New Hampshire
America East
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.9#341
Expected Predictive Rating-19.8#361
Pace70.8#128
Improvement+0.9#79

Offense
Total Offense-7.0#346
First Shot-7.2#349
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#166
Layup/Dunks-1.3#228
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#263
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#267
Freethrows-1.5#258
Improvement-0.4#251

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#325
First Shot-2.8#270
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#301
Layups/Dunks-2.4#256
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#103
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#207
Freethrows-0.9#236
Improvement+1.4#38
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.1% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.6% 2.1% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 11.9% 16.7% 11.0%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.6% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 30.5% 22.9% 31.7%
First Four0.6% 1.0% 0.6%
First Round0.3% 0.6% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marist (Away) - 14.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 71 - 11
Quad 46 - 127 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 129   @ Massachusetts L 74-103 6%     0 - 1 -23.8 -4.7 -15.6
  Nov 09, 2024 2   @ Connecticut L 53-92 0.4%    0 - 2 -15.7 -8.2 -7.7
  Nov 12, 2024 274   Fairfield L 56-62 38%     0 - 3 -14.8 -15.4 +0.1
  Nov 15, 2024 221   @ Brown L 58-76 14%     0 - 4 -18.0 -12.5 -6.3
  Nov 16, 2024 331   Sacred Heart L 63-80 44%     0 - 5 -27.3 -12.4 -16.2
  Nov 17, 2024 318   Holy Cross L 72-74 38%     0 - 6 -10.7 -0.4 -10.5
  Nov 23, 2024 234   @ Marist L 64-75 14%    
  Nov 25, 2024 192   @ Columbia L 70-83 11%    
  Dec 01, 2024 161   @ Fordham L 64-79 9%    
  Dec 03, 2024 339   Dartmouth W 72-69 60%    
  Dec 08, 2024 243   Harvard L 68-73 33%    
  Dec 22, 2024 344   @ Stonehill L 68-71 40%    
  Dec 30, 2024 41   @ Iowa L 65-91 1%    
  Jan 04, 2025 149   Vermont L 60-69 19%    
  Jan 09, 2025 248   Albany L 74-79 34%    
  Jan 11, 2025 329   Binghamton W 71-70 53%    
  Jan 16, 2025 311   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 76-83 28%    
  Jan 18, 2025 360   @ NJIT L 67-68 49%    
  Jan 23, 2025 159   Bryant L 74-83 22%    
  Jan 25, 2025 154   @ Umass Lowell L 67-82 9%    
  Jan 30, 2025 241   @ Maine L 61-72 17%    
  Feb 06, 2025 311   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 79-80 48%    
  Feb 08, 2025 360   NJIT W 71-65 69%    
  Feb 13, 2025 149   @ Vermont L 57-72 9%    
  Feb 15, 2025 154   Umass Lowell L 70-79 21%    
  Feb 20, 2025 329   @ Binghamton L 68-73 33%    
  Feb 22, 2025 248   @ Albany L 71-82 18%    
  Feb 27, 2025 241   Maine L 64-69 33%    
  Mar 04, 2025 159   @ Bryant L 71-86 10%    
Projected Record 6 - 23 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.1 1.7 0.4 0.0 4.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.6 2.9 0.6 0.0 8.8 5th
6th 0.4 3.2 6.2 4.3 0.9 0.0 15.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 6.1 9.0 4.8 1.0 0.0 22.1 7th
8th 0.3 3.4 8.9 9.3 3.9 0.5 0.0 26.4 8th
9th 1.2 4.7 7.1 5.0 1.5 0.2 0.0 19.7 9th
Total 1.2 5.0 10.6 15.1 17.2 16.4 13.1 9.5 6.1 3.2 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 82.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
12-4 46.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 11.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 1.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.1% 14.3% 14.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.2% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2
11-5 0.7% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.0 0.7
10-6 1.5% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.1 1.4
9-7 3.2% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.1 3.1
8-8 6.1% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 6.0
7-9 9.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 9.4
6-10 13.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.0
5-11 16.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 16.3
4-12 17.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 17.2
3-13 15.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.1
2-14 10.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.6
1-15 5.0% 5.0
0-16 1.2% 1.2
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.6 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%