IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Harvard
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.4	#236
Expected Predictive Rating	-8.0	#301

Pace	69.4	#178
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.8	#263

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.7	#192

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.6%	7.8%	4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.8	14.3	14.9

.500 or above	19.8%	41.9%	17.5%
.500 or above in Conference	41.6%	54.6%	40.3%
Conference Champion	5.1%	8.0%	4.8%
Last Place in Conference	15.8%	10.6%	16.3%

First Four	0.9%	0.4%	1.0%
First Round	4.3%	7.6%	4.0%
Second Round	0.2%	0.7%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Colorado (Away) - 9.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 3	3 - 7	3 - 11
Quad 4	7 - 5	10 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	226	Marist	W	79-66	61%	1 - 0			+6.8	+9.4	-1.7
Nov 08, 2024	259	@ Navy	L	80-85	45%	1 - 1			-7.1	+2.2	-9.1
Nov 10, 2024	255	@ American	L	55-67	43%	1 - 2			-13.7	-13.9	-1.0
Nov 13, 2024	170	@ Northeastern	L	56-78	28%	1 - 3			-19.5	-16.6	-2.7
Nov 17, 2024	76	@ Colorado	L	63-77	9%
Nov 22, 2024	172	Colgate	W	69-68	50%
Nov 27, 2024	109	Massachusetts	L	70-75	33%
Nov 30, 2024	18	@ St. John's	L	63-83	3%
Dec 04, 2024	343	@ Holy Cross	W	73-68	68%
Dec 08, 2024	326	@ New Hampshire	W	74-71	61%
Dec 21, 2024	148	Furman	L	72-73	45%
Dec 29, 2024	221	@ Iona	L	69-72	39%
Jan 11, 2025	107	Princeton	L	71-76	34%
Jan 18, 2025	199	@ Brown	L	68-72	36%
Jan 20, 2025	208	Penn	W	72-70	58%
Jan 25, 2025	110	@ Yale	L	68-78	18%
Jan 31, 2025	182	@ Columbia	L	73-78	32%
Feb 01, 2025	183	@ Cornell	L	75-80	32%
Feb 08, 2025	329	@ Dartmouth	W	69-66	61%
Feb 14, 2025	183	Cornell	W	78-77	52%
Feb 15, 2025	182	Columbia	W	76-75	53%
Feb 21, 2025	107	@ Princeton	L	68-79	18%
Feb 22, 2025	208	@ Penn	L	69-73	38%
Feb 28, 2025	199	Brown	W	71-69	56%
Mar 01, 2025	110	Yale	L	71-75	36%
Mar 08, 2025	329	Dartmouth	W	72-63	78%
Projected Record						10 - 16	6 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ivy League Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.1	0.6	1.6	1.6	0.9	0.3	0.0		5.1	1st
2nd								0.1	1.4	3.5	2.7	0.7	0.1				8.4	2nd
3rd							0.1	2.2	5.8	3.3	0.5	0.0					12.0	3rd
4th						0.2	2.7	7.4	3.7	0.4	0.0						14.4	4th
5th					0.3	3.3	8.2	4.1	0.4	0.0							16.2	5th
6th			0.0	0.7	4.7	8.3	3.9	0.3									18.0	6th
7th		0.1	1.5	5.2	6.7	3.1	0.3										16.8	7th
8th	0.4	1.8	3.2	2.8	0.9	0.0	0.0										9.1	8th

Total	0.4	1.8	4.7	8.7	12.6	15.0	15.3	14.1	11.3	7.8	4.8	2.3	0.9	0.3	0.0			Total

Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
13-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
12-2	92.1%	0.9		0.7	0.1
11-3	69.6%	1.6		1.0	0.6	0.1
10-4	32.9%	1.6		0.5	0.8	0.3	0.0	0.0
9-5	7.7%	0.6		0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
8-6	0.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	5.1%	5.1		2.5	1.7	0.7	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.0%																0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
13-1	0.3%		31.8%	31.8%		12.7											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.2
12-2	0.9%		27.1%	27.1%		13.3													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.7
11-3	2.3%		23.7%	23.7%		13.9													0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	1.8
10-4	4.8%		18.4%	18.4%		14.4													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.1	3.9
9-5	7.8%		14.3%	14.3%		15.0														0.0	0.2	0.5	0.3	6.7
8-6	11.3%		9.5%	9.5%		15.4														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	10.2
7-7	14.1%		3.8%	3.8%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	13.6
6-8	15.3%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	15.2
5-9	15.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	15.0
4-10	12.6%																							12.6
3-11	8.7%																							8.7
2-12	4.7%																							4.7
1-13	1.8%																							1.8
0-14	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		4.6%	4.6%	0.0%	14.8											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.9	1.6	1.5	95.4		0.0%