Howard
Mid-Eastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.5#313
Expected Predictive Rating-12.0#328
Pace73.0#98
Improvement-1.0#254

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#309
First Shot-5.3#319
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#175
Layup/Dunks-2.6#267
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#140
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#322
Freethrows+1.7#89
Improvement-1.0#257

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#277
First Shot-0.9#203
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#312
Layups/Dunks-4.7#324
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#6
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#165
Freethrows+0.1#169
Improvement+0.0#186
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.0% 21.7% 16.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 37.6% 50.4% 26.2%
.500 or above in Conference 82.5% 86.3% 79.1%
Conference Champion 22.4% 25.8% 19.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 2.0% 3.9%
First Four17.7% 19.5% 16.0%
First Round9.7% 11.5% 8.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: N.C. A&T (Neutral) - 47.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 413 - 1013 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 37 Missouri L 67-88 5%     0 - 1 -11.2 -4.5 -6.2
  Sun, Nov 9 284 Grambling St. L 70-73 54%     0 - 2 -12.6 -0.2 -12.6
  Thu, Nov 13 334 Alcorn St. W 72-64 69%     1 - 2 -5.4 -3.3 -1.7
  Wed, Nov 19 347 @Stetson L 60-64 52%     1 - 3 -13.1 -15.8 +2.6
  Sat, Nov 22 342 Niagara W 80-70 61%     2 - 3 -1.4 -2.7 +0.6
  Sun, Nov 23 3 @Duke L 56-93 0.5%    2 - 4 -11.5 -4.4 -6.7
  Sat, Nov 29 304 @Mount St. Mary's L 75-79 37%     2 - 5 -9.0 -0.7 -8.3
  Tue, Dec 9 299 N.C. A&T L 74-75 47%    
  Sat, Dec 13 208 Hampton L 70-75 31%    
  Tue, Dec 16 267 @Drexel L 67-73 29%    
  Sat, Dec 20 109 @UNC Wilmington L 64-79 8%    
  Tue, Dec 30 61 @Northwestern L 65-85 3%    
  Sat, Jan 3 349 @South Carolina St. W 75-74 54%    
  Sat, Jan 10 345 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 66-65 51%    
  Mon, Jan 12 351 Delaware St. W 74-67 74%    
  Sat, Jan 17 350 @NC Central W 72-71 53%    
  Sat, Jan 24 358 Morgan St. W 82-73 78%    
  Mon, Jan 26 364 @Coppin St. W 76-70 70%    
  Sat, Jan 31 218 Norfolk St. L 68-70 43%    
  Sat, Feb 7 349 South Carolina St. W 78-71 74%    
  Mon, Feb 9 73 Yale L 71-84 12%    
  Sat, Feb 14 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 69-63 71%    
  Mon, Feb 16 351 @Delaware St. W 71-70 55%    
  Sat, Feb 21 350 NC Central W 75-68 73%    
  Sat, Feb 28 358 @Morgan St. W 79-76 59%    
  Mon, Mar 2 364 Coppin St. W 79-67 85%    
  Thu, Mar 5 218 @Norfolk St. L 65-73 24%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.2 4.5 7.3 5.9 2.8 0.5 22.4 1st
2nd 0.3 3.8 10.0 9.8 4.7 0.8 29.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.4 8.5 5.4 0.9 0.0 18.4 3rd
4th 0.1 2.1 6.3 3.3 0.3 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.3 2.3 0.1 7.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 2.6 1.8 0.2 5.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.3 0.1 3.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.3 8th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.6 5.0 8.5 12.4 15.7 16.9 15.3 12.0 6.8 2.8 0.5 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
13-1 100.0% 2.8    2.7 0.2
12-2 87.5% 5.9    4.6 1.4 0.0
11-3 60.5% 7.3    4.1 2.9 0.3
10-4 29.7% 4.5    1.4 2.4 0.7 0.0
9-5 7.3% 1.2    0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 22.4% 22.4 13.4 7.4 1.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.5% 53.8% 53.8% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2
13-1 2.8% 47.5% 47.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.3 1.5
12-2 6.8% 40.6% 40.6% 16.0 0.0 0.0 2.7 4.0
11-3 12.0% 31.4% 31.4% 16.0 0.0 3.8 8.3
10-4 15.3% 25.5% 25.5% 16.0 0.0 3.9 11.4
9-5 16.9% 17.2% 17.2% 16.0 0.0 2.9 14.0
8-6 15.7% 12.6% 12.6% 16.0 2.0 13.8
7-7 12.4% 9.0% 9.0% 16.0 1.1 11.3
6-8 8.5% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.5 8.0
5-9 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.3 4.8
4-10 2.6% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.1 2.5
3-11 1.0% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 1.0
2-12 0.3% 0.3
1-13 0.1% 0.1
0-14
Total 100% 19.0% 19.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 18.8 81.0 0.0%