Albany
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#267
Expected Predictive Rating-5.0#247
Pace69.2#149
Improvement+0.1#183

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#240
First Shot-4.8#305
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#44
Layup/Dunks+0.0#184
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#162
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#329
Freethrows+0.2#162
Improvement-0.5#205

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#269
First Shot-3.5#288
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#152
Layups/Dunks-5.8#354
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#89
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#43
Freethrows-2.3#329
Improvement+0.6#151
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.4% 8.6% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 48.7% 53.8% 17.3%
.500 or above in Conference 80.5% 86.6% 43.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four4.5% 4.4% 5.1%
First Round6.1% 6.6% 3.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Hampshire (Home) - 86.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 32 - 43 - 5
Quad 412 - 1115 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 287   @ Army L 59-67 45%     0 - 1 -12.4 -14.0 +1.3
  Nov 13, 2024 206   @ Dartmouth W 87-73 29%     1 - 1 +14.1 +14.5 -0.8
  Nov 16, 2024 228   Siena W 70-60 52%     2 - 1 +3.8 -1.3 +5.7
  Nov 23, 2024 245   UMKC W 67-65 47%     3 - 1 -2.8 -0.1 -2.5
  Nov 24, 2024 247   American L 77-81 47%     3 - 2 -8.8 -0.3 -8.4
  Nov 30, 2024 73   @ Georgetown L 68-100 8%     3 - 3 -21.7 -3.2 -15.6
  Dec 04, 2024 275   Columbia W 88-73 63%     4 - 3 +6.1 +3.4 +2.0
  Dec 07, 2024 300   @ Boston University L 74-80 OT 49%     4 - 4 -11.3 +0.3 -11.6
  Dec 10, 2024 108   @ Syracuse L 85-102 14%     4 - 5 -11.0 +11.2 -21.5
  Dec 14, 2024 195   Drexel L 70-77 46%     4 - 6 -11.5 +0.3 -12.1
  Dec 18, 2024 274   @ Sacred Heart W 74-66 43%     5 - 6 +4.2 -2.7 +6.9
  Dec 21, 2024 204   @ Fordham L 83-87 29%     5 - 7 -3.8 +1.9 -5.3
  Dec 29, 2024 320   Stony Brook W 77-70 73%     6 - 7 -4.9 +0.0 -4.6
  Jan 04, 2025 225   Umass Lowell L 69-73 52%     6 - 8 0 - 1 -10.0 -5.9 -4.3
  Jan 09, 2025 355   @ New Hampshire W 61-57 71%     7 - 8 1 - 1 -7.2 -12.4 +5.5
  Jan 11, 2025 209   @ Maine L 66-87 29%     7 - 9 1 - 2 -21.0 -5.3 -15.3
  Jan 16, 2025 161   Bryant L 79-89 38%     7 - 10 1 - 3 -12.5 +2.2 -14.3
  Jan 18, 2025 299   @ Binghamton W 70-65 48%     8 - 10 2 - 3 -0.1 +3.1 -2.7
  Jan 23, 2025 288   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 87-92 OT 65%     8 - 11 2 - 4 -14.6 -5.1 -8.8
  Jan 25, 2025 346   NJIT W 68-62 82%     9 - 11 3 - 4 -9.2 -2.6 -6.0
  Feb 01, 2025 299   Binghamton L 61-65 67%     9 - 12 3 - 5 -14.2 -15.0 +0.7
  Feb 06, 2025 161   @ Bryant W 68-63 22%     10 - 12 4 - 5 +7.6 -0.5 +8.3
  Feb 08, 2025 230   Vermont L 62-68 52%     10 - 13 4 - 6 -12.2 +0.9 -14.1
  Feb 13, 2025 225   @ Umass Lowell W 90-88 OT 33%     11 - 13 5 - 6 +1.1 +5.9 -5.0
  Feb 20, 2025 209   Maine W 79-68 48%     12 - 13 6 - 6 +5.9 +6.9 -0.9
  Feb 22, 2025 355   New Hampshire W 78-67 86%    
  Feb 27, 2025 288   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 79-80 44%    
  Mar 01, 2025 346   @ NJIT W 71-66 65%    
  Mar 04, 2025 230   @ Vermont L 63-67 32%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.5 5.4 4.2 10.1 3rd
4th 6.2 33.7 26.2 2.9 69.0 4th
5th 0.5 9.3 6.0 15.7 5th
6th 1.1 1.7 2.8 6th
7th 0.6 0.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 8th
9th 9th
Total 2.3 17.1 40.2 31.7 8.6 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 8.6% 11.8% 11.8% 15.3 0.0 0.6 0.4 7.6
9-7 31.7% 9.6% 9.6% 15.8 0.5 2.6 28.7
8-8 40.2% 7.7% 7.7% 15.9 0.2 2.9 37.1
7-9 17.1% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.0 1.1 16.0
6-10 2.3% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.1 2.2
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 8.4% 8.4% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 1.3 7.0 91.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.0% 100.0% 15.3 4.0 57.4 38.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.5%
Lose Out 1.6%