Ivy League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
70 Yale 65.5%   12   16 - 6 10 - 0 19 - 7 13 - 1 +8.1      +6.3 43 +1.8 122 69.4 138 +5.0 94 +13.1 1
162 Princeton 12.2%   15 - 8 6 - 4 17 - 10 8 - 6 -0.1      -0.3 180 +0.2 169 66.5 224 +3.3 117 +1.3 2
164 Cornell 9.1%   11 - 10 5 - 5 14 - 11 8 - 6 -0.2      +3.4 85 -3.5 280 76.3 23 -0.7 174 -0.9 4
185 Brown 5.2%   12 - 10 5 - 5 14 - 12 7 - 7 -1.4      -1.1 204 -0.4 182 65.7 247 -1.9 192 -2.7 5
206 Dartmouth 7.2%   10 - 11 6 - 4 12 - 13 8 - 6 -2.5      -3.6 270 +1.1 142 74.8 38 -3.9 230 +0.1 3
251 Harvard 0.7%   8 - 14 4 - 6 10 - 16 6 - 8 -5.1      -3.0 259 -2.0 226 65.9 239 -5.3 259 -3.6 6
260 Penn 0.1%   7 - 16 3 - 7 8 - 19 4 - 10 -5.4      -1.1 205 -4.3 302 66.7 219 -7.5 291 -6.4 7
275 Columbia 0.0%   10 - 11 1 - 9 11 - 14 2 - 12 -6.4      0.0 173 -6.3 343 73.4 54 -5.1 253 -14.0 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.0 100.0
Princeton 2.6 0.0 60.0 22.1 14.0 3.6 0.3
Cornell 3.2 33.4 31.1 22.3 11.2 1.8 0.2
Brown 4.1 12.6 19.7 23.1 31.2 12.6 0.8
Dartmouth 3.0 0.0 41.1 29.0 19.0 9.2 1.7
Harvard 5.5 1.1 4.9 10.6 24.6 44.7 14.1 0.0
Penn 6.5 0.1 0.6 1.9 8.1 29.2 58.3 1.8
Columbia 7.9 0.0 0.7 10.7 88.7




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 13 - 1 0.1 2.3 13.3 39.0 45.4
Princeton 8 - 6 3.1 18.3 36.2 31.5 10.9
Cornell 8 - 6 1.4 10.5 31.0 39.3 17.8
Brown 7 - 7 9.9 30.4 35.6 20.0 4.2
Dartmouth 8 - 6 9.0 29.0 37.2 20.6 4.2
Harvard 6 - 8 13.9 34.8 34.0 15.0 2.2
Penn 4 - 10 15.2 38.5 32.8 12.2 1.4
Columbia 2 - 12 22.0 43.1 28.6 5.9 0.3




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 100.0% 100.0 0.0
Princeton 0.0% 0.0
Cornell
Brown
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0
Harvard
Penn
Columbia


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 65.5% 65.5% 0.0% 12   0.0 8.1 43.7 12.6 1.1 34.5 0.0%
Princeton 12.2% 12.2% 0.0% 0.7 4.0 5.5 2.0 0.1 87.8 0.0%
Cornell 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 0.3 1.7 3.5 3.4 0.2 90.9 0.0%
Brown 5.2% 5.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.8 0.6 94.8 0.0%
Dartmouth 7.2% 7.2% 0.0% 0.1 0.4 2.2 4.5 92.9 0.0%
Harvard 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1 0.6 99.3 0.0%
Penn 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 65.5% 0.0% 65.5% 13.7% 3.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 12.2% 0.0% 12.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 9.1% 0.0% 9.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 5.2% 0.1% 5.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 7.2% 2.6% 6.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 98.7% 1.0 1.3 98.7
2nd Round 14.8% 0.1 85.2 14.8
Sweet Sixteen 3.4% 0.0 96.6 3.4
Elite Eight 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0