Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#284
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#263
Pace65.4#288
Improvement-0.5#225

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#305
First Shot-3.1#264
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#295
Layup/Dunks-0.4#189
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#161
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#334
Freethrows+3.0#40
Improvement-1.3#290

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#215
First Shot-0.8#199
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#237
Layups/Dunks-1.7#240
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#93
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#113
Freethrows-2.4#314
Improvement+0.8#119
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.7% 10.7% 7.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 33.9% 50.7% 27.0%
.500 or above in Conference 57.2% 65.6% 53.7%
Conference Champion 5.9% 8.3% 4.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.6% 1.3%
First Four5.0% 5.2% 5.0%
First Round6.1% 8.2% 5.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Miss (Away) - 29.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 412 - 913 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Thu, Nov 6 2 @Iowa St. L 62-102 1%     0 - 1 -14.2 -1.9 -9.7
  Sun, Nov 9 313 @Howard W 73-70 46%     1 - 1 -2.5 +4.3 -6.5
  Thu, Nov 13 224 Southern Miss W 75-70 51%     2 - 1 -1.8 -2.3 +0.6
  Tue, Nov 18 264 @San Diego L 68-78 35%     2 - 2 -12.5 -10.7 -1.3
  Fri, Nov 21 131 @California Baptist L 59-72 14%     2 - 3 -8.0 -5.7 -3.4
  Mon, Nov 24 258 @UC Riverside L 74-83 34%     2 - 4 -11.3 -0.1 -11.3
  Tue, Dec 2 187 @Tulane L 63-65 23%     2 - 5 -0.7 -3.6 +2.6
  Mon, Dec 8 224 @Southern Miss L 68-74 29%    
  Thu, Dec 18 218 Norfolk St. L 63-66 39%    
  Fri, Dec 19 208 Hampton L 66-69 37%    
  Tue, Dec 23 24 @Ohio St. L 60-84 1%    
  Sat, Jan 3 322 Prairie View W 74-68 69%    
  Mon, Jan 5 305 Texas Southern W 73-68 66%    
  Sat, Jan 10 220 @Bethune-Cookman L 66-72 29%    
  Mon, Jan 12 343 @Florida A&M W 71-69 56%    
  Sat, Jan 17 199 Southern L 71-72 46%    
  Sat, Jan 24 365 Mississippi Valley W 77-58 95%    
  Mon, Jan 26 353 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 76-67 80%    
  Sat, Jan 31 312 @Jackson St. L 67-68 46%    
  Mon, Feb 2 334 @Alcorn St. W 71-70 53%    
  Sat, Feb 7 276 Alabama St. W 72-70 59%    
  Mon, Feb 9 272 Alabama A&M W 68-66 57%    
  Sat, Feb 14 305 @Texas Southern L 70-71 45%    
  Mon, Feb 16 322 @Prairie View L 70-71 48%    
  Sat, Feb 21 199 @Southern L 68-75 27%    
  Thu, Feb 26 220 Bethune-Cookman W 70-69 50%    
  Thu, Feb 26 343 Florida A&M W 74-66 75%    
  Tue, Mar 3 272 @Alabama A&M L 65-69 37%    
  Thu, Mar 5 276 @Alabama St. L 69-73 37%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.8 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.1 5.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 3.3 2.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 8.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 4.4 3.4 0.8 0.0 9.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.6 4.2 0.9 0.0 10.5 4th
5th 0.5 3.9 5.3 1.3 0.1 11.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.8 5.9 2.0 0.1 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.9 5.7 2.9 0.2 10.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 4.7 3.7 0.5 0.0 10.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.7 3.7 0.7 0.0 9.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.6 2.7 0.8 0.0 7.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 4.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 3.0 5.2 8.4 11.3 13.4 14.1 13.4 11.3 8.3 5.5 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 95.5% 0.4    0.3 0.0
15-3 88.1% 1.1    0.9 0.2 0.0
14-4 64.9% 1.8    1.1 0.7 0.1
13-5 32.9% 1.8    0.6 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0
12-6 7.7% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.9% 5.9 3.0 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.4% 36.9% 36.9% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
15-3 1.2% 33.7% 33.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.8
14-4 2.8% 27.1% 27.1% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 2.1
13-5 5.5% 21.3% 21.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 4.3
12-6 8.3% 17.7% 17.7% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.2 6.8
11-7 11.3% 13.0% 13.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.4 9.9
10-8 13.4% 9.7% 9.7% 16.0 0.0 1.3 12.1
9-9 14.1% 7.9% 7.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1 13.0
8-10 13.4% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.6 12.8
7-11 11.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 11.1
6-12 8.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.4
5-13 5.2% 5.2
4-14 3.0% 3.0
3-15 1.1% 1.1
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.7% 8.7% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.3 7.1 91.3 0.0%