Bryant
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#159
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#210
Pace82.7#2
Improvement+4.3#24

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#182
First Shot-2.8#263
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#34
Layup/Dunks-3.0#289
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#228
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#208
Freethrows+1.9#75
Improvement+1.0#120

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#148
First Shot+1.2#136
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#246
Layups/Dunks-0.2#176
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#171
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#76
Freethrows-1.5#283
Improvement+3.3#33
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 33.3% 34.0% 29.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 94.2% 96.0% 85.2%
.500 or above in Conference 99.8% 100.0% 99.2%
Conference Champion 69.8% 74.0% 49.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.0% 0.9% 1.9%
First Round32.8% 33.6% 28.9%
Second Round1.3% 1.5% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Hampshire (Away) - 83.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 33 - 44 - 7
Quad 415 - 619 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 273   Siena L 88-90 OT 81%     0 - 1 -10.8 -1.6 -8.9
  Nov 14, 2024 332   @ Buffalo W 87-64 81%     1 - 1 +14.2 +2.4 +9.5
  Nov 18, 2024 195   @ Delaware W 85-84 48%     2 - 1 +2.0 +0.8 +1.0
  Nov 21, 2024 316   @ Stonehill L 66-67 74%     2 - 2 -7.3 -8.6 +1.2
  Nov 24, 2024 99   @ St. Bonaventure L 70-85 25%     2 - 3 -7.8 +0.7 -8.5
  Nov 26, 2024 301   Tennessee St. W 97-85 78%     3 - 3 +4.1 +7.7 -5.3
  Nov 27, 2024 157   @ Chattanooga L 76-84 40%     3 - 4 -5.0 +2.9 -8.1
  Dec 02, 2024 187   @ Drexel W 78-73 46%     4 - 4 +6.4 +6.9 -0.5
  Dec 06, 2024 206   Brown L 75-76 69%     4 - 5 -5.9 -1.8 -4.0
  Dec 11, 2024 17   @ St. John's L 77-99 5%     4 - 6 -2.8 +8.1 -8.6
  Dec 14, 2024 223   Fordham L 84-86 64%     4 - 7 -5.4 -0.6 -4.5
  Dec 22, 2024 175   @ Towson L 65-70 44%     4 - 8 -3.1 -4.7 +1.6
  Dec 30, 2024 86   @ Grand Canyon L 66-112 20%     4 - 9 -36.6 -16.2 -9.7
  Jan 04, 2025 201   Maine W 81-55 68%     5 - 9 1 - 0 +21.4 +6.4 +14.3
  Jan 11, 2025 213   Vermont W 73-53 71%     6 - 9 2 - 0 +14.6 +10.8 +6.4
  Jan 16, 2025 258   @ Albany W 89-79 63%     7 - 9 3 - 0 +7.0 +10.2 -3.6
  Jan 18, 2025 190   Umass Lowell W 85-62 66%     8 - 9 4 - 0 +19.1 +1.5 +15.7
  Jan 23, 2025 352   @ New Hampshire W 82-71 83%    
  Jan 25, 2025 323   Binghamton W 83-71 89%    
  Jan 30, 2025 271   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 90-86 64%    
  Feb 01, 2025 356   @ NJIT W 77-66 85%    
  Feb 06, 2025 258   Albany W 86-77 80%    
  Feb 08, 2025 323   @ Binghamton W 80-73 74%    
  Feb 13, 2025 356   NJIT W 80-63 94%    
  Feb 15, 2025 271   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 93-84 81%    
  Feb 20, 2025 213   @ Vermont W 70-69 50%    
  Feb 27, 2025 190   @ Umass Lowell L 83-84 45%    
  Mar 01, 2025 201   @ Maine L 74-75 47%    
  Mar 04, 2025 352   New Hampshire W 84-68 94%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 13 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 2.0 10.4 20.8 21.6 12.0 3.0 69.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 5.9 8.5 3.4 0.4 19.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.1 0.9 0.0 7.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.2 0.2 2.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 5.2 11.2 19.8 24.2 21.9 12.0 3.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 3.0    3.0
15-1 100.0% 12.0    11.8 0.2
14-2 98.4% 21.6    19.4 2.1 0.0
13-3 85.7% 20.8    13.6 6.8 0.4
12-4 52.6% 10.4    3.8 5.0 1.6 0.1
11-5 17.9% 2.0    0.3 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0
10-6 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 69.8% 69.8 52.0 14.9 2.6 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 3.0% 54.2% 54.2% 12.7 0.0 0.6 0.9 0.1 1.4
15-1 12.0% 44.5% 44.5% 13.8 0.1 1.7 2.9 0.6 0.0 6.7
14-2 21.9% 38.3% 38.3% 14.3 0.1 0.7 4.2 3.3 0.2 13.5
13-3 24.2% 33.8% 33.8% 14.8 0.1 2.3 5.1 0.7 16.0
12-4 19.8% 28.8% 28.8% 15.1 0.0 0.7 3.6 1.3 14.1
11-5 11.2% 24.0% 24.0% 15.4 0.1 1.4 1.2 8.5
10-6 5.2% 17.3% 17.3% 15.6 0.0 0.4 0.5 4.3
9-7 1.9% 16.5% 16.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3 1.6
8-8 0.6% 7.8% 7.8% 16.0 0.1 0.6
7-9 0.1% 0.0 0.1
6-10 0.0% 0.0
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 33.3% 33.3% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.8 3.4 10.3 14.4 4.3 66.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.6% 100.0% 12.7 0.6 37.9 52.8 8.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.6%