Yale
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.7#73
Expected Predictive Rating+12.0#50
Pace66.2#269
Improvement-3.8#355

Offense
Total Offense+8.7#23
First Shot+8.4#16
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#166
Layup/Dunks+4.7#47
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#162
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#128
Freethrows+1.9#80
Improvement-1.8#312

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#199
First Shot-2.0#240
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#115
Layups/Dunks-1.5#234
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#269
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#229
Freethrows+1.9#70
Improvement-2.0#326
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 57.1% 57.9% 50.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.8 11.8 12.2
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 99.9%
.500 or above in Conference 99.0% 99.1% 98.0%
Conference Champion 74.6% 75.5% 67.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
First Round56.9% 57.8% 49.9%
Second Round13.2% 13.6% 9.7%
Sweet Sixteen3.1% 3.2% 1.9%
Elite Eight0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Illinois-Chicago (Home) - 89.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 22 - 12 - 2
Quad 38 - 210 - 4
Quad 413 - 123 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 197 @Navy W 97-68 75%     1 - 0 +29.7 +18.2 +9.3
  Tue, Nov 11 154 @Quinnipiac W 97-60 68%     2 - 0 +40.0 +24.5 +14.7
  Sat, Nov 15 221 Stony Brook W 86-79 90%     3 - 0 +0.3 +16.9 -16.0
  Tue, Nov 18 116 Rhode Island L 77-86 76%     3 - 1 -8.7 +8.8 -18.0
  Fri, Nov 21 273 Green Bay W 73-67 89%     4 - 1 +0.2 +5.5 -4.5
  Sun, Nov 23 175 College of Charleston W 74-63 80%     5 - 1 +9.7 +5.3 +5.2
  Mon, Nov 24 54 Akron W 97-94 40%     6 - 1 +13.2 +30.7 -17.3
  Sun, Nov 30 185 @Vermont W 77-74 73%     7 - 1 +4.3 +12.1 -7.5
  Sun, Dec 7 204 Illinois-Chicago W 84-71 89%    
  Wed, Dec 10 330 Albany W 85-67 95%    
  Mon, Dec 29 10 @Alabama L 81-95 10%    
  Mon, Jan 5 226 @Brown W 75-66 79%    
  Sat, Jan 10 250 @Princeton W 79-69 81%    
  Sat, Jan 17 150 Cornell W 91-80 83%    
  Mon, Jan 19 130 Columbia W 82-73 79%    
  Sat, Jan 24 248 @Penn W 85-75 81%    
  Fri, Jan 30 268 Dartmouth W 88-72 93%    
  Sat, Jan 31 202 Harvard W 80-67 88%    
  Fri, Feb 6 226 Brown W 78-63 91%    
  Mon, Feb 9 313 @Howard W 84-71 88%    
  Fri, Feb 13 268 @Dartmouth W 85-75 82%    
  Sat, Feb 14 202 @Harvard W 77-70 74%    
  Sat, Feb 21 248 Penn W 88-72 92%    
  Fri, Feb 27 150 @Cornell W 88-83 66%    
  Sat, Feb 28 130 @Columbia W 79-76 59%    
  Sat, Mar 7 250 Princeton W 82-66 92%    
Projected Record 21 - 5 11 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.2 6.3 15.3 22.3 19.8 9.7 74.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 4.0 6.5 4.1 0.9 16.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.2 2.2 0.7 0.1 5.6 3rd
4th 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 2.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 4.1 7.5 13.4 19.5 23.2 19.8 9.7 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 9.7    9.7
13-1 100.0% 19.8    19.4 0.4
12-2 96.1% 22.3    19.7 2.6 0.0
11-3 78.5% 15.3    10.2 4.8 0.3
10-4 46.9% 6.3    2.4 3.0 0.8 0.0
9-5 15.8% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
8-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 74.6% 74.6 61.6 11.3 1.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 9.7% 77.4% 74.9% 2.5% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 3.9 1.2 0.0 0.0 2.2 10.2%
13-1 19.8% 69.1% 68.6% 0.5% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 6.1 6.6 0.4 0.0 6.1 1.5%
12-2 23.2% 61.4% 61.3% 0.1% 11.9 0.0 2.9 9.5 1.7 0.0 9.0 0.1%
11-3 19.5% 54.3% 54.3% 12.2 0.0 0.8 7.1 2.5 0.2 8.9
10-4 13.4% 48.5% 48.5% 12.4 0.2 3.7 2.4 0.2 6.9
9-5 7.5% 40.0% 40.0% 12.7 0.0 1.3 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.5
8-6 4.1% 32.6% 32.6% 13.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.7
7-7 1.7% 11.6% 11.6% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.5
6-8 0.7% 0.7
5-9 0.2% 0.2
4-10 0.1% 0.1
3-11 0.0% 0.0
2-12 0.0% 0.0
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 57.1% 56.7% 0.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.3 14.0 29.8 9.3 1.1 0.0 42.9 0.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.9% 100.0% 7.2 0.4 3.4 7.1 10.4 20.9 14.2 13.8 13.8 8.2 7.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2% 52.1% 10.0 2.1 14.6 12.5 22.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 25.8% 10.5 3.2 3.2 19.4