Brown
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#189
Expected Predictive Rating-1.3#185
Pace64.4#288
Improvement+0.8#137

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#197
First Shot-2.5#245
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#90
Layup/Dunks-2.5#278
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#283
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#70
Freethrows-2.0#296
Improvement-0.6#215

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#180
First Shot+2.6#93
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#351
Layups/Dunks-2.1#271
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#272
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#32
Freethrows+1.7#69
Improvement+1.4#97
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.8% 13.7% 6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.8 14.2
.500 or above 75.2% 91.0% 72.0%
.500 or above in Conference 61.1% 82.3% 56.7%
Conference Champion 8.1% 23.4% 5.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.6% 2.3% 8.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round7.8% 13.7% 6.6%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Yale (Away) - 17.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 35 - 45 - 8
Quad 49 - 514 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 283   @ Siena L 71-72 OT 59%     0 - 1 -4.6 -4.0 -0.6
  Nov 10, 2024 239   Maine L 67-69 72%     0 - 2 -9.4 -5.9 -3.6
  Nov 15, 2024 356   New Hampshire W 76-58 92%     1 - 2 +1.2 +1.2 +0.6
  Nov 16, 2024 309   Holy Cross L 65-73 83%     1 - 3 -19.3 -11.3 -8.6
  Nov 17, 2024 288   Sacred Heart W 89-70 79%     2 - 3 +9.1 +14.9 -4.7
  Nov 23, 2024 353   @ Canisius W 83-76 81%     3 - 3 -3.4 +12.6 -15.2
  Nov 27, 2024 324   Stony Brook W 77-54 86%     4 - 3 +10.2 +0.7 +10.9
  Dec 03, 2024 202   @ Vermont W 60-53 41%     5 - 3 +8.1 +6.1 +3.7
  Dec 06, 2024 200   @ Bryant W 76-75 41%     6 - 3 +2.1 +2.8 -0.6
  Dec 10, 2024 105   Rhode Island W 84-80 2OT 42%     7 - 3 +4.9 -3.5 +7.6
  Dec 22, 2024 6   @ Kansas L 53-87 2%     7 - 4 -10.9 -7.5 -3.3
  Dec 31, 2024 18   @ Kentucky L 54-88 4%     7 - 5 -15.1 -11.3 -5.2
  Jan 11, 2025 91   @ Yale L 66-76 17%    
  Jan 18, 2025 235   Harvard W 71-65 71%    
  Jan 20, 2025 151   @ Cornell L 74-79 33%    
  Jan 25, 2025 278   Dartmouth W 75-67 78%    
  Jan 31, 2025 292   @ Penn W 70-67 61%    
  Feb 01, 2025 118   @ Princeton L 68-75 26%    
  Feb 08, 2025 196   @ Columbia L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 14, 2025 118   Princeton L 71-72 45%    
  Feb 15, 2025 292   Penn W 73-64 79%    
  Feb 21, 2025 196   Columbia W 75-72 62%    
  Feb 22, 2025 151   Cornell W 77-76 55%    
  Feb 28, 2025 235   @ Harvard L 68-69 50%    
  Mar 01, 2025 278   @ Dartmouth W 72-70 57%    
  Mar 08, 2025 91   Yale L 69-73 36%    
Projected Record 14 - 12 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 2.6 2.8 1.4 0.3 0.1 8.1 1st
2nd 0.2 2.4 6.4 4.7 1.2 0.1 15.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.4 8.7 5.2 0.8 18.2 3rd
4th 0.2 3.6 9.6 4.9 0.6 18.9 4th
5th 0.2 3.4 7.8 4.1 0.3 15.9 5th
6th 0.2 2.6 6.1 3.3 0.2 12.4 6th
7th 0.2 1.8 3.8 1.9 0.1 7.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.4 0.8 0.1 3.6 8th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.4 7.4 11.7 14.9 17.5 16.5 13.1 8.1 4.0 1.5 0.3 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
12-2 95.7% 1.4    1.1 0.3
11-3 69.3% 2.8    1.4 1.3 0.1
10-4 32.2% 2.6    0.6 1.3 0.5 0.1
9-5 6.4% 0.8    0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 8.1% 8.1 3.6 3.2 1.0 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 54.3% 54.3% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.3% 29.8% 29.8% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-2 1.5% 30.1% 30.1% 12.8 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.0
11-3 4.0% 23.6% 23.6% 13.3 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 3.1
10-4 8.1% 18.9% 18.9% 13.8 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.5
9-5 13.1% 16.5% 16.5% 14.2 0.3 1.1 0.8 0.0 10.9
8-6 16.5% 10.7% 10.7% 14.5 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.1 14.8
7-7 17.5% 4.3% 4.3% 15.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 16.7
6-8 14.9% 0.3% 0.3% 15.4 0.0 0.0 14.9
5-9 11.7% 11.7
4-10 7.4% 7.4
3-11 3.4% 3.4
2-12 1.2% 1.2
1-13 0.3% 0.3
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.1 2.4 0.2 92.2 0.0%