Albany
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#236
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#233
Pace73.2#71
Improvement+0.6#142

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#193
First Shot-3.3#274
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#52
Layup/Dunks+1.8#117
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#178
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#304
Freethrows-0.7#225
Improvement+2.1#45

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#279
First Shot-3.2#283
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#195
Layups/Dunks-6.2#353
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#80
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#38
Freethrows-2.2#317
Improvement-1.5#300
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.9% 10.8% 8.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 55.4% 73.5% 48.7%
.500 or above in Conference 68.0% 74.9% 65.4%
Conference Champion 9.5% 12.6% 8.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.7% 1.7% 3.1%
First Four2.1% 1.7% 2.2%
First Round7.9% 10.0% 7.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Away) - 27.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 33 - 53 - 8
Quad 413 - 715 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 299   @ Army L 59-67 51%     0 - 1 -12.4 -14.2 +1.6
  Nov 13, 2024 312   @ Dartmouth W 87-73 55%     1 - 1 +8.6 +10.8 -2.5
  Nov 16, 2024 305   Siena W 70-60 74%     2 - 1 -0.8 -3.0 +2.7
  Nov 23, 2024 240   UMKC W 67-65 51%     3 - 1 -2.3 -0.5 -1.6
  Nov 24, 2024 242   American L 77-81 52%     3 - 2 -8.6 -0.1 -8.4
  Nov 30, 2024 71   @ Georgetown L 68-100 9%     3 - 3 -21.0 -4.9 -13.2
  Dec 04, 2024 177   Columbia W 88-73 49%     4 - 3 +11.1 +6.6 +3.8
  Dec 07, 2024 256   @ Boston University L 74-80 OT 43%     4 - 4 -8.2 +1.4 -9.6
  Dec 10, 2024 95   @ Syracuse L 85-102 12%     4 - 5 -8.3 +11.7 -19.4
  Dec 14, 2024 146   Drexel L 70-77 44%     4 - 6 -9.6 +0.1 -10.1
  Dec 18, 2024 284   @ Sacred Heart W 74-66 49%     5 - 6 +4.2 -1.4 +5.6
  Dec 21, 2024 169   @ Fordham L 74-80 27%    
  Dec 29, 2024 307   Stony Brook W 79-72 75%    
  Jan 04, 2025 147   Umass Lowell L 80-81 45%    
  Jan 09, 2025 356   @ New Hampshire W 76-70 71%    
  Jan 11, 2025 212   @ Maine L 70-75 33%    
  Jan 16, 2025 178   Bryant L 83-84 49%    
  Jan 18, 2025 314   @ Binghamton W 73-72 56%    
  Jan 23, 2025 249   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 87-83 64%    
  Jan 25, 2025 352   NJIT W 76-65 85%    
  Feb 01, 2025 314   Binghamton W 76-69 75%    
  Feb 06, 2025 178   @ Bryant L 81-87 29%    
  Feb 08, 2025 184   Vermont W 68-67 51%    
  Feb 13, 2025 147   @ Umass Lowell L 77-84 25%    
  Feb 20, 2025 212   Maine W 73-72 55%    
  Feb 22, 2025 356   New Hampshire W 79-67 86%    
  Feb 27, 2025 249   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 84-86 42%    
  Mar 01, 2025 352   @ NJIT W 73-68 68%    
  Mar 04, 2025 184   @ Vermont L 65-71 30%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.3 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.0 9.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 3.0 5.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 12.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.8 7.1 3.2 0.3 0.0 15.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 4.5 8.0 3.5 0.3 16.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.7 8.0 3.7 0.3 0.0 17.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 4.6 6.6 2.6 0.2 15.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.0 3.6 1.3 0.1 8.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.3 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.7 5.3 9.3 13.1 15.7 16.1 14.1 10.7 6.5 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
14-2 96.7% 1.2    1.1 0.1
13-3 82.9% 2.7    1.9 0.7 0.1
12-4 50.2% 3.3    1.3 1.5 0.5 0.0
11-5 15.3% 1.6    0.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0
10-6 1.7% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 9.5% 9.5 4.9 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 55.0% 55.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.4% 28.2% 28.2% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-2 1.3% 27.6% 27.6% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9
13-3 3.2% 25.6% 25.6% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 2.4
12-4 6.5% 19.4% 19.4% 14.8 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.2 5.3
11-5 10.7% 14.1% 14.1% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.5 9.2
10-6 14.1% 11.5% 11.5% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 12.5
9-7 16.1% 7.6% 7.6% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 14.8
8-8 15.7% 6.1% 6.1% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 14.8
7-9 13.1% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6 12.5
6-10 9.3% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.3 9.1
5-11 5.3% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.1 5.2
4-12 2.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.6
3-13 1.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.1
2-14 0.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.4
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 3.2 4.2 91.1 0.0%