Brown
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#212
Expected Predictive Rating-2.9#218
Pace64.6#283
Improvement-3.1#317

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#218
First Shot-3.0#269
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#98
Layup/Dunks-2.8#285
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#284
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#70
Freethrows-2.0#300
Improvement-2.1#295

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#213
First Shot+2.1#111
After Offensive Rebounds-3.2#352
Layups/Dunks-2.4#277
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#283
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#34
Freethrows+1.6#68
Improvement-1.0#235
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 5.0% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 14.7
.500 or above 47.4% 70.3% 40.2%
.500 or above in Conference 31.4% 52.9% 24.6%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.9% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 17.2% 6.7% 20.5%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round3.2% 5.0% 2.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cornell (Away) - 24.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 34 - 44 - 8
Quad 48 - 613 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 270   @ Siena L 71-72 OT 53%     0 - 1 -4.4 -3.7 -0.7
  Nov 10, 2024 202   Maine L 67-69 58%     0 - 2 -6.7 -3.9 -2.8
  Nov 15, 2024 351   New Hampshire W 76-58 88%     1 - 2 +2.4 +1.3 +1.8
  Nov 16, 2024 319   Holy Cross L 65-73 81%     1 - 3 -19.8 -12.5 -7.9
  Nov 17, 2024 295   Sacred Heart W 89-70 77%     2 - 3 +8.6 +14.7 -5.1
  Nov 23, 2024 346   @ Canisius W 83-76 73%     3 - 3 -2.2 +13.2 -14.5
  Nov 27, 2024 320   Stony Brook W 77-54 81%     4 - 3 +11.0 +2.3 +10.1
  Dec 03, 2024 211   @ Vermont W 60-53 39%     5 - 3 +7.1 +5.1 +3.7
  Dec 06, 2024 157   @ Bryant W 76-75 29%     6 - 3 +4.2 +3.8 +0.4
  Dec 10, 2024 109   Rhode Island W 84-80 2OT 37%     7 - 3 +4.7 -4.5 +8.4
  Dec 22, 2024 6   @ Kansas L 53-87 2%     7 - 4 -11.7 -7.1 -4.4
  Dec 31, 2024 15   @ Kentucky L 54-88 3%     7 - 5 -14.7 -11.7 -4.3
  Jan 11, 2025 88   @ Yale L 58-79 14%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -11.8 -7.3 -6.1
  Jan 18, 2025 215   Harvard L 67-80 61%     7 - 7 0 - 2 -18.7 -4.9 -14.2
  Jan 20, 2025 134   @ Cornell L 74-81 24%    
  Jan 25, 2025 274   Dartmouth W 74-68 74%    
  Jan 31, 2025 287   @ Penn W 70-68 55%    
  Feb 01, 2025 122   @ Princeton L 67-75 22%    
  Feb 08, 2025 207   @ Columbia L 73-76 38%    
  Feb 14, 2025 122   Princeton L 70-73 41%    
  Feb 15, 2025 287   Penn W 72-65 75%    
  Feb 21, 2025 207   Columbia W 76-74 60%    
  Feb 22, 2025 134   Cornell L 77-79 45%    
  Feb 28, 2025 215   @ Harvard L 67-70 40%    
  Mar 01, 2025 274   @ Dartmouth W 72-71 53%    
  Mar 08, 2025 88   Yale L 69-75 28%    
Projected Record 13 - 13 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 1.7 1.1 0.2 3.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.3 4.5 2.4 0.2 9.6 3rd
4th 0.6 5.8 8.6 4.2 0.4 19.6 4th
5th 0.8 7.3 10.3 3.9 0.2 22.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 7.3 9.4 3.0 0.2 20.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.9 6.5 1.7 0.0 14.1 7th
8th 0.2 1.4 3.5 3.3 0.7 0.0 9.1 8th
Total 0.2 1.4 4.5 9.1 15.2 19.0 19.2 15.1 9.7 4.5 1.6 0.5 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
11-3 54.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1
10-4 17.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-5 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 0.0% 0.0
11-3 0.5% 14.6% 14.6% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
10-4 1.6% 15.4% 15.4% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.3
9-5 4.5% 12.9% 12.9% 14.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 3.9
8-6 9.7% 12.4% 12.4% 14.7 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.1 8.5
7-7 15.1% 5.4% 5.4% 15.1 0.1 0.6 0.2 14.3
6-8 19.2% 1.3% 1.3% 15.3 0.2 0.1 19.0
5-9 19.0% 19.0
4-10 15.2% 15.2
3-11 9.1% 9.1
2-12 4.5% 4.5
1-13 1.4% 1.4
0-14 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 0.3 96.8 0.0%