Columbia
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.1#183
Expected Predictive Rating+8.8#68
Pace70.3#140
Improvement-3.3#341

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#122
First Shot+2.0#124
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#172
Layup/Dunks+2.9#84
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#297
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#119
Freethrows-0.8#233
Improvement-2.1#325

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#273
First Shot-3.8#302
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#132
Layups/Dunks-0.5#182
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#245
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#322
Freethrows+1.4#87
Improvement-1.2#272
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.2% 8.9% 5.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.1 13.5
.500 or above 92.3% 95.0% 81.5%
.500 or above in Conference 59.0% 61.5% 49.6%
Conference Champion 8.8% 9.7% 5.5%
Last Place in Conference 7.6% 6.8% 10.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round8.2% 8.9% 5.5%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairfield (Home) - 79.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 1
Quad 21 - 22 - 3
Quad 33 - 44 - 7
Quad 412 - 316 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 319   @ Loyola Maryland W 81-78 68%     1 - 0 -2.8 -0.5 -2.6
  Nov 06, 2024 48   @ Villanova W 90-80 9%     2 - 0 +23.5 +24.5 -0.6
  Nov 09, 2024 341   Delaware St. W 83-62 89%     3 - 0 +6.7 -1.0 +6.3
  Nov 12, 2024 246   Lehigh W 76-75 74%     4 - 0 -6.8 +5.5 -12.1
  Nov 16, 2024 360   Mercyhurst W 77-63 93%     5 - 0 -3.7 +3.9 -6.1
  Nov 20, 2024 337   @ LIU Brooklyn W 80-72 74%     6 - 0 +0.2 +5.4 -5.2
  Nov 23, 2024 309   Stony Brook W 82-63 83%     7 - 0 +7.9 +6.9 +1.6
  Nov 25, 2024 354   New Hampshire W 83-57 91%     8 - 0 +10.1 +5.0 +4.9
  Dec 04, 2024 248   @ Albany L 73-88 53%     8 - 1 -16.8 -5.8 -10.3
  Dec 28, 2024 292   Fairfield W 81-72 79%    
  Dec 30, 2024 62   @ Rutgers L 71-84 11%    
  Jan 11, 2025 121   Cornell L 83-84 47%    
  Jan 18, 2025 105   Yale L 76-79 41%    
  Jan 20, 2025 119   @ Princeton L 73-80 26%    
  Jan 25, 2025 284   @ Penn W 76-73 60%    
  Jan 31, 2025 232   Harvard W 77-71 70%    
  Feb 01, 2025 306   Dartmouth W 81-71 82%    
  Feb 08, 2025 159   Brown W 74-72 57%    
  Feb 14, 2025 306   @ Dartmouth W 78-74 63%    
  Feb 15, 2025 232   @ Harvard L 73-74 49%    
  Feb 21, 2025 159   @ Brown L 71-75 36%    
  Feb 22, 2025 105   @ Yale L 73-82 22%    
  Feb 28, 2025 119   Princeton L 76-77 47%    
  Mar 01, 2025 284   Penn W 79-70 78%    
  Mar 08, 2025 121   @ Cornell L 80-87 28%    
Projected Record 16 - 9 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 2.8 3.0 1.7 0.5 0.1 8.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 5.7 4.3 1.1 0.1 12.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 7.6 5.3 0.8 0.0 16.1 3rd
4th 0.2 3.1 8.7 5.7 0.7 0.0 18.4 4th
5th 0.2 3.3 8.6 5.3 0.6 0.0 18.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.0 6.7 3.4 0.3 13.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.7 1.8 0.1 8.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.4 0.6 0.1 3.7 8th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.9 7.6 12.0 15.4 16.7 15.6 12.5 7.8 4.1 1.8 0.5 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
12-2 95.3% 1.7    1.5 0.2
11-3 73.4% 3.0    1.7 1.1 0.1
10-4 35.2% 2.8    0.8 1.3 0.6 0.1
9-5 6.4% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 8.8% 8.8 4.6 3.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 62.1% 62.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.5% 35.5% 35.1% 0.4% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.6%
12-2 1.8% 30.5% 30.5% 12.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.2
11-3 4.1% 23.8% 23.8% 12.5 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.1
10-4 7.8% 20.1% 20.1% 12.9 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 6.3
9-5 12.5% 16.0% 16.0% 13.2 0.3 1.0 0.6 0.1 10.5
8-6 15.6% 12.3% 12.3% 13.5 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.2 13.7
7-7 16.7% 5.1% 5.1% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 15.9
6-8 15.4% 0.7% 0.7% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 15.3
5-9 12.0% 12.0
4-10 7.6% 7.6
3-11 3.9% 3.9
2-12 1.6% 1.6
1-13 0.4% 0.4
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.2% 8.2% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.7 3.6 2.3 0.4 0.0 91.8 0.0%