Brown
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#210
Expected Predictive Rating-8.5#302
Pace65.7#277
Improvement+1.3#99

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#174
First Shot-1.3#217
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#108
Layup/Dunks-4.3#313
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#242
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#60
Freethrows-0.1#184
Improvement+1.5#69

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#241
First Shot+0.6#151
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#327
Layups/Dunks-1.7#237
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#295
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#41
Freethrows-0.3#204
Improvement-0.2#191
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.2% 10.1% 7.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.4 14.9
.500 or above 36.4% 54.0% 27.7%
.500 or above in Conference 57.9% 65.4% 54.3%
Conference Champion 8.6% 11.0% 7.5%
Last Place in Conference 8.2% 6.0% 9.2%
First Four1.0% 0.4% 1.3%
First Round7.9% 9.9% 6.9%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vermont (Away) - 32.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 53 - 10
Quad 49 - 512 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 309   @ Siena L 71-72 OT 61%     0 - 1 -5.7 -4.1 -1.6
  Nov 10, 2024 217   Maine L 67-69 64%     0 - 2 -7.5 -3.6 -4.0
  Nov 15, 2024 349   New Hampshire W 76-58 89%     1 - 2 +2.5 +1.5 +1.8
  Nov 16, 2024 331   Holy Cross L 65-73 85%     1 - 3 -20.8 -12.5 -8.8
  Nov 17, 2024 313   Sacred Heart W 89-70 80%     2 - 3 +8.1 +14.6 -5.5
  Nov 23, 2024 346   @ Canisius W 83-76 76%     3 - 3 -2.3 +13.9 -15.3
  Nov 27, 2024 326   Stony Brook W 77-54 84%     4 - 3 +10.6 +2.6 +9.5
  Dec 03, 2024 161   @ Vermont L 63-68 33%    
  Dec 06, 2024 165   @ Bryant L 76-81 33%    
  Dec 10, 2024 88   Rhode Island L 73-78 33%    
  Dec 22, 2024 5   @ Kansas L 61-86 1%    
  Dec 31, 2024 7   @ Kentucky L 67-90 2%    
  Jan 11, 2025 104   @ Yale L 70-79 20%    
  Jan 18, 2025 234   Harvard W 72-67 67%    
  Jan 20, 2025 179   @ Cornell L 75-79 36%    
  Jan 25, 2025 328   Dartmouth W 78-67 83%    
  Jan 31, 2025 280   @ Penn W 72-71 55%    
  Feb 01, 2025 118   @ Princeton L 69-77 24%    
  Feb 08, 2025 163   @ Columbia L 72-77 33%    
  Feb 14, 2025 118   Princeton L 72-74 44%    
  Feb 15, 2025 280   Penn W 75-68 74%    
  Feb 21, 2025 163   Columbia W 75-74 55%    
  Feb 22, 2025 179   Cornell W 78-76 56%    
  Feb 28, 2025 234   @ Harvard L 69-70 46%    
  Mar 01, 2025 328   @ Dartmouth W 75-70 65%    
  Mar 08, 2025 104   Yale L 73-76 39%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 2.6 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.1 8.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 5.3 4.4 1.4 0.1 13.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.4 7.5 5.4 0.8 0.0 16.3 3rd
4th 0.2 3.1 8.3 5.2 0.7 17.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 3.1 8.1 5.1 0.4 17.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.2 6.6 3.7 0.4 14.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.9 2.0 0.2 0.0 9.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.7 0.5 0.0 4.2 8th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.9 4.5 7.8 11.9 15.4 16.2 14.9 12.3 7.8 4.5 1.6 0.5 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.5    0.4 0.0
12-2 92.3% 1.5    1.2 0.3 0.0
11-3 69.2% 3.1    1.7 1.3 0.1
10-4 33.1% 2.6    0.7 1.4 0.5 0.0
9-5 6.9% 0.8    0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 8.6% 8.6 4.2 3.4 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 32.4% 32.4% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-1 0.5% 37.1% 37.1% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-2 1.6% 28.9% 28.9% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.2
11-3 4.5% 26.6% 26.6% 13.8 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.3
10-4 7.8% 19.3% 19.3% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 6.3
9-5 12.3% 14.8% 14.8% 14.9 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.3 10.5
8-6 14.9% 13.4% 13.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.9 12.9
7-7 16.2% 5.5% 5.5% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 15.3
6-8 15.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 15.3
5-9 11.9% 11.9
4-10 7.8% 7.8
3-11 4.5% 4.5
2-12 1.9% 1.9
1-13 0.5% 0.5
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.2% 8.2% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.9 3.1 2.0 91.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%