Vermont
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.3#139
Expected Predictive Rating+3.9#118
Pace60.4#357
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#220
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#90
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 29.1% 32.3% 25.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.6 14.2
.500 or above 89.6% 94.6% 83.5%
.500 or above in Conference 93.8% 95.8% 91.4%
Conference Champion 38.5% 43.0% 33.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.2% 0.4%
First Four1.2% 0.8% 1.7%
First Round28.5% 31.9% 24.3%
Second Round2.9% 3.7% 2.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.8% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iona (Away) - 54.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 33 - 44 - 6
Quad 416 - 420 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 101   @ UAB W 67-62 26%     1 - 0 +13.0 +2.5 +11.0
  Nov 06, 2024 3   @ Auburn L 43-94 4%     1 - 1 -28.7 -20.1 -8.8
  Nov 09, 2024 206   @ Merrimack L 51-65 53%     1 - 2 -13.5 -11.5 -3.4
  Nov 15, 2024 221   @ Iona W 65-64 55%    
  Nov 19, 2024 315   Buffalo W 74-61 88%    
  Nov 23, 2024 204   Delaware W 68-64 63%    
  Nov 24, 2024 258   Fairfield W 67-61 72%    
  Nov 30, 2024 170   Northeastern W 66-61 67%    
  Dec 03, 2024 199   Brown W 67-60 72%    
  Dec 07, 2024 110   @ Yale L 63-69 31%    
  Dec 15, 2024 172   @ Colgate L 62-63 46%    
  Dec 18, 2024 213   Miami (OH) W 68-61 74%    
  Dec 21, 2024 329   @ Dartmouth W 66-58 76%    
  Jan 04, 2025 326   @ New Hampshire W 70-62 75%    
  Jan 09, 2025 138   @ Umass Lowell L 66-69 39%    
  Jan 11, 2025 193   @ Bryant W 71-70 50%    
  Jan 16, 2025 330   Binghamton W 71-57 89%    
  Jan 23, 2025 354   NJIT W 71-53 94%    
  Jan 25, 2025 302   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 77-66 83%    
  Jan 30, 2025 330   @ Binghamton W 68-60 76%    
  Feb 01, 2025 243   Maine W 66-58 76%    
  Feb 08, 2025 253   @ Albany W 72-69 59%    
  Feb 13, 2025 326   New Hampshire W 73-59 88%    
  Feb 15, 2025 243   @ Maine W 63-61 58%    
  Feb 20, 2025 193   Bryant W 73-67 70%    
  Feb 22, 2025 138   Umass Lowell W 69-66 60%    
  Feb 27, 2025 354   @ NJIT W 68-56 85%    
  Mar 01, 2025 302   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 74-69 67%    
  Mar 04, 2025 253   Albany W 75-66 77%    
Projected Record 19 - 10 11 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.6 6.0 10.3 11.2 7.0 2.2 38.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.7 7.5 8.8 4.7 0.9 24.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.1 5.3 1.6 0.1 16.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.3 2.5 0.5 0.0 9.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.4 1.5 0.2 5.8 5th
6th 0.2 0.9 1.3 0.6 0.1 3.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.3 5.5 8.9 11.8 14.8 16.4 15.1 12.1 7.0 2.2 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 2.2    2.2
15-1 100.0% 7.0    6.7 0.3
14-2 92.6% 11.2    9.2 2.1 0.0
13-3 68.5% 10.3    6.5 3.6 0.3
12-4 36.6% 6.0    2.1 2.9 0.9 0.1
11-5 10.9% 1.6    0.3 0.7 0.6 0.1
10-6 1.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 38.5% 38.5 26.9 9.5 1.8 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 2.2% 61.7% 60.7% 0.9% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 2.4%
15-1 7.0% 55.5% 55.5% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.1 0.1%
14-2 12.1% 47.6% 47.6% 13.3 0.0 1.0 2.6 1.7 0.4 0.0 6.4
13-3 15.1% 37.8% 37.8% 13.8 0.3 1.7 2.5 1.1 0.1 9.4
12-4 16.4% 30.4% 30.4% 14.3 0.1 0.9 2.0 1.7 0.3 11.4
11-5 14.8% 23.4% 23.4% 14.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.5 0.6 11.4
10-6 11.8% 16.8% 16.8% 15.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.7 9.8
9-7 8.9% 11.9% 11.9% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 7.9
8-8 5.5% 10.1% 10.1% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 5.0
7-9 3.3% 6.4% 6.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.1
6-10 1.7% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.7
5-11 0.7% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.7
4-12 0.3% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3
3-13 0.1% 0.1
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 29.1% 29.0% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.3 7.5 8.3 6.3 3.0 70.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 8.1 7.9 13.2 13.2 10.5 13.2 7.9 26.3 5.3 2.6