Bryant
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#161
Expected Predictive Rating-1.9#195
Pace79.8#6
Improvement+2.0#102

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#174
First Shot-2.8#262
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#30
Layup/Dunks-3.1#294
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#226
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#201
Freethrows+1.9#75
Improvement+0.2#175

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#175
First Shot+0.8#152
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#253
Layups/Dunks-0.4#188
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#168
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#79
Freethrows-1.7#296
Improvement+1.8#86
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 37.6% 40.4% 34.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.5 15.1
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 95.0% 99.6% 89.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.7% 0.2% 1.3%
First Round37.3% 40.3% 34.0%
Second Round1.0% 1.1% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Away) - 53.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 22 - 6
Quad 417 - 719 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 228   Siena L 88-90 OT 72%     0 - 1 -8.2 -1.1 -6.7
  Nov 14, 2024 352   @ Buffalo W 87-64 84%     1 - 1 +12.4 +2.0 +8.1
  Nov 18, 2024 244   @ Delaware W 85-84 58%     2 - 1 -1.0 -1.1 +0.0
  Nov 21, 2024 324   @ Stonehill L 66-67 75%     2 - 2 -8.2 -9.9 +1.7
  Nov 24, 2024 106   @ St. Bonaventure L 70-85 26%     2 - 3 -8.4 +1.7 -10.1
  Nov 26, 2024 269   Tennessee St. W 97-85 71%     3 - 3 +6.3 +7.6 -3.0
  Nov 27, 2024 119   @ Chattanooga L 76-84 31%     3 - 4 -2.7 +4.0 -6.9
  Dec 02, 2024 195   @ Drexel W 78-73 48%     4 - 4 +5.6 +6.7 -1.1
  Dec 06, 2024 185   Brown L 75-76 65%     4 - 5 -5.0 -0.8 -4.2
  Dec 11, 2024 14   @ St. John's L 77-99 4%     4 - 6 -1.6 +10.6 -9.8
  Dec 14, 2024 204   Fordham L 84-86 59%     4 - 7 -4.4 -1.7 -2.4
  Dec 22, 2024 157   @ Towson L 65-70 39%     4 - 8 -2.0 -3.4 +1.4
  Dec 30, 2024 89   @ Grand Canyon L 66-112 21%     4 - 9 -37.6 -15.8 -11.1
  Jan 04, 2025 209   Maine W 81-55 69%     5 - 9 1 - 0 +20.9 +6.0 +14.2
  Jan 11, 2025 230   Vermont W 73-53 73%     6 - 9 2 - 0 +13.8 +10.5 +6.0
  Jan 16, 2025 267   @ Albany W 89-79 62%     7 - 9 3 - 0 +7.0 +11.1 -4.5
  Jan 18, 2025 225   Umass Lowell W 85-62 72%     8 - 9 4 - 0 +17.0 -0.7 +15.8
  Jan 23, 2025 355   @ New Hampshire W 95-76 85%     9 - 9 5 - 0 +7.8 +14.8 -7.6
  Jan 25, 2025 299   Binghamton W 83-69 83%     10 - 9 6 - 0 +3.8 +7.5 -3.5
  Jan 30, 2025 288   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 92-86 67%     11 - 9 7 - 0 +1.5 +7.3 -6.2
  Feb 01, 2025 346   @ NJIT W 92-70 83%     12 - 9 8 - 0 +11.9 +14.1 -2.9
  Feb 06, 2025 267   Albany L 63-68 78%     12 - 10 8 - 1 -13.1 -11.5 -1.9
  Feb 08, 2025 299   @ Binghamton W 78-71 69%     13 - 10 9 - 1 +1.9 +6.3 -4.2
  Feb 13, 2025 346   NJIT W 88-66 92%     14 - 10 10 - 1 +6.8 +4.7 +0.7
  Feb 15, 2025 288   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 81-79 82%     15 - 10 11 - 1 -7.6 -3.1 -4.5
  Feb 20, 2025 230   @ Vermont L 55-59 54%     15 - 11 11 - 2 -5.1 -9.1 +3.6
  Feb 27, 2025 225   @ Umass Lowell W 84-83 53%    
  Mar 01, 2025 209   @ Maine W 74-73 49%    
  Mar 04, 2025 355   New Hampshire W 85-69 94%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 13 - 3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.6 22.0 46.9 25.4 95.0 1st
2nd 0.8 4.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.3 0.3 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 1.6 26.0 46.9 25.4 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 25.4    25.4
13-3 100.0% 46.9    39.1 7.8
12-4 84.6% 22.0    8.5 10.7 2.8
11-5 37.2% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.3
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 95.0% 95.0 73.2 18.8 3.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 25.4% 42.2% 42.2% 14.1 0.0 1.6 6.2 2.8 0.1 14.7
13-3 46.9% 38.8% 38.8% 14.9 0.0 0.2 4.2 11.3 2.6 28.7
12-4 26.0% 31.6% 31.6% 15.3 0.0 0.7 4.7 2.8 17.8
11-5 1.6% 25.6% 25.6% 15.6 0.2 0.2 1.2
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 37.6% 37.6% 0.0% 14.8 0.1 1.8 11.0 19.0 5.7 62.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 10.7% 100.0% 14.1 0.4 15.3 57.7 25.8 0.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 5.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 5.4%
Lose Out 0.4%