Columbia
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#182
Expected Predictive Rating+16.2#17
Pace70.3#148
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#93
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#321
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.8% 9.1% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.1 13.7
.500 or above 85.4% 86.7% 65.9%
.500 or above in Conference 60.3% 61.3% 46.3%
Conference Champion 10.4% 10.8% 5.1%
Last Place in Conference 7.8% 7.6% 11.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round8.7% 9.1% 4.2%
Second Round0.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mercyhurst (Home) - 93.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 32 - 44 - 6
Quad 412 - 316 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 331   @ Loyola Maryland W 81-78 71%     1 - 0 -3.8 +0.4 -4.4
  Nov 06, 2024 77   @ Villanova W 90-80 14%     2 - 0 +20.4 +25.1 -4.2
  Nov 09, 2024 344   Delaware St. W 83-62 89%     3 - 0 +6.2 -0.1 +4.8
  Nov 12, 2024 260   Lehigh W 76-75 75%     4 - 0 -7.1 +7.3 -14.3
  Nov 16, 2024 356   Mercyhurst W 79-63 93%    
  Nov 20, 2024 339   @ LIU Brooklyn W 81-74 74%    
  Nov 23, 2024 287   Stony Brook W 80-72 78%    
  Nov 25, 2024 326   New Hampshire W 83-72 85%    
  Dec 04, 2024 253   @ Albany W 84-83 51%    
  Dec 28, 2024 258   Fairfield W 78-71 73%    
  Dec 30, 2024 37   @ Rutgers L 67-82 8%    
  Jan 11, 2025 183   Cornell W 85-82 61%    
  Jan 18, 2025 110   Yale L 77-79 43%    
  Jan 20, 2025 107   @ Princeton L 74-83 22%    
  Jan 25, 2025 208   @ Penn L 75-76 44%    
  Jan 31, 2025 236   Harvard W 78-73 68%    
  Feb 01, 2025 329   Dartmouth W 78-67 84%    
  Feb 08, 2025 199   Brown W 77-73 63%    
  Feb 14, 2025 329   @ Dartmouth W 75-70 68%    
  Feb 15, 2025 236   @ Harvard L 75-76 47%    
  Feb 21, 2025 199   @ Brown L 74-76 44%    
  Feb 22, 2025 110   @ Yale L 74-82 24%    
  Feb 28, 2025 107   Princeton L 77-80 41%    
  Mar 01, 2025 208   Penn W 78-73 65%    
  Mar 08, 2025 183   @ Cornell L 82-85 40%    
Projected Record 16 - 9 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 2.8 3.4 2.4 0.8 0.2 10.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 5.6 5.0 1.8 0.2 14.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.6 7.6 5.5 1.1 0.0 16.9 3rd
4th 0.2 2.8 8.1 5.0 0.6 0.0 16.7 4th
5th 0.2 2.7 7.6 4.3 0.4 15.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.9 3.5 0.3 12.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.5 4.1 2.0 0.2 9.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.5 0.6 0.0 4.2 8th
Total 0.1 0.7 1.9 4.3 7.7 10.8 14.3 15.4 14.7 12.4 8.9 5.3 2.6 0.8 0.2 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
13-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
12-2 90.9% 2.4    1.9 0.4 0.0
11-3 65.0% 3.4    2.0 1.3 0.2
10-4 31.5% 2.8    0.7 1.4 0.6 0.1
9-5 6.1% 0.8    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 10.4% 10.4 5.7 3.4 1.1 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.2% 57.8% 55.6% 2.2% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.0%
13-1 0.8% 46.8% 44.4% 2.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 4.3%
12-2 2.6% 38.5% 38.1% 0.4% 12.3 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.6 0.6%
11-3 5.3% 28.4% 28.4% 12.7 0.0 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.8
10-4 8.9% 21.3% 21.3% 13.1 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.1 7.0
9-5 12.4% 16.3% 16.3% 13.5 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 10.4
8-6 14.7% 9.9% 9.9% 13.9 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 13.3
7-7 15.4% 2.4% 2.4% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 15.0
6-8 14.3% 0.2% 0.2% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.3
5-9 10.8% 10.8
4-10 7.7% 7.7
3-11 4.3% 4.3
2-12 1.9% 1.9
1-13 0.7% 0.7
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.8% 8.7% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.5 2.2 0.7 0.0 91.2 0.0%