Ivy League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
88 Yale 47.9%   13   8 - 6 2 - 0 17 - 9 11 - 3 +6.4      +4.6 63 +1.8 121 69.4 160 +1.9 135 +13.6 3
122 Princeton 22.3%   11 - 4 2 - 0 19 - 8 10 - 4 +2.6      +2.6 108 0.0 172 68.4 187 +6.0 93 +13.8 2
134 Cornell 18.3%   8 - 5 2 - 0 15 - 10 9 - 5 +1.8      +4.7 59 -2.9 261 77.1 21 +1.3 148 +14.0 1
207 Columbia 3.3%   9 - 4 0 - 2 15 - 10 6 - 8 -2.3      +2.7 107 -5.0 320 70.7 119 +0.9 158 -14.6 6
212 Brown 3.2%   7 - 7 0 - 2 13 - 13 6 - 8 -2.7      -1.5 218 -1.2 213 64.6 283 -2.9 218 -17.6 7
215 Harvard 4.0%   5 - 9 1 - 1 10 - 16 6 - 8 -2.9      -2.9 250 0.0 175 67.6 215 -5.2 252 0.0 4
274 Dartmouth 0.7%   5 - 8 1 - 1 9 - 16 5 - 9 -6.4      -4.6 297 -1.8 236 74.4 48 -7.1 280 -5.3 5
287 Penn 0.3%   4 - 11 0 - 2 7 - 20 3 - 11 -7.2      -2.7 239 -4.5 304 64.8 276 -9.4 310 -17.6 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.5 67.3 21.9 7.8 2.1 0.6 0.2 0.0
Princeton 2.3 26.4 34.5 26.0 8.6 3.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
Cornell 2.5 23.5 32.4 26.2 11.5 4.3 1.5 0.6 0.1
Columbia 5.1 0.9 4.0 10.9 22.2 22.1 19.5 12.8 7.7
Brown 5.2 0.6 3.8 9.6 19.6 22.5 20.7 14.1 9.1
Harvard 4.6 1.7 7.0 15.2 26.4 22.1 15.5 8.6 3.7
Dartmouth 6.0 0.3 1.5 4.8 11.9 17.2 22.2 26.4 15.7
Penn 6.8 0.1 0.3 1.3 5.0 9.6 16.8 26.3 40.6




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 11 - 3 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.5 8.5 15.2 22.4 24.0 17.6 6.8
Princeton 10 - 4 0.1 0.3 0.9 3.3 7.6 13.8 19.6 21.4 17.4 10.8 4.1 0.9
Cornell 9 - 5 0.1 0.4 1.6 4.7 9.7 14.8 19.6 19.6 16.4 9.1 3.3 0.7
Columbia 6 - 8 0.2 1.0 3.3 8.2 13.6 18.7 19.9 16.4 10.7 5.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
Brown 6 - 8 0.2 1.4 4.5 9.1 15.2 19.0 19.2 15.1 9.7 4.5 1.6 0.5 0.0
Harvard 6 - 8 0.2 1.4 4.7 10.1 16.0 20.8 18.7 14.3 8.7 3.7 1.2 0.2
Dartmouth 5 - 9 2.4 9.7 17.2 21.2 19.4 14.6 9.1 4.2 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
Penn 3 - 11 3.0 10.7 18.7 22.0 20.2 14.1 6.9 3.0 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 67.3% 52.1 13.1 2.0 0.1 0.0
Princeton 26.4% 15.2 9.3 1.8 0.1 0.0
Cornell 23.5% 13.4 8.2 1.8 0.1 0.0
Columbia 0.9% 0.3 0.4 0.2
Brown 0.6% 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Harvard 1.7% 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1
Dartmouth 0.3% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Penn 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 47.9% 47.9% 0.0% 13   0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 4.8 19.6 17.5 4.8 0.5 52.1 0.0%
Princeton 22.3% 22.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.6 6.9 9.7 4.6 0.5 0.0 77.7 0.0%
Cornell 18.3% 18.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.8 7.4 5.9 1.8 0.1 81.7 0.0%
Columbia 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 0.5 96.7 0.0%
Brown 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 0.3 96.8 0.0%
Harvard 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.4 96.0 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 99.3 0.0%
Penn 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 99.7 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 47.9% 0.0% 47.9% 8.9% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 22.3% 0.0% 22.3% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 18.3% 0.0% 18.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 3.3% 0.0% 3.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 3.2% 0.1% 3.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 4.0% 1.6% 3.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.7% 0.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 99.3% 1.0 0.7 99.3
2nd Round 13.0% 0.1 87.0 13.0
Sweet Sixteen 2.7% 0.0 97.3 2.7
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0