Albany
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#248
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#257
Pace74.1#63
Improvement-0.6#232

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#192
First Shot-3.6#285
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#36
Layup/Dunks-1.1#221
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#182
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#236
Freethrows-0.1#178
Improvement+2.5#27

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#298
First Shot-5.1#336
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#99
Layups/Dunks-6.7#353
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#66
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#83
Freethrows-2.5#326
Improvement-3.1#349
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.8% 9.4% 6.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 41.4% 55.6% 30.5%
.500 or above in Conference 62.3% 68.1% 57.7%
Conference Champion 7.9% 9.6% 6.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.6% 2.6% 4.4%
First Four2.6% 2.2% 2.9%
First Round6.5% 8.3% 5.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacred Heart (Away) - 43.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 32 - 62 - 8
Quad 412 - 814 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 305   @ Army L 59-67 50%     0 - 1 -12.8 -14.6 +1.5
  Nov 13, 2024 306   @ Dartmouth W 87-73 50%     1 - 1 +9.2 +11.4 -2.5
  Nov 16, 2024 283   Siena W 70-60 68%     2 - 1 +0.4 -2.4 +3.4
  Nov 23, 2024 271   UMKC W 67-65 54%     3 - 1 -3.9 -1.5 -2.2
  Nov 24, 2024 237   American L 77-81 47%     3 - 2 -8.0 +0.2 -8.1
  Nov 30, 2024 90   @ Georgetown L 68-100 10%     3 - 3 -22.9 -6.0 -14.1
  Dec 04, 2024 183   Columbia W 88-73 47%     4 - 3 +10.9 +6.4 +3.9
  Dec 07, 2024 252   @ Boston University L 74-80 OT 40%     4 - 4 -8.2 +1.3 -9.5
  Dec 10, 2024 97   @ Syracuse L 85-102 11%     4 - 5 -8.6 +11.5 -19.5
  Dec 14, 2024 153   Drexel L 70-77 42%     4 - 6 -9.7 -0.3 -9.7
  Dec 18, 2024 277   @ Sacred Heart L 78-80 44%    
  Dec 21, 2024 172   @ Fordham L 75-82 25%    
  Dec 29, 2024 309   Stony Brook W 79-73 72%    
  Jan 04, 2025 151   Umass Lowell L 81-83 42%    
  Jan 09, 2025 354   @ New Hampshire W 77-72 69%    
  Jan 11, 2025 213   @ Maine L 70-75 31%    
  Jan 16, 2025 176   Bryant L 84-85 46%    
  Jan 18, 2025 310   @ Binghamton W 74-73 51%    
  Jan 23, 2025 255   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 87-84 63%    
  Jan 25, 2025 351   NJIT W 77-66 84%    
  Feb 01, 2025 310   Binghamton W 77-71 72%    
  Feb 06, 2025 176   @ Bryant L 81-88 26%    
  Feb 08, 2025 194   Vermont L 68-69 49%    
  Feb 13, 2025 151   @ Umass Lowell L 78-86 23%    
  Feb 20, 2025 213   Maine W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 22, 2025 354   New Hampshire W 80-69 84%    
  Feb 27, 2025 255   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 84-87 41%    
  Mar 01, 2025 351   @ NJIT W 74-69 67%    
  Mar 04, 2025 194   @ Vermont L 65-71 29%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.7 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.0 7.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.6 2.4 0.4 0.0 10.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.8 6.5 2.8 0.3 0.0 13.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 4.4 7.7 2.9 0.2 0.0 15.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 5.2 8.2 3.3 0.2 0.0 17.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 5.2 7.0 2.7 0.2 0.0 16.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.9 4.2 1.4 0.1 11.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 1.6 0.5 0.0 4.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.6 6.9 10.8 14.2 15.9 15.3 12.7 9.1 5.4 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
14-2 96.7% 0.9    0.8 0.1
13-3 83.8% 2.3    1.6 0.6 0.0 0.0
12-4 51.1% 2.7    1.1 1.2 0.4 0.0
11-5 15.8% 1.4    0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 7.9% 7.9 4.0 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.3% 37.9% 37.9% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-2 1.0% 27.7% 27.7% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
13-3 2.7% 24.3% 24.3% 14.6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 2.0
12-4 5.4% 18.6% 18.6% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 4.4
11-5 9.1% 15.0% 15.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 7.7
10-6 12.7% 10.7% 10.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 11.3
9-7 15.3% 7.2% 7.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 14.2
8-8 15.9% 5.7% 5.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.8 15.0
7-9 14.2% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.0 0.6 13.7
6-10 10.8% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.3 10.5
5-11 6.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 6.8
4-12 3.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 3.6
3-13 1.6% 1.6
2-14 0.5% 0.5
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.5 4.4 92.2 0.0%