Harvard
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#202
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#248
Pace64.5#309
Improvement-0.8#238

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#210
First Shot+1.9#125
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#344
Layup/Dunks-0.7#205
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#31
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#127
Freethrows-2.7#322
Improvement-1.9#322

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#204
First Shot-4.1#305
After Offensive Rebounds+3.0#26
Layups/Dunks-2.8#289
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#185
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#259
Freethrows+0.6#144
Improvement+1.1#99
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 5.1% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.7 15.2
.500 or above 23.5% 27.7% 10.4%
.500 or above in Conference 49.6% 52.1% 41.8%
Conference Champion 4.1% 4.5% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 13.1% 11.8% 17.0%
First Four0.6% 0.5% 0.7%
First Round4.4% 4.9% 2.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Holy Cross (Home) - 75.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 63 - 11
Quad 48 - 412 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sun, Nov 9 335 New Hampshire W 86-75 85%     1 - 0 -2.6 +8.4 -11.0
  Tue, Nov 11 228 Northeastern L 60-77 66%     1 - 1 -23.9 -11.5 -13.3
  Sat, Nov 15 340 @Army W 75-52 71%     2 - 1 +14.7 +5.3 +11.7
  Sun, Nov 16 158 @Marist W 56-54 31%     3 - 1 +4.6 -3.0 +7.8
  Wed, Nov 19 96 @Penn St. L 80-84 16%     3 - 2 +4.3 +16.8 -12.9
  Sat, Nov 22 253 Boston University L 74-75 60%     3 - 3 -6.1 +1.6 -7.8
  Wed, Nov 26 145 @Boston College L 60-73 26%     3 - 4 -9.0 -2.9 -7.2
  Sat, Nov 29 297 Bryant W 56-53 77%     4 - 4 -7.5 -8.5 +1.6
  Wed, Dec 3 167 @Massachusetts L 71-78 32%     4 - 5 -4.8 -1.3 -3.2
  Sat, Dec 6 148 @Furman L 69-79 28%     4 - 6 -6.4 -1.4 -5.2
  Sat, Dec 20 286 Holy Cross W 72-65 76%    
  Tue, Dec 23 16 @St. John's L 63-86 2%    
  Sun, Dec 28 179 @Colgate L 68-72 35%    
  Mon, Jan 5 268 Dartmouth W 77-71 71%    
  Sat, Jan 10 130 @Columbia L 68-76 24%    
  Sat, Jan 17 250 Princeton W 70-65 68%    
  Mon, Jan 19 248 Penn W 76-71 69%    
  Sat, Jan 24 150 Cornell W 80-79 51%    
  Fri, Jan 30 226 @Brown L 64-66 44%    
  Sat, Jan 31 73 @Yale L 67-80 12%    
  Sat, Feb 7 268 @Dartmouth W 74-73 50%    
  Fri, Feb 13 226 Brown W 67-63 65%    
  Sat, Feb 14 73 Yale L 70-77 26%    
  Sat, Feb 21 150 @Cornell L 77-83 30%    
  Fri, Feb 27 250 @Princeton L 67-68 48%    
  Sat, Feb 28 248 @Penn L 73-74 47%    
  Sat, Mar 7 130 Columbia L 71-73 44%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.1 1st
2nd 0.2 2.4 5.0 3.6 1.1 0.2 12.5 2nd
3rd 0.4 4.3 7.7 4.1 0.6 0.0 17.1 3rd
4th 0.4 5.1 9.1 3.7 0.3 18.5 4th
5th 0.3 4.4 8.7 2.9 0.2 16.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.4 7.4 2.7 0.1 13.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.0 2.0 0.1 10.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.1 2.8 1.3 0.1 7.1 8th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.4 6.0 10.0 14.3 16.9 16.7 13.9 9.9 5.5 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
12-2 81.5% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
11-3 56.0% 1.4    0.7 0.7 0.1
10-4 23.4% 1.3    0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0
9-5 3.9% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 1.8 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.2% 20.3% 20.3% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-2 0.9% 26.9% 26.9% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
11-3 2.5% 21.2% 21.2% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.0
10-4 5.5% 15.6% 15.6% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 4.6
9-5 9.9% 10.6% 10.6% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.1 8.8
8-6 13.9% 8.3% 8.3% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 12.8
7-7 16.7% 3.9% 3.9% 15.8 0.1 0.5 16.0
6-8 16.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 16.9
5-9 14.3% 14.3
4-10 10.0% 10.0
3-11 6.0% 6.0
2-12 2.4% 2.4
1-13 0.7% 0.7
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 14.8 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.9 1.2 95.4 0.0%