Kansas St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +5.1 101
Expected Predictive Rating +4.4 99
Pace 76.9 20
Improvement -7.3 358

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- #88 B B- C+ D B-
Defense C+ #125 B- D- B- C+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 115 64% 61 +3.9 54
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 237 34% 299 -1.8 269
Three Pointers 42% 165 38% 24 +3.1 79
1st FG Attempt 1.12 48 +5.2 48
Second Chance 34.0% 83 1.07 112 0.36 80
Turnovers 16.2% 138
Freethrows 0.26 319 72% 182 0.19 306
Total Offense +3.6 88

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 208 54% 70 +2.1 105
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 125 38% 172 -0.3 210
Three Pointers 40% 197 32% 104 +1.3 129
1st FG Attempt 0.96 83 +3.1 76
Second Chance 33.3% 291 1.18 346 0.39 338
Turnovers 18.4% 95
Freethrows 0.29 131 71% 115 0.20 114
Total Defense +1.5 125

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.6 105 -0.2 126
Shot Type Accuracy +4.4 55 -2.6 74
Possession Length 15.3 24 17.6 244
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.27 9 0.16 133
Improvement -4.3 #349 -2.9 #318

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 2% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 64% 32% 65%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Houston (Away) - 2.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 80 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 12
Quad 24 - 75 - 18
Quad 32 - 16 - 19
Quad 45 - 112 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 302 UNC Greensboro W 93 - 64 93% +7  55% 1 - 0 A +18 C- -2 B+ A- F A+ +16 A- B- A+
 Sat, Nov 8 283 Bellarmine W 98 - 71 91% +11  93% 2 - 0 A- +17 A- +10 A+ A+ F B+ +7 A+ F B-
 Thu, Nov 13 73 California W 99 - 96 51% +14  91% 3 - 0 B- +8 A+ +15 A+ A+ F D- -8 F F A+
 Mon, Nov 17 70 Tulsa W 84 - 83 51% +3  75% 4 - 0 B- +6 C +1 D+ A+ B+ B +5 A+ B D-
 Thu, Nov 20 79 Mississippi St. W 98 - 77 42% +8  85% 5 - 0 A+ +28 A+ +21 A+ C A- B +6 B A- B+
 Fri, Nov 21 15 Nebraska L 85 - 86 11% -4  20% 5 - 1 A- +17 A +13 A- A+ B+ B- +4 D+ D B
 Tue, Nov 25 29 @Indiana L 69 - 86 12% -13  0% 5 - 2 C +1 D -5 A- F F B+ +7 C C- A+
 Mon, Dec 1 158 Bowling Green L 66 - 82 79% -9  0% 5 - 3 F -19 D+ -3 F+ B+ A+ F -18 D F F
 Sat, Dec 6 53 Seton Hall L 67 - 78 42% -8  2% 5 - 4 C- -4 D- -7 C- D A- B +5 A D+ C
 Mon, Dec 8 365 Mississippi Valley W 108 - 49 99% +32  96% 6 - 4 A+ +32 A +13 A+ A- D+ A+ +14 A+ B B+
 Sat, Dec 13 61 @Creighton W 83 - 76 26% +8  92% 7 - 4 A +19 A+ +15 B- A- A+ B- +4 A- C+ F+
 Sat, Dec 20 281 South Dakota W 106 - 76 91% +22  98% 8 - 4 A +20 A+ +17 A+ A- C+ C+ +1 B D D+
 Sun, Dec 28 356 Louisiana Monroe W 94 - 85 97% +6  68% 9 - 4 D -9 C- -1 C+ F+ C- D- -8 F B C+
 Sat, Jan 3 21 BYU L 73 - 83 19% -6  9% 9 - 5 0 - 1 C+ +5 D- -6 C+ F B- A +12 A+ D A+
 Wed, Jan 7 2 @Arizona L 76 - 101 3% -14  0% 9 - 6 0 - 2 C+ +3 B- +4 D+ B- A+ B- +3 A F F
 Sat, Jan 10 69 @Arizona St. L 84 - 87 28% -0  40% 9 - 7 0 - 3 B +8 B +6 D A- A- B- +3 A+ F A-
 Wed, Jan 14 52 Central Florida L 73 - 82 41% -7  4% 9 - 8 0 - 4 C -1 D -6 D+ C B- B +5 C- A- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 59 @Oklahoma St. L 83 - 84 25% -2  23% 9 - 9 0 - 5 B+ +11 A +11 A A+ F C -0 A+ F F
 Tue, Jan 20 110 Utah W 81 - 78 66% +2  62% 10 - 9 1 - 5 C+ +4 B- +5 A+ F+ C+ C -1 C+ F+ D
 Sat, Jan 24 12 Kansas L 62 - 86 15% -5  9% 10 - 10 1 - 6 D+ -8 C +1 C B B+ F+ -10 B F B-
 Tue, Jan 27 56 @West Virginia L 54 - 59 22% -0  51% 10 - 11 1 - 7 B +8 D -5 C F B A +12 A+ D- A
 Sun, Feb 1 8 Iowa St. L 61 - 95 12% -23  1% 10 - 12 1 - 8 F+ -16 D -6 C+ D+ A- F+ -10 F B- B-
 Sat, Feb 7 50 @TCU L 82 - 84 20% +8  99% 10 - 13 1 - 9 B+ +12 A +14 A+ A- A- C- -2 C F B
 Wed, Feb 11 45 Cincinnati L 62 - 91 36% -21  0% 10 - 14 1 - 10 F -20 D -5 D+ A- D- F -15 F F B
 Sat, Feb 14 5 @Houston L 64 - 85 3%
 Tue, Feb 17 42 Baylor L 81 - 85 33%
 Sat, Feb 21 16 @Texas Tech L 72 - 88 6%
 Wed, Feb 25 77 @Colorado L 80 - 85 31%
 Sat, Feb 28 50 TCU L 76 - 79 40%
 Tue, Mar 3 56 West Virginia L 70 - 72 42%
 Sat, Mar 7 12 @Kansas L 69 - 86 6%
Totals 12 - 19 3 - 15 +5 B- +4 B B- C+ C+ +2 B- D- B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- B D+ B+ B 41% 18% 42% B- B B- C+ B- C+ D C D C+ B- C B- B- 38% 22% 40% C+ B- D+ F+ D- B- C+ C+ C+
1.14 64% 34% 38% +4 +1 1.12 34% 1.1 .36 16% .26 72% .19 1.06 54% 38% 32% -3 0 0.96 33% 1.2 .39 18% .29 71% .18
Nov
4		 UNC Greensboro C- C- B+ A+ B+ 41% 19% 40% C+ B+ B- A A- F B F C- A+ B A+ A- A 47% 20% 33% F+ A- B- C+ B- A+ B A+ A-
1.16 58% 45% 48% +10 0 1.22 34% 1.3 .44 20% .31 55% .17 0.80 50% 18% 28% -11 +1 0.82 24% 1.0 .24 23% .32 60% .19
Nov
8		 Bellarmine A- A- F A+ A+ 43% 9% 48% A A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ A- A+ B+ C- A+ A+ A+ 54% 10% 37% F+ A+ F F F B- C+ A+ B+
1.38 74% 0% 57% +20 +2 1.45 50% 1.5 .77 25% .43 78% .34 1.00 64% 20% 16% -8 +3 0.90 31% 1.4 .42 18% .29 65% .19
Nov
13		 California A+ A+ D A+ A+ 62% 5% 33% A+ A+ C- A+ A+ F B C+ B D- C- C- F F 33% 19% 48% D+ F D- F F A+ A+ C- A+
1.26 71% 33% 50% +15 +4 1.40 26% 2.0 .52 22% .34 67% .23 1.23 61% 40% 54% +16 0 1.33 32% 1.4 .46 22% .23 79% .18
Nov
17		 Tulsa C A- F F D+ 43% 21% 36% C+ D+ B+ A+ A+ B+ B A+ A+ B B- F A+ A+ 44% 5% 51% D+ A+ C- A B D- F A D-
1.11 68% 25% 24% -4 0 0.95 33% 1.4 .47 13% .32 90% .29 1.10 54% 100% 21% -8 +2 0.91 33% 1.1 .36 12% .44 72% .32
Nov
20		 Mississippi St. A+ A+ F A+ A+ 31% 27% 42% C+ A+ B+ F C A- F A+ D B C+ D B+ B 33% 21% 46% C B A- B+ A- B+ F F F
1.31 84% 24% 50% +14 -1 1.27 32% 0.8 .24 11% .16 91% .15 1.03 59% 45% 29% -1 0 0.98 26% 0.9 .23 19% .38 78% .29
Nov
21		 Nebraska A A+ C+ C- A- 18% 25% 57% C A- C+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ B- F F A+ C- 38% 7% 55% D+ D+ C+ F D B D- A+ C+
1.13 89% 38% 31% +3 -2 1.04 27% 1.4 .39 17% .35 86% .30 1.14 90% 75% 27% +9 +2 1.24 26% 1.4 .35 16% .32 60% .19
Nov
25		 Indiana D C D+ A+ A 34% 30% 36% C- A- C- F F F D A+ C B+ F B- C+ 42% 0% 58% F+ C D- B- C- A+ F B- F
0.91 53% 33% 44% +3 -2 1.04 25% 0.5 .13 25% .26 87% .23 1.13 75% 32% +6 +3 1.19 35% 1.0 .35 22% .49 76% .37
Dec
1		 Bowling Green D+ D F F F 49% 14% 37% B F+ B+ C+ B+ A+ B+ F D+ F A+ F F D 40% 10% 50% C D F F F F D+ C D+
1.03 52% 14% 26% -10 +2 0.84 35% 1.1 .38 9% .38 55% .21 1.28 37% 60% 46% +3 +1 1.10 44% 1.1 .50 12% .34 74% .25
Dec
6		 Seton Hall D- A- F F D+ 37% 12% 51% B- C- A F D A- A+ F C- B B- A+ A+ A+ 49% 19% 32% D A C+ F+ D+ C C D- C-
0.86 63% 17% 23% -9 +1 0.86 40% 0.5 .21 21% .57 43% .24 1.01 54% 18% 22% -12 +1 0.81 35% 1.2 .42 15% .34 77% .26
Dec
8		 Mississippi Valley A C+ A A+ A+ 42% 7% 51% B+ A+ B- A A- D+ F A- F A+ A+ A+ B A+ 27% 46% 27% B A+ D+ A+ B B+ C F D
1.42 65% 50% 54% +19 +2 1.44 40% 1.4 .57 18% .26 81% .21 0.64 36% 25% 29% -14 -4 0.65 27% 0.6 .16 25% .28 81% .23
Dec
13		 Creighton A+ D+ F A+ C+ 43% 15% 43% A- B- A C+ A- A+ B A+ A B- B+ A+ F+ A- 30% 19% 52% B- A- C C+ C+ F+ C+ F D
1.25 52% 13% 43% 0 +1 1.04 38% 1.1 .41 11% .25 87% .22 1.14 56% 10% 39% -1 0 0.98 29% 1.0 .29 11% .25 93% .23
Dec
20		 South Dakota A+ A A- A+ A+ 60% 3% 36% A A+ A- C+ A- C+ D+ C D+ C+ C+ A+ F B 49% 23% 28% C B C+ F D D+ B A+ A+
1.40 71% 50% 48% +16 +4 1.41 41% 1.3 .52 16% .25 75% .19 1.01 54% 0% 44% -7 0 0.89 27% 1.3 .33 16% .31 55% .17
Dec
28		 Louisiana Monroe C- A+ F+ D C+ 40% 10% 50% B- C+ B- F F+ C- A+ B+ A+ D- F+ D F F 33% 33% 33% A F B B+ B C+ F C+ F
1.19 83% 33% 31% +7 +1 1.19 39% 0.7 .29 16% .36 75% .27 1.07 65% 41% 41% +7 -2 1.12 20% 0.9 .17 19% .53 71% .37
Jan
3		 BYU D- B C+ F D+ 57% 14% 29% A+ C+ C F F B- B B B+ A A+ D+ D+ A+ 33% 31% 37% B+ A+ D+ D+ D A+ F A F+
0.94 64% 38% 12% -7 +2 0.93 26% 0.6 .17 15% .29 74% .21 1.07 41% 44% 37% -2 -2 0.94 40% 1.3 .50 24% .46 67% .31
Jan
7		 Arizona B- D D+ F D- 31% 23% 46% B+ D+ C A B- A+ C+ A+ A- B- D C+ A+ A 46% 32% 23% B- A D+ F F F F D F
0.92 45% 33% 23% -12 -1 0.75 23% 1.1 .25 12% .26 84% .22 1.23 69% 39% 23% +2 -1 1.04 43% 1.3 .54 10% .53 77% .40
Jan
10		 Arizona St. B F F A- D- 38% 17% 45% B- D B- A A- A- B- D+ C+ B- C F A+ A+ 38% 25% 37% B- A+ F D- F A- F C F
1.10 41% 20% 38% -7 0 0.90 35% 1.3 .43 17% .33 71% .24 1.14 60% 54% 11% -8 -1 0.85 50% 1.3 .67 20% .52 75% .39
Jan
14		 Central Florida D A+ C- F D 40% 13% 47% B+ D+ C- B- C B- D- F F B A- F+ F D 36% 38% 25% A+ C- A+ F A- D+ C+ A+ B+
0.98 75% 38% 18% -4 +1 0.95 22% 1.1 .25 16% .24 60% .14 1.10 50% 48% 50% +7 -2 1.11 21% 1.7 .36 13% .28 61% .17
Jan
17		 Oklahoma St. A B A+ B+ A+ 32% 16% 52% C- A A A- A+ F F F F C A+ C+ C+ A+ 53% 11% 37% D+ A+ F F F F D+ F F+
1.17 61% 56% 38% +7 0 1.16 38% 1.2 .47 23% .09 40% .04 1.18 43% 33% 33% -9 +2 0.89 38% 1.4 .55 10% .38 83% .31
Jan
20		 Utah B- F A+ A+ A+ 31% 37% 31% F A+ D- F+ F+ C+ F C+ F+ C A F D- C 42% 22% 36% B- C+ C- F F+ D A+ A+ A+
1.17 41% 60% 59% +15 -3 1.26 23% 0.9 .19 14% .17 70% .12 1.13 48% 58% 40% +4 0 1.09 31% 1.2 .38 13% .17 60% .10
Jan
24		 Kansas C C- F B+ B- 16% 35% 49% F C B+ C+ B B+ B- B+ B F+ F F+ A+ C 28% 43% 30% A+ B F F F B- F F+ F
0.95 50% 17% 36% -7 -4 0.80 33% 0.8 .28 12% .25 71% .18 1.32 85% 45% 21% +5 -4 1.04 44% 1.8 .78 15% .44 83% .36
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 West Virginia D F D+ B+ C- 44% 14% 42% B+ C D F F B F A+ F A C- A A+ A+ 32% 21% 47% B+ A+ B- F D- A A+ C+ A+
0.88 41% 29% 38% -6 +1 0.92 20% 0.6 .11 16% .08 100% .08 0.96 60% 30% 23% -9 -1 0.83 29% 1.5 .44 21% .19 67% .12
Feb
1		 Iowa St. D D+ B- C- B- 25% 34% 42% D- C+ D C D+ A- F D F F+ D- D+ F F 34% 20% 46% B F C+ B- B- B- C F+ D+
0.86 54% 39% 32% -2 -3 0.92 22% 1.0 .22 20% .10 67% .07 1.33 71% 40% 57% +20 0 1.42 38% 1.0 .38 17% .34 75% .25
Feb
7		 TCU A A+ C A+ A+ 27% 29% 44% F+ A+ C A+ A- A- F F+ F C- B F C+ C+ 47% 12% 42% D- C F C- F B F A+ F
1.15 80% 38% 42% +11 -2 1.20 26% 1.5 .39 17% .13 63% .08 1.18 55% 60% 33% +1 +2 1.07 50% 1.1 .56 18% .62 61% .38
Feb
11		 Cincinnati D B- D+ F C- 31% 27% 41% D+ D+ A- B A- D- F C- F F B+ A- F F 34% 20% 46% C F F F F B C F D
0.88 56% 36% 24% -7 -1 0.84 31% 1.2 .37 23% .17 67% .11 1.29 53% 30% 52% +9 0 1.20 42% 1.5 .65 18% .28 81% .23



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 0.2 0.9 12th
13th 0.4 1.6 0.1 2.1 13th
14th 0.1 4.2 1.4 0.0 5.7 14th
15th 2.6 15.4 24.1 10.4 0.3 52.9 15th
16th 13.8 17.1 6.8 0.4 38.1 16th
Total 16.4 32.5 31.1 15.4 4.1 0.6 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 0.0% 0.0
6-12 0.6% 0.6
5-13 4.1% 4.1
4-14 15.4% 15.4
3-15 31.1% 31.1
2-16 32.5% 32.5
1-17 16.4% 16.4
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 16.4%