0.29 223
Turnovers 15.4% 90
Freethrows 0.31 167 74% 135 0.23 145
Total Offense +3.7 87

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 74 56% 139 -1.8 239
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 169 41% 290 -0.8 253
Three Pointers 36% 310 32% 99 +3.3 52
1st FG Attempt 1.00 156 +0.7 155
Second Chance 29.6% 143 1.02 178 0.30 154
Turnovers 15.3% 279
Freethrows 0.26 55 69% 35 0.18 42
Total Defense +0.2 161

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.7 90 +0.3 219
Shot Type Accuracy +3.7 66 -1.0 143
Possession Length 17.4 191 16.8 106
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 101 0.14 92
Improvement -0.8 #234 +2.1 #74

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 61% 38% 65%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Cincinnati (Away) - 15.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b0 - 60 - 12
Quad 23 - 53 - 17
Quad 32 - 26 - 19
Quad 45 - 111 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 236 San Jose St. W 84 - 75 85% +5  83% 1 - 0 C+ +2 C+ +3 B+ D+ B C- -2 D+ B C
 Sat, Nov 8 232 Weber St. W 92 - 89 OT 84% -3  29% 2 - 0 C- -4 D -5 F B+ B- C+ +1 B+ F C+
 Mon, Nov 10 321 Holy Cross W 87 - 69 93% +9  89% 3 - 0 B- +5 B +7 B D A C -1 C C+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 121 Sam Houston St. W 85 - 79 66% +9  94% 4 - 0 B- +6 B- +5 B+ D D- C+ +1 B- A F+
 Tue, Nov 18 242 Purdue Fort Wayne W 85 - 77 86% +9  97% 5 - 0 C +0 A- +10 A F A- F+ -9 D- C- C
 Thu, Nov 20 265 Cal Poly L 85 - 92 88% -7  5% 5 - 1 F+ -16 F -10 C- F D- D+ -5 F C- B-
 Tue, Nov 25 68 Grand Canyon L 58 - 68 34% -6  3% 5 - 2 C- -2 D- -8 C- B D B +5 A+ A- F
 Wed, Nov 26 65 Mississippi W 75 - 74 33% +3  58% 6 - 2 B +9 A- +10 A+ F D C -0 D+ D- A-
 Tue, Dec 2 73 @California L 72 - 79 26% -1  28% 6 - 3 C+ +4 B- +4 B C B- C -0 C+ D+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 138 California Baptist W 91 - 85 71% +4  96% 7 - 3 C+ +4 A+ +16 B+ A B+ F -12 B- F C-
 Sat, Dec 13 79 Mississippi St. L 74 - 82 38% +6  73% 7 - 4 C -1 B- +4 A D- F D+ -5 F A+ F+
 Sat, Dec 20 229 Eastern Washington W 101 - 77 84% +11  94% 8 - 4 A- +17 A+ +19 A+ B+ B C- -2 B+ B- F
 Mon, Dec 29 46 @Washington L 65 - 74 16% -3  13% 8 - 5 B- +5 D+ -2 D+ A- D+ B+ +8 C+ A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 3 2 Arizona L 78 - 97 6% -15  1% 8 - 6 0 - 1 C+ +3 B+ +8 B B+ B+ D+ -4 C+ D+ D-
 Wed, Jan 7 77 @Colorado L 73 - 85 26% -6  1% 8 - 7 0 - 2 C -2 C +1 F+ B A+ C- -2 C+ C- B-
 Sat, Jan 10 21 BYU L 84 - 89 16% -4  16% 8 - 8 0 - 3 B +10 B+ +9 B A- A C+ +1 A- D+ B-
 Wed, Jan 14 16 @Texas Tech L 74 - 88 6% -11  1% 8 - 9 0 - 4 B- +7 B +6 A D+ C C+ +1 D+ D+ C
 Sat, Jan 17 50 TCU W 82 - 79 35% +6  96% 9 - 9 1 - 4 B +11 A+ +15 A+ B B- D+ -4 D A+ F+
 Tue, Jan 20 101 @Kansas St. L 78 - 81 34% -2  29% 9 - 10 1 - 5 B- +5 B +6 B+ C- A+ C -1 F+ A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 24 21 @BYU L 78 - 91 7% -6  1% 9 - 11 1 - 6 B- +8 A+ +16 A+ F A+ F+ -10 B- F D+
 Sat, Jan 31 59 Oklahoma St. L 69 - 81 41% -1  29% 9 - 12 1 - 7 D+ -6 D+ -2 C- F A+ D+ -4 C- C D-
 Wed, Feb 4 69 Arizona St. L 63 - 71 45% -10  1% 9 - 13 1 - 8 C- -3 D -5 F+ A- D+ C+ +2 A+ F F
 Sat, Feb 7 12 @Kansas L 59 - 71 6% -6  10% 9 - 14 1 - 9 B +10 C- -2 B+ D- D- A +11 B- A+ C+
 Tue, Feb 10 5 Houston L 52 - 66 8% -12  1% 9 - 15 1 - 10 B- +6 D -4 C+ D- B- B+ +7 B+ B D-
 Sun, Feb 15 45 @Cincinnati L 67 - 78 15%
 Wed, Feb 18 56 @West Virginia L 64 - 73 20%
 Sat, Feb 21 52 Central Florida L 79 - 83 37%
 Tue, Feb 24 8 Iowa St. L 69 - 83 9%
 Sat, Feb 28 69 @Arizona St. L 76 - 83 25%
 Tue, Mar 3 77 Colorado L 79 - 80 48%
 Sat, Mar 7 42 @Baylor L 74 - 86 14%
Totals 11 - 20 3 - 15 +4 B- +4 B C- B- C +0 C+ C+ D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- B- C- A- B 44% 18% 39% B- B C D+ C- B- C C+ C+ C C+ D+ B- C+ 43% 21% 36% C- C+ C+ C C+ D+ B B+ B
1.14 61% 36% 39% +4 +1 1.11 30% 1.0 .29 15% .31 74% .23 1.08 56% 41% 32% -1 0 1.00 30% 1.0 .30 15% .26 69% .21
Nov
3		 San Jose St. C+ B+ F A+ B+ 45% 14% 41% B- B+ C+ F+ D+ B B F C- C- D A C+ C 47% 20% 33% F D+ C A- B C C- A+ A-
1.20 70% 14% 43% +7 +1 1.20 36% 1.0 .36 16% .32 63% .20 1.07 62% 27% 33% -1 +1 1.02 33% 0.8 .28 16% .30 50% .15
Nov
8		 Weber St. D F F F F 52% 8% 40% A- F B B- B+ B- A+ F+ B+ C+ C+ A+ A+ A 60% 12% 28% F+ B+ D- F F C+ D- A+ C
1.08 50% 20% 24% -12 +3 0.84 35% 1.2 .43 15% .44 66% .29 1.04 54% 14% 25% -9 +3 0.90 36% 1.2 .43 18% .40 61% .24
Nov
10		 Holy Cross B A- A C B- 44% 11% 44% B B D- C+ D A B- A- B+ C A+ F C C 32% 23% 45% D C A F C+ F F+ A+ B
1.26 71% 50% 33% +7 +2 1.19 23% 1.1 .27 9% .30 79% .24 1.00 41% 58% 33% -1 -1 0.98 13% 1.4 .18 12% .34 48% .16
Nov
15		 Sam Houston St. B- C- A+ B B 48% 6% 46% A+ B+ A+ F D D- A+ A+ A+ C+ A F+ C- B 46% 18% 36% D+ B- A- A- A F+ B+ F C+
1.15 57% 67% 36% +3 +3 1.13 43% 0.6 .24 20% .51 80% .41 1.07 46% 45% 36% -3 +1 0.98 29% 0.8 .24 14% .20 85% .17
Nov
18		 Purdue Fort Wayne A- A- D+ A+ A+ 35% 12% 53% C A C F F A- A B A F+ F+ A+ D D- 45% 11% 44% F+ D- F A+ C- C A D A-
1.28 71% 33% 46% +14 +1 1.31 34% 0.7 .24 17% .34 79% .27 1.16 68% 17% 38% +5 +2 1.15 34% 0.7 .23 15% .14 75% .11
Nov
20		 Cal Poly F D+ C+ C- D+ 47% 8% 45% A- C- F D+ F D- B A A- D+ A C F F 56% 6% 38% F F B- F+ C- B- F A+ D
1.02 57% 40% 33% -1 +2 1.05 16% 1.0 .16 19% .33 82% .27 1.10 45% 33% 60% +7 +3 1.23 28% 1.1 .31 23% .48 58% .28
Nov
25		 Grand Canyon D- D F C- D+ 50% 19% 31% A C- C A+ B D C+ F D+ B F A+ A+ A+ 44% 36% 20% A+ A+ A+ C+ A- F F A- F
0.86 48% 25% 31% -9 +1 0.86 26% 1.4 .35 21% .34 61% .21 1.01 73% 17% 0% -11 -2 0.76 24% 1.0 .24 9% .52 69% .36
Nov
26		 Mississippi A- A+ F A+ A+ 35% 28% 37% C- A+ B- F F D B+ B+ A- C F D- A+ D- 30% 43% 26% B D+ F+ C D- A- C- F D
1.15 75% 23% 53% +12 -1 1.24 33% 0.4 .13 20% .38 75% .29 1.13 86% 45% 25% +8 -4 1.11 37% 1.1 .41 17% .31 82% .26
Dec
2		 California B- B- D C- B- 41% 11% 48% B B C- B- C B- B- A B+ C C+ F C C 38% 28% 34% C+ C+ C+ F+ D+ C F+ F F
1.06 59% 33% 31% -2 +1 1.00 26% 1.0 .26 15% .33 74% .24 1.16 58% 50% 35% +4 -1 1.08 27% 1.3 .33 15% .41 92% .38
Dec
6		 California Baptist A+ C A+ C+ B+ 41% 22% 37% C B+ B- A+ A B+ A+ B+ A+ F D A+ A- B- 42% 25% 34% B+ B- F F F C- C- A B-
1.29 55% 55% 33% +2 0 1.06 29% 1.3 .38 13% .60 78% .47 1.20 59% 23% 28% -6 0 0.89 53% 1.3 .72 17% .32 63% .20
Dec
13		 Mississippi St. B- A+ F+ B A 36% 21% 43% B+ A C F D- F A+ C+ A+ D+ C- B- F F 48% 14% 38% F F A A+ A+ F+ A+ B- A+
1.06 71% 30% 35% +4 0 1.09 25% 0.6 .16 20% .43 75% .32 1.17 63% 38% 48% +10 +2 1.25 24% 0.6 .15 11% .15 67% .10
Dec
20		 Eastern Washington A+ A+ C A+ A+ 46% 13% 40% B- A+ F A+ B+ B D D- D- C- C A+ B- B+ 35% 25% 40% B- B+ F A+ B- F C- B+ C
1.43 83% 43% 52% +24 +1 1.52 24% 2.0 .48 14% .28 71% .20 1.09 57% 27% 33% -3 -1 0.93 41% 0.7 .30 14% .31 68% .21
Dec
29		 Washington D+ C+ F+ C- C- 23% 40% 37% F D+ A- B A- D+ C- F D B+ D F A+ C 36% 34% 30% B C+ A+ F A+ C- D F F+
0.95 58% 29% 32% -5 -4 0.85 33% 1.1 .36 17% .25 57% .14 1.08 67% 59% 20% +4 -2 1.06 15% 1.5 .23 15% .34 85% .29
Jan
3		 Arizona B+ C- A+ F B- 49% 25% 25% A B B- A+ B+ B+ D- A+ C+ D+ B- F D+ B 53% 20% 27% F+ C+ C D D+ D- B+ D+ B
1.03 48% 50% 25% -5 0 0.92 26% 1.1 .28 16% .19 92% .17 1.28 61% 50% 38% +6 +1 1.15 41% 1.1 .44 12% .31 76% .24
Jan
7		 Colorado C F+ C- F F 53% 30% 17% C+ F+ B+ C- B A+ A- D+ B+ C- C+ F B B- 44% 12% 44% F+ C+ D- B C- B- D+ F F
1.04 46% 38% 22% -9 0 0.83 33% 1.1 .36 10% .37 70% .25 1.22 59% 67% 32% +3 +2 1.10 38% 0.8 .32 16% .36 90% .32
Jan
10		 BYU B+ C+ B D B 39% 30% 30% B B C+ A+ A- A A A+ A+ C+ C F A+ A+ 46% 11% 43% F A- D C D+ B- F A+ F+
1.14 59% 41% 29% -1 -1 0.98 29% 1.4 .40 12% .33 86% .28 1.21 64% 67% 22% -2 +2 1.02 41% 1.2 .49 15% .46 66% .30
Jan
14		 Texas Tech B C+ F A+ A- 36% 23% 42% A- A D- B- D+ C C+ B B- C+ C+ F F+ D 26% 24% 50% B D+ C- C- D+ C A+ A+ A+
1.03 58% 8% 50% +3 0 1.08 18% 1.0 .18 18% .29 71% .20 1.23 60% 64% 41% +12 -1 1.24 37% 1.1 .40 15% .08 60% .05
Jan
17		 TCU A+ A B+ A- A+ 36% 18% 46% C+ A+ A+ F+ B B- A+ F A- D+ F B- A D 61% 18% 22% F+ D A- A+ A+ F+ D+ B C-
1.20 67% 44% 39% +8 0 1.18 40% 0.9 .34 19% .40 59% .23 1.15 71% 33% 27% +5 +2 1.16 28% 0.7 .19 12% .36 68% .25
Jan
20		 Kansas St. B D- A+ A A- 42% 22% 36% C+ B+ C- C+ C- A+ F F F C A+ F F F 31% 37% 31% A+ F+ A+ A A+ D+ A B- A
1.13 48% 58% 40% +4 0 1.09 31% 1.2 .38 13% .17 60% .10 1.17 41% 60% 59% +15 -3 1.26 23% 0.9 .19 14% .17 70% .12
Jan
24		 BYU A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ 13% 50% 37% F A+ F+ F F A+ D- A+ C+ F+ F A+ F C 27% 35% 37% A+ B- F+ F+ F D+ F+ F F
1.21 71% 33% 65% +17 -6 1.24 19% 0.3 .06 9% .19 100% .19 1.41 79% 28% 42% +7 -3 1.10 44% 1.4 .59 12% .41 83% .34
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Oklahoma St. D+ C- C+ F+ C- 46% 19% 35% C+ C- D+ F F A+ A+ D A D+ B F F C- 55% 11% 35% D+ C- D B C D- A+ B+ A+
1.02 54% 40% 28% -5 +1 0.94 25% 0.6 .15 12% .40 67% .27 1.19 53% 50% 42% +3 +2 1.13 35% 0.9 .32 12% .22 69% .15
Feb
4		 Arizona St. D F A+ D F 39% 14% 47% B F+ B A- A- D+ D F F+ C+ A+ F A+ A+ 37% 25% 37% B A+ C- F F F F+ F F
0.98 32% 57% 30% -10 +1 0.84 37% 1.2 .45 22% .26 62% .16 1.11 37% 54% 21% -11 -1 0.78 34% 1.5 .51 9% .43 88% .38
Feb
7		 Kansas C- A F D+ B+ 41% 24% 35% B- B+ D- F D- D- A- D B+ A F F+ A+ B- 42% 26% 32% C+ B- A+ B A+ C+ B B- B
0.88 65% 17% 29% -5 0 0.92 19% 0.6 .11 18% .29 63% .18 1.06 76% 46% 19% +2 0 1.06 22% 1.1 .25 15% .28 75% .21
Feb
10		 Houston D A+ F+ F C 42% 19% 40% B+ C+ F+ D D- B- C- B- C B+ A+ C D A 33% 20% 47% F B+ B+ C+ B D- A- A+ A+
0.89 78% 25% 12% -7 +1 0.88 20% 0.8 .16 22% .31 71% .22 1.12 47% 40% 38% -1 0 1.00 34% 1.0 .34 9% .19 50% .09



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.5 11th
12th 0.7 0.5 1.2 12th
13th 0.4 2.1 0.2 2.7 13th
14th 0.1 5.0 1.6 0.0 6.7 14th
15th 2.6 15.6 24.5 10.7 0.3 53.6 15th
16th 13.5 15.4 6.0 0.3 35.2 16th
Total 16.0 31.0 30.6 16.4 4.7 1.1 0.1 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 0.1% 0.1
6-12 1.1% 1.1
5-13 4.7% 4.7
4-14 16.4% 16.4
3-15 30.6% 30.6
2-16 31.0% 31.0
1-17 16.0% 16.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 16.0%