Albany
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#260
Expected Predictive Rating-5.0#248
Pace70.8#116
Improvement-2.7#301

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#219
First Shot-4.1#293
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#37
Layup/Dunks+0.6#152
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#162
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#327
Freethrows+0.3#158
Improvement-1.0#243

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#293
First Shot-4.1#306
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#177
Layups/Dunks-6.1#356
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#100
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#43
Freethrows-2.5#334
Improvement-1.7#278
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.8% 6.3% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 40.1% 50.8% 22.5%
.500 or above in Conference 58.3% 70.5% 38.0%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 0.6% 3.4%
First Four2.6% 2.5% 2.7%
First Round4.4% 5.0% 3.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Baltimore Co. (Home) - 62.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 413 - 914 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 305   @ Army L 59-67 48%     0 - 1 -13.2 -14.2 +0.7
  Nov 13, 2024 274   @ Dartmouth W 87-73 42%     1 - 1 +10.3 +11.7 -1.7
  Nov 16, 2024 270   Siena W 70-60 63%     2 - 1 +1.1 -1.8 +3.5
  Nov 23, 2024 223   UMKC W 67-65 42%     3 - 1 -1.5 +0.1 -1.4
  Nov 24, 2024 236   American L 77-81 45%     3 - 2 -8.2 +0.4 -8.6
  Nov 30, 2024 72   @ Georgetown L 68-100 8%     3 - 3 -21.5 -3.1 -15.6
  Dec 04, 2024 207   Columbia W 88-73 48%     4 - 3 +10.0 +4.6 +4.6
  Dec 07, 2024 282   @ Boston University L 74-80 OT 45%     4 - 4 -10.2 +1.2 -11.4
  Dec 10, 2024 103   @ Syracuse L 85-102 13%     4 - 5 -10.3 +12.4 -22.0
  Dec 14, 2024 193   Drexel L 70-77 44%     4 - 6 -11.1 +0.1 -11.6
  Dec 18, 2024 295   @ Sacred Heart W 74-66 47%     5 - 6 +3.1 -2.9 +5.9
  Dec 21, 2024 221   @ Fordham L 83-87 31%     5 - 7 -4.6 +3.2 -7.4
  Dec 29, 2024 320   Stony Brook W 77-70 73%     6 - 7 -5.0 +1.3 -5.9
  Jan 04, 2025 188   Umass Lowell L 69-73 44%     6 - 8 0 - 1 -8.0 -3.8 -4.4
  Jan 09, 2025 351   @ New Hampshire W 61-57 67%     7 - 8 1 - 1 -6.1 -10.0 +4.1
  Jan 11, 2025 202   @ Maine L 66-87 27%     7 - 9 1 - 2 -20.2 -4.8 -14.9
  Jan 16, 2025 157   Bryant L 79-89 37%     7 - 10 1 - 3 -12.3 +2.5 -14.5
  Jan 18, 2025 322   @ Binghamton W 70-65 54%     8 - 10 2 - 3 -1.6 +0.4 -1.4
  Jan 23, 2025 271   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 85-82 62%    
  Jan 25, 2025 355   NJIT W 74-63 85%    
  Feb 01, 2025 322   Binghamton W 76-70 73%    
  Feb 06, 2025 157   @ Bryant L 77-86 20%    
  Feb 08, 2025 211   Vermont L 66-67 51%    
  Feb 13, 2025 188   @ Umass Lowell L 75-82 25%    
  Feb 20, 2025 202   Maine L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 22, 2025 351   New Hampshire W 77-67 83%    
  Feb 27, 2025 271   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 82-84 43%    
  Mar 01, 2025 355   @ NJIT W 71-66 67%    
  Mar 04, 2025 211   @ Vermont L 64-70 29%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 1.0 1st
2nd 0.2 1.3 2.2 0.8 0.0 4.4 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.0 5.5 2.0 0.1 10.8 3rd
4th 0.9 5.4 9.7 4.2 0.1 20.4 4th
5th 0.2 3.6 12.3 14.9 5.6 0.6 0.0 37.2 5th
6th 0.1 2.1 7.0 6.5 1.5 0.1 17.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.1 2.4 0.4 6.5 7th
8th 0.2 1.0 0.9 0.1 2.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 9th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.9 6.3 13.1 20.1 22.1 18.5 11.5 4.6 1.4 0.2 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 93.3% 0.1    0.1 0.1
12-4 39.7% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-5 5.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.2% 0.0 0.1
12-4 1.4% 18.4% 18.4% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.2
11-5 4.6% 15.1% 15.1% 15.3 0.0 0.4 0.3 3.9
10-6 11.5% 8.3% 8.3% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 10.6
9-7 18.5% 7.1% 7.1% 15.8 0.2 1.1 17.2
8-8 22.1% 5.6% 5.6% 15.9 0.1 1.1 20.9
7-9 20.1% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.8 19.3
6-10 13.1% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 12.8
5-11 6.3% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.2 6.1
4-12 1.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 1.9
3-13 0.4% 0.4
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.4 94.3 0.0%