Preseason Rankings
Ivy League
2024-25


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
104 Princeton 32.6%   12   0 - 0 0 - 0 16 - 9 10 - 4 +4.9      +4.0 75 +0.9 140 63.7 314 0.0 1 0.0 1
113 Yale 24.1%   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 10 9 - 5 +3.4      +1.0 143 +2.4 102 63.1 323 0.0 1 0.0 1
166 Penn 10.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 12 7 - 7 0.0      +2.0 118 -2.1 241 64.4 296 0.0 1 0.0 1
172 Cornell 10.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 11 7 - 7 -0.4      +2.4 108 -2.8 266 77.1 20 0.0 1 0.0 1
181 Brown 9.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 12 7 - 7 -0.7      -0.4 183 -0.4 180 67.6 203 0.0 1 0.0 1
182 Harvard 9.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 13 7 - 7 -0.8      -1.9 239 +1.1 136 68.5 173 0.0 1 0.0 1
230 Columbia 4.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 13 6 - 8 -3.4      +0.2 162 -3.6 297 70.3 119 0.0 1 0.0 1
313 Dartmouth 1.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 7 - 18 4 - 10 -8.1      -6.1 340 -2.0 240 63.7 315 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Princeton 2.5 40.2 21.9 14.0 9.7 6.3 4.3 2.5 1.0
Yale 2.9 30.1 22.4 16.0 11.9 8.6 6.0 3.7 1.5
Penn 4.0 13.4 15.1 15.5 15.5 14.4 12.0 9.3 4.8
Cornell 4.1 12.1 14.0 15.5 15.1 14.4 13.0 10.1 5.8
Brown 4.3 11.0 13.5 15.1 15.1 14.3 13.6 11.3 6.2
Harvard 4.3 10.7 13.1 14.8 15.0 14.8 13.9 11.4 6.3
Columbia 5.2 5.0 7.5 10.1 12.9 15.0 17.3 18.6 13.6
Dartmouth 6.6 1.0 2.2 3.6 5.8 9.0 13.7 22.3 42.4




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Princeton 10 - 4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.6 5.6 8.3 11.2 13.3 15.2 15.1 12.7 8.3 3.4
Yale 9 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.0 5.0 7.6 10.4 12.9 14.6 14.5 12.7 9.8 5.5 1.8
Penn 7 - 7 0.2 1.0 2.3 4.7 7.3 10.4 12.6 14.5 13.2 12.0 9.5 6.5 3.8 1.6 0.4
Cornell 7 - 7 0.3 1.2 2.8 5.2 8.4 10.8 12.9 13.8 13.5 11.4 8.8 5.9 3.4 1.4 0.3
Brown 7 - 7 0.3 1.3 3.1 5.9 8.8 11.2 13.2 13.7 13.3 11.2 8.3 5.4 2.8 1.2 0.3
Harvard 7 - 7 0.4 1.3 3.2 5.9 8.8 11.8 13.5 13.6 13.1 10.8 8.3 5.3 2.8 1.2 0.3
Columbia 6 - 8 1.1 3.5 7.2 10.3 13.2 14.3 14.0 12.1 9.5 6.9 4.2 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1
Dartmouth 4 - 10 6.8 13.5 16.9 16.5 14.7 11.5 8.1 5.5 3.3 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Princeton 40.2% 29.1 9.0 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0
Yale 30.1% 20.3 7.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
Penn 13.4% 8.1 4.0 1.1 0.2 0.0
Cornell 12.1% 7.1 3.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Brown 11.0% 6.4 3.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Harvard 10.7% 6.1 3.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Columbia 5.0% 2.6 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
Dartmouth 1.0% 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Princeton 32.6% 31.2% 1.4% 12   0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.3 4.9 10.7 7.4 3.3 1.4 0.3 67.4 2.0%
Yale 24.1% 23.4% 0.7% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 2.6 7.5 6.4 3.4 1.7 0.5 75.9 0.9%
Penn 10.7% 10.5% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 2.2 3.1 2.5 1.5 0.5 89.3 0.2%
Cornell 10.3% 10.2% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.0 2.9 2.5 1.7 0.5 89.7 0.1%
Brown 9.6% 9.5% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.8 2.7 2.5 1.6 0.4 90.4 0.1%
Harvard 9.7% 9.7% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 2.7 2.3 1.7 0.8 90.3 0.1%
Columbia 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.2 0.3 95.5 0.0%
Dartmouth 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 99.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Princeton 32.6% 0.9% 32.1% 8.3% 2.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Yale 24.1% 0.6% 23.9% 5.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 10.7% 0.3% 10.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 10.3% 0.3% 10.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 9.6% 0.2% 9.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 9.7% 0.5% 9.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 4.5% 0.1% 4.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 1.0% 0.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 97.6 2.4 0.0
1st Round 99.4% 1.0 0.6 97.7 1.7 0.0
2nd Round 18.8% 0.2 81.2 18.7 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 5.4% 0.1 94.6 5.4 0.0
Elite Eight 1.2% 0.0 98.8 1.2
Final Four 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0