Brown
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#226
Expected Predictive Rating-7.2#284
Pace65.3#292
Improvement+4.2#8

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#331
First Shot-5.8#328
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#194
Layup/Dunks-4.8#327
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#159
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#105
Freethrows-3.9#342
Improvement+1.4#72

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#104
First Shot+2.4#98
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#201
Layups/Dunks-0.2#185
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#244
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#93
Freethrows+0.8#129
Improvement+2.8#14
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 5.0% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 14.7 15.4
.500 or above 9.7% 25.5% 8.4%
.500 or above in Conference 37.5% 50.6% 36.4%
Conference Champion 2.4% 4.1% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 19.8% 12.2% 20.4%
First Four1.0% 0.4% 1.0%
First Round2.7% 4.8% 2.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Providence (Away) - 7.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 62 - 11
Quad 48 - 610 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 156 Siena L 46-62 48%     0 - 1 -19.3 -25.1 +5.0
  Sun, Nov 9 185 Vermont L 84-89 2OT 53%     0 - 2 -9.7 -5.7 -3.4
  Wed, Nov 12 253 @Boston University L 77-90 43%     0 - 3 -15.1 +6.5 -22.8
  Fri, Nov 14 208 Hampton L 63-72 59%     0 - 4 -15.2 -6.7 -9.3
  Tue, Nov 18 286 Holy Cross W 68-49 73%     1 - 4 +8.9 -0.4 +12.1
  Thu, Nov 20 221 @Stony Brook L 70-80 38%     1 - 5 -10.7 -1.0 -10.2
  Sun, Nov 23 328 @Maine W 58-53 62%     2 - 5 -1.9 -10.5 +9.0
  Wed, Nov 26 335 @New Hampshire W 59-47 64%     3 - 5 +4.4 -11.4 +16.6
  Tue, Dec 2 116 @Rhode Island L 56-66 17%     3 - 6 -3.7 -9.7 +5.3
  Fri, Dec 5 297 Bryant W 75-56 74%     4 - 6 +8.5 +1.9 +7.3
  Tue, Dec 9 65 @Providence L 66-81 7%    
  Sun, Dec 21 35 @USC L 61-81 3%    
  Mon, Jan 5 73 Yale L 66-75 21%    
  Sat, Jan 10 248 @Penn L 69-71 43%    
  Sat, Jan 17 130 Columbia L 67-70 39%    
  Mon, Jan 19 150 Cornell L 76-77 46%    
  Sat, Jan 24 250 @Princeton L 64-66 43%    
  Fri, Jan 30 202 Harvard W 66-64 56%    
  Sat, Jan 31 268 Dartmouth W 73-68 67%    
  Fri, Feb 6 73 @Yale L 63-78 9%    
  Fri, Feb 13 202 @Harvard L 63-67 35%    
  Sat, Feb 14 268 @Dartmouth L 70-71 46%    
  Fri, Feb 20 250 Princeton W 67-63 64%    
  Fri, Feb 27 130 @Columbia L 64-73 21%    
  Sat, Feb 28 150 @Cornell L 73-80 27%    
  Fri, Mar 6 248 Penn W 72-68 64%    
Projected Record 10 - 16 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.4 1st
2nd 0.2 1.9 3.3 2.0 0.5 0.1 8.0 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.7 6.2 2.7 0.4 0.0 13.3 3rd
4th 0.4 4.7 8.0 2.7 0.2 0.0 16.0 4th
5th 0.3 5.0 9.0 2.8 0.2 17.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 4.5 8.7 3.0 0.1 16.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.5 7.0 2.7 0.1 15.1 7th
8th 0.2 1.5 3.7 4.1 1.5 0.1 11.2 8th
Total 0.2 1.6 4.4 9.0 13.4 16.8 17.2 14.8 11.1 6.5 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-2 82.6% 0.3    0.3 0.1
11-3 60.3% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.0
10-4 26.4% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
9-5 4.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.1% 34.6% 34.6% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-2 0.4% 23.1% 23.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
11-3 1.3% 16.9% 16.9% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.1
10-4 3.3% 12.6% 12.6% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.9
9-5 6.5% 10.9% 10.9% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 5.8
8-6 11.1% 8.3% 8.3% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 10.2
7-7 14.8% 4.2% 4.2% 15.9 0.0 0.6 14.2
6-8 17.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 17.1
5-9 16.8% 16.8
4-10 13.4% 13.4
3-11 9.0% 9.0
2-12 4.4% 4.4
1-13 1.6% 1.6
0-14 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.5 96.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%