IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Mississippi Valley
Southwestern Athletic
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-25.2	#365
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	63.3	#306
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-14.8	#365

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-10.3	#364

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	n/a	16.0

.500 or above	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
.500 or above in Conference	0.3%	4.1%	0.3%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	65.1%	29.2%	65.2%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UAB (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 3	0 - 5	0 - 12
Quad 4	2 - 17	2 - 29

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	102	@ UAB	L	53-86	0.1%
Nov 07, 2025	127	@ Murray St.	L	48-78	0.3%
Nov 13, 2025	134	@ Hawaii	L	49-79	0.3%
Nov 14, 2025	271	Utah Tech	L	57-76	4%
Nov 15, 2025	260	Manhattan	L	58-78	4%
Nov 22, 2025	223	@ Cal St. Bakersfield	L	53-78	2%
Nov 25, 2025	35	@ Texas A&M	L	44-86	0.0%
Dec 03, 2025	348	@ Louisiana Monroe	L	58-74	8%
Dec 08, 2025	57	@ Kansas St.	L	46-84	0.0%
Dec 16, 2025	274	Tarleton St.	L	54-70	8%
Dec 19, 2025	78	@ Florida St.	L	51-86	0.1%
Dec 22, 2025	61	@ West Virginia	L	43-81	0.1%
Dec 29, 2025	47	@ Oklahoma	L	48-88	0.1%
Jan 03, 2026	292	Alabama St.	L	58-73	11%
Jan 05, 2026	325	Alabama A&M	L	63-76	15%
Jan 10, 2026	341	@ Prairie View	L	60-77	8%
Jan 12, 2026	285	@ Texas Southern	L	56-77	4%
Jan 17, 2026	246	Bethune-Cookman	L	58-76	7%
Jan 19, 2026	332	Florida A&M	L	60-72	16%
Jan 24, 2026	283	@ Grambling St.	L	51-72	4%
Jan 26, 2026	186	@ Southern	L	52-78	1%
Jan 31, 2026	364	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	71-70	51%
Feb 07, 2026	238	Jackson St.	L	58-76	7%
Feb 09, 2026	326	Alcorn St.	L	57-69	15%
Feb 14, 2026	325	@ Alabama A&M	L	60-79	7%
Feb 16, 2026	292	@ Alabama St.	L	55-76	4%
Feb 19, 2026	341	@ Prairie View	L	60-77	9%
Feb 21, 2026	285	Texas Southern	L	59-74	10%
Feb 28, 2026	364	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	L	68-73	32%
Mar 03, 2026	326	@ Alcorn St.	L	54-72	7%
Mar 05, 2026	238	@ Jackson St.	L	55-79	2%
Projected Record						2 - 29	2 - 15

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st																						1st
2nd												0.0									0.0	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.0									0.0	3rd
4th										0.0	0.0	0.0									0.0	4th
5th									0.0	0.1	0.0										0.1	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0										0.3	6th
7th						0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0											0.6	7th
8th					0.0	0.3	0.6	0.4	0.1												1.4	8th
9th			0.0	0.2	1.0	1.5	0.8	0.2	0.0												3.7	9th
10th			0.8	3.2	4.0	1.8	0.4	0.0													10.2	10th
11th		5.6	13.8	9.8	3.5	0.6	0.0														33.4	11th
12th	18.9	21.0	8.2	1.9	0.2	0.0															50.2	12th

Total	18.9	26.6	22.8	15.1	8.7	4.2	2.0	1.0	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0										Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7	0.0%		14.3%	14.3%		16.0																	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%																							0.0
9-9	0.2%																							0.2
8-10	0.5%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.0	0.5
7-11	1.0%																							1.0
6-12	2.0%																							2.0
5-13	4.2%																							4.2
4-14	8.7%																							8.7
3-15	15.1%																							15.1
2-16	22.8%																							22.8
1-17	26.6%																							26.6
0-18	18.9%																							18.9

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	16.0																	0.0	100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	15.9%