Mississippi Valley
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-22.1#365
Expected Predictive Rating-18.7#358
Pace70.2#166
Improvement-0.5#223

Offense
Total Offense-13.3#365
First Shot-7.9#358
After Offensive Rebound-5.4#362
Layup/Dunks-8.0#358
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.6#5
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.9#345
Freethrows+0.4#159
Improvement-1.6#304

Defense
Total Defense-8.8#363
First Shot-7.2#359
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#290
Layups/Dunks-0.5#193
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#40
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#353
Freethrows-2.4#315
Improvement+1.1#98
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 86.8% 71.4% 86.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kansas St. (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 30 - 30 - 11
Quad 42 - 182 - 29


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 110 @UAB L 55-106 1%     0 - 1 -44.3 -24.0 -11.4
  Fri, Nov 7 111 @Murray St. L 60-108 1%     0 - 2 -41.3 -16.8 -19.9
  Wed, Nov 12 104 @Hawaii L 56-88 1%     0 - 3 -24.6 -6.8 -19.5
  Fri, Nov 14 257 Utah Tech L 75-81 2OT 7%     0 - 4 -11.3 -3.7 -7.3
  Sat, Nov 15 308 Manhattan L 73-80 10%     0 - 5 -15.2 -0.7 -15.1
  Sat, Nov 22 295 @Cal St. Bakersfield L 70-86 6%     0 - 6 -20.4 -9.7 -9.7
  Tue, Nov 25 39 @Texas A&M L 84-120 0.3%    0 - 7 -21.0 +1.4 -15.5
  Wed, Dec 3 360 @Louisiana Monroe L 52-66 15%     0 - 8 -25.2 -21.6 -4.7
  Mon, Dec 8 82 @Kansas St. L 62-94 0.1%   
  Tue, Dec 16 201 Tarleton St. L 64-81 6%    
  Fri, Dec 19 101 @Florida St. L 62-92 0.3%   
  Mon, Dec 22 71 @West Virginia L 50-83 0.1%   
  Mon, Dec 29 53 @Oklahoma L 58-93 0.0%   
  Sat, Jan 3 276 Alabama St. L 66-79 12%    
  Mon, Jan 5 272 Alabama A&M L 62-75 12%    
  Sat, Jan 10 322 @Prairie View L 65-81 7%    
  Mon, Jan 12 305 @Texas Southern L 64-81 7%    
  Sat, Jan 17 220 Bethune-Cookman L 64-79 8%    
  Mon, Jan 19 343 Florida A&M L 68-76 25%    
  Sat, Jan 24 284 @Grambling St. L 58-77 5%    
  Mon, Jan 26 199 @Southern L 63-86 2%    
  Sat, Jan 31 353 Arkansas Pine Bluff L 71-77 29%    
  Sat, Feb 7 312 Jackson St. L 64-75 17%    
  Mon, Feb 9 334 Alcorn St. L 68-77 22%    
  Sat, Feb 14 272 @Alabama A&M L 59-78 4%    
  Mon, Feb 16 276 @Alabama St. L 63-82 5%    
  Thu, Feb 19 322 @Prairie View L 65-81 8%    
  Sat, Feb 21 305 Texas Southern L 67-78 17%    
  Sat, Feb 28 353 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 68-80 14%    
  Tue, Mar 3 334 @Alcorn St. L 65-80 10%    
  Thu, Mar 5 312 @Jackson St. L 61-78 7%    
Projected Record 2 - 29 2 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.7 1.7 0.5 0.0 4.7 10th
11th 0.7 3.2 5.6 4.1 1.4 0.2 15.1 11th
12th 18.5 26.7 20.1 9.4 2.3 0.2 77.3 12th
Total 18.5 27.3 23.4 15.7 8.3 4.0 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0
9-9 0.1% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1
8-10 0.2% 0.2
7-11 0.7% 0.7
6-12 1.8% 1.8
5-13 4.0% 4.0
4-14 8.3% 8.3
3-15 15.7% 15.7
2-16 23.4% 23.4
1-17 27.3% 27.3
0-18 18.5% 18.5
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 15.7%