New Hampshire
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -10.5 327
Expected Predictive Rating -10.2 324
Pace 68.7 180
Improvement +0.2 177

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- #347 D- D D D B-
Defense D+ #266 C C D+ D C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 110 51% 328 -1.3 230
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 291 32% 339 -3.0 316
Three Pointers 43% 128 30% 320 -1.2 226
1st FG Attempt 0.91 328 -5.5 330
Second Chance 25.3% 321 0.97 262 0.25 320
Turnovers 19.0% 308
Freethrows 0.26 308 69% 293 0.18 325
Total Offense -7.5 347

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 31 58% 195 -3.7 310
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 144 37% 131 -0.2 206
Three Pointers 34% 345 34% 172 +3.7 42
1st FG Attempt 1.02 179 -0.2 183
Second Chance 32.0% 239 1.01 145 0.32 213
Turnovers 15.2% 287
Freethrows 0.34 288 75% 332 0.25 307
Total Defense -3.0 266

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.9 67 +0.3 227
Shot Type Accuracy -6.1 349 -0.3 170
Possession Length 17.4 190 16.9 115
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 212 0.15 95
Improvement +1.9 #93 -1.6 #282

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6% 7% 5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1% 2% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 55% 71% 35%
Conference Champion 0% 1% 0%
Last Place in Conference 1% 0% 2%
First Four6% 7% 5%
First Round3% 3% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: NJIT (Home) - 55.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 30 - 8
Quad 410 - 1010 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 38 @Clemson L 38 - 88 1% -26  0% 0 - 1 F -33 F -26 F D- C D -7 C B+ F
 Sun, Nov 9 153 @Harvard L 75 - 86 11% +6  80% 0 - 2 D+ -8 C +1 B D F+ D- -9 F A+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 89 @George Mason L 44 - 61 5% -7  0% 0 - 3 D -8 F -24 F C+ F A+ +15 A+ C B-
 Tue, Nov 18 60 @Providence L 66 - 98 3% -13  1% 0 - 4 F -20 F+ -8 F A F F -12 F A D-
 Wed, Nov 26 278 Brown L 47 - 59 47% -5  4% 0 - 5 F -22 F -25 F D F+ B- +3 D+ B- C
 Sun, Nov 30 262 @Fairfield L 68 - 72 23% -0  29% 0 - 6 D+ -7 D -5 F+ F A C- -2 D C B-
 Wed, Dec 3 240 @Dartmouth L 68 - 69 20% +2  71% 0 - 7 C- -2 D- -7 D- F+ C+ B +5 C A- C+
 Sat, Dec 6 275 Boston University W 88 - 82 OT 46% -6  35% 1 - 7 C- -3 D+ -4 C D C- C -0 A F D+
 Wed, Dec 17 330 Stonehill W 59 - 58 63% +1  61% 2 - 7 D- -13 F -16 F D- D+ B- +3 C+ B A+
 Sun, Dec 21 22 @Saint Louis L 79 - 93 1% -3  24% 2 - 8 B- +6 B+ +9 A+ F+ A- C- -2 A- B F
 Tue, Dec 30 15 @Nebraska L 55 - 86 1% -10  10% 2 - 9 D -10 F+ -8 D+ C- D- C- -2 A+ F B-
 Sat, Jan 3 224 Vermont L 61 - 80 34% -9  11% 2 - 10 0 - 1 F -25 F -13 D+ D+ F F -14 F+ F D-
 Thu, Jan 8 315 @NJIT L 76 - 80 34% +1  57% 2 - 11 0 - 2 D -10 C- -2 B- D- F D- -8 C+ F F
 Sat, Jan 10 259 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 74 - 75 23% +3  69% 2 - 12 0 - 3 C- -4 B +6 B B D- F+ -9 F A+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 338 @Maine W 65 - 48 43% +12  97% 3 - 12 1 - 3 B +8 D -4 C- F A A+ +14 A+ A C-
 Thu, Jan 22 361 Binghamton W 88 - 82 3OT 81% -6  13% 4 - 12 2 - 3 D- -14 F -11 F D D+ C- -3 D+ F+ D+
 Sat, Jan 24 325 Albany W 80 - 72 61% +3  60% 5 - 12 3 - 3 D+ -5 B- +4 B B- D D- -8 F D+ A
 Thu, Jan 29 318 Umass Lowell W 66 - 61 59% +3  77% 6 - 12 4 - 3 D+ -8 F -15 F F D+ B+ +7 A- C+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 342 @Bryant L 84 - 92 45% -1  45% 6 - 13 4 - 4 F+ -17 C +1 C- D+ B- F -18 F+ F F
 Sat, Feb 7 224 @Vermont L 57 - 80 17% -18  0% 6 - 14 4 - 5 F -23 F -18 F F F D -6 F A C+
 Thu, Feb 12 315 NJIT W 72 - 70 56%
 Sat, Feb 14 259 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 70 - 72 43%
 Thu, Feb 19 318 @Umass Lowell L 72 - 76 36%
 Sat, Feb 21 338 Maine W 67 - 63 65%
 Thu, Feb 26 361 @Binghamton W 71 - 68 61%
 Sat, Feb 28 325 @Albany L 69 - 72 38%
 Tue, Mar 3 342 Bryant W 70 - 65 66%
Totals 10 - 17 8 - 8 -10 D- -7 D- D D D+ -3 C C D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- D- D- D F+ 41% 15% 43% B- D- D D+ D D D D D D+ C C+ C C 45% 22% 34% C- C C- C+ C D+ D+ D- D
0.98 51% 32% 30% -6 +1 0.91 25% 1.0 .25 19% .26 69% .18 1.13 58% 37% 34% 0 0 1.02 32% 1.0 .32 15% .34 75% .20
Nov
3		 Clemson F F F F F 35% 17% 48% B F D F D- C F F F D F+ A+ C+ C 46% 15% 39% C C B+ B- B+ F F C F
0.55 39% 11% 16% -24 0 0.54 17% 0.8 .13 19% .16 44% .07 1.27 71% 29% 33% +4 +1 1.13 24% 1.0 .24 9% .65 73% .47
Nov
9		 Harvard C B- F A+ B 43% 19% 38% C B F A+ D F+ F A+ D D- C- F F F 53% 17% 30% D- F A A+ A+ F D C- D
1.07 61% 20% 45% +4 +1 1.11 17% 1.4 .23 20% .18 90% .16 1.23 61% 56% 50% +12 +2 1.28 19% 0.6 .11 13% .29 83% .25
Nov
15		 George Mason F F F F F 33% 35% 33% D- F F A+ C+ F F+ A+ C- A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 17% 39% D A+ D- B+ C B- F F+ F
0.67 47% 19% 13% -20 -2 0.57 17% 1.7 .28 27% .19 89% .17 0.92 65% 13% 11% -15 +1 0.74 37% 0.9 .32 18% .50 78% .39
Nov
18		 Providence F+ A F+ F F 29% 25% 46% D+ F B+ A A F F A+ F+ F F A- F F 54% 5% 41% F F F+ A+ A D- C- A+ B
0.95 67% 31% 21% -8 -1 0.83 35% 1.2 .43 20% .16 89% .14 1.41 73% 33% 43% +14 +3 1.36 41% 0.7 .29 12% .36 64% .23
Nov
26		 Brown F F C F F 40% 9% 51% B+ F D- D+ D F+ F A+ F B- C F A+ D+ 48% 13% 39% D- D+ A+ F B- C D B+ C-
0.72 29% 40% 26% -18 +2 0.70 24% 0.9 .22 21% .08 100% .08 0.90 55% 67% 22% -5 +2 0.96 19% 1.3 .26 20% .29 67% .19
Nov
30		 Fairfield D D F F F 65% 8% 27% A F+ C F F A A F B- C- A F F D- 45% 24% 31% C- D F B+ C B- F+ A+ C-
1.05 52% 25% 29% -7 +4 0.94 32% 0.5 .17 11% .38 64% .24 1.11 41% 50% 47% +1 0 1.04 40% 0.8 .31 17% .32 59% .19
Dec
3		 Dartmouth D- C D+ F D- 43% 30% 27% D- D- F D F+ C+ C- B- C B C- F C C- 28% 26% 46% A- C F A+ A- C+ B C- B
0.98 58% 35% 20% -6 -1 0.88 21% 0.9 .18 12% .26 75% .20 0.99 57% 46% 35% +3 -1 1.04 33% 0.5 .18 20% .27 73% .20
Dec
6		 Boston University D+ C A+ C- D+ 60% 5% 35% A+ C C+ F D C- A+ F C+ C A+ A+ F A+ 44% 13% 44% D- A C+ F F D+ F A+ D+
1.15 59% 67% 35% +3 +4 1.14 33% 0.8 .25 13% .43 52% .22 1.07 38% 29% 42% -5 +1 0.95 23% 1.7 .40 17% .42 56% .24
Dec
17		 Stonehill F F F A- F 47% 15% 38% B F D F+ D- D+ C D- C- B- D- A+ A+ C+ 49% 21% 30% D+ C+ D+ A+ B A+ F F F
0.86 24% 25% 40% -15 +1 0.75 22% 0.9 .20 13% .29 65% .19 0.85 62% 11% 23% -9 +1 0.86 30% 0.6 .18 31% .38 83% .32
Dec
21		 Saint Louis B+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 31% 20% 49% C A+ F B+ F+ A- D F F C- B- A+ F B+ 40% 11% 49% B+ A- C- A B F F C- F
1.07 50% 50% 41% +6 -1 1.12 11% 1.0 .11 12% .28 61% .17 1.25 57% 17% 42% +3 +1 1.11 34% 0.9 .29 11% .47 74% .35
Dec
30		 Nebraska F+ F+ A F D+ 9% 29% 62% D D+ B F C- D- A+ D+ A- C- F A+ A+ A+ 40% 19% 42% B A+ F F F B- F C- F
0.80 50% 46% 25% -7 -3 0.82 30% 0.6 .18 23% .32 65% .21 1.25 79% 22% 20% -3 0 0.96 43% 1.4 .59 15% .59 77% .46
Jan
3		 Vermont F F B- A D+ 32% 21% 47% C D+ D C- D+ F F A- F F D F D- F 38% 21% 40% C+ F+ D F F D- A+ F A-
0.95 40% 40% 41% 0 -1 1.00 23% 1.0 .23 22% .20 80% .16 1.25 65% 55% 38% +9 0 1.19 28% 1.3 .34 12% .16 89% .14
Jan
8		 NJIT C- F+ F A+ C 52% 7% 41% A B- D F+ D- F A+ C+ A+ D- B- B- B- C+ 42% 34% 25% B- C+ F F F F D F F+
1.06 48% 0% 44% -1 +3 1.05 29% 0.9 .26 21% .53 73% .39 1.12 50% 33% 31% -6 -1 0.87 35% 1.4 .49 11% .36 78% .28
Jan
10		 Maryland Baltimore Co. B B A+ D C+ 62% 6% 32% A+ B B+ C+ B D- C- F F+ F+ C- F+ F F 43% 21% 36% D F A+ A+ A+ F C F D+
1.18 65% 67% 31% +4 +4 1.18 35% 1.1 .39 16% .21 45% .09 1.19 61% 45% 42% +7 0 1.17 11% 0.7 .07 6% .27 81% .22
Jan
19		 Maine D D+ B+ D D+ 53% 14% 33% A- C- D- F F A D F F A+ A- D A+ A+ 48% 18% 35% F+ A+ A+ F A C- F F F
1.02 56% 43% 29% -3 +2 1.00 31% 0.7 .23 14% .27 53% .15 0.75 47% 43% 7% -18 +1 0.68 3% 2.0 .07 20% .45 83% .37
Jan
22		 Binghamton F F D- F F 34% 14% 52% C- F C F D D+ A- D+ B+ C- B+ B- F C- 50% 24% 26% D+ D+ D F F+ D+ A+ F B+
1.05 41% 33% 27% -12 +1 0.80 32% 0.9 .28 13% .40 69% .27 0.97 48% 36% 40% -3 0 0.97 23% 1.1 .26 19% .26 89% .23
Jan
24		 Albany B- C D B+ B 25% 6% 69% C+ B F+ A+ B- D C A+ B+ D- F D C- F 49% 22% 29% C- F F B+ D+ A F F F
1.23 58% 33% 39% +5 +1 1.15 28% 1.8 .48 17% .31 88% .28 1.11 70% 44% 33% +7 +1 1.17 42% 0.8 .33 25% .47 78% .37
Jan
29		 Umass Lowell F D+ F F F 51% 13% 36% B F F C F D+ C D C- B+ A- F+ A+ A- 47% 31% 22% B A- B+ D C+ F A B- A-
0.95 56% 0% 26% -10 +2 0.85 20% 1.1 .22 14% .29 71% .20 0.88 46% 47% 17% -8 -1 0.84 26% 1.1 .29 16% .22 62% .14
Jan
31		 Bryant C A- F F D 57% 9% 34% B+ C- F B+ D+ B- A+ C A+ F D+ A D F+ 51% 16% 33% D F+ F F F F F F F
1.14 67% 20% 22% -3 +3 1.02 25% 1.1 .28 12% .43 71% .31 1.24 58% 25% 35% -2 +2 1.02 34% 1.7 .59 16% .60 86% .52
Feb
7		 Vermont F F D+ F+ F 57% 6% 36% A+ F F F F F A- F C+ D D+ B+ F F 30% 6% 65% D- F D A+ A C+ A F B+
0.84 41% 33% 29% -13 +3 0.83 17% 0.8 .14 19% .40 64% .26 1.18 63% 33% 43% +10 +1 1.24 28% 0.4 .11 16% .19 82% .16



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.4 1st
2nd 0.2 1.7 0.7 2.6 2nd
3rd 0.5 5.0 4.2 0.3 9.9 3rd
4th 1.5 13.2 12.2 1.6 28.4 4th
5th 0.8 11.4 12.5 1.6 26.2 5th
6th 0.1 4.8 9.6 1.2 15.7 6th
7th 1.4 6.5 1.9 9.8 7th
8th 0.8 4.0 2.1 0.0 6.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.0 0.1 9th
Total 0.9 5.5 14.1 24.4 27.3 19.0 7.5 1.2 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 23.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.2
10-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 1.2% 17.9% 17.9% 15.8 0.1 0.2 1.0
10-6 7.5% 9.4% 9.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7 6.8
9-7 19.0% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 1.4 17.6
8-8 27.3% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 1.9 25.5
7-9 24.4% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 1.2 23.2
6-10 14.1% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.5 13.6
5-11 5.5% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 5.4
4-12 0.9% 0.9
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 16.0 94.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 15.8 22.7 77.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%
Lose Out 0.8%