Georgetown
Big East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.1#90
Expected Predictive Rating+7.1#89
Pace69.4#165
Improvement+3.2#23

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#103
First Shot-0.8#192
After Offensive Rebound+3.5#18
Layup/Dunks+5.6#26
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#216
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#251
Freethrows-3.2#341
Improvement+1.6#62

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#87
First Shot+4.7#49
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#289
Layups/Dunks+4.7#45
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#313
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#160
Freethrows+1.1#108
Improvement+1.7#56
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.7% 10.8% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.7% 9.4% 3.4%
Average Seed 9.9 9.8 10.1
.500 or above 59.0% 74.1% 49.2%
.500 or above in Conference 20.2% 31.5% 12.9%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 20.5% 11.6% 26.2%
First Four2.3% 3.6% 1.5%
First Round5.4% 8.7% 3.2%
Second Round2.0% 3.4% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Creighton (Home) - 39.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 9
Quad 24 - 56 - 14
Quad 33 - 29 - 16
Quad 48 - 017 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 246   Lehigh W 85-77 90%     1 - 0 +0.2 +2.3 -2.4
  Nov 09, 2024 292   Fairfield W 69-57 92%     2 - 0 +2.2 -9.7 +12.0
  Nov 16, 2024 81   Notre Dame L 63-84 59%     2 - 1 -17.2 -2.6 -16.5
  Nov 20, 2024 266   Mount St. Mary's W 79-51 91%     3 - 1 +19.3 +2.6 +16.6
  Nov 23, 2024 335   St. Francis (PA) W 82-65 95%     4 - 1 +3.5 +1.6 +1.6
  Nov 26, 2024 290   Wagner W 66-41 92%     5 - 1 +15.2 +4.7 +14.5
  Nov 30, 2024 248   Albany W 100-68 90%     6 - 1 +24.2 +12.8 +8.5
  Dec 02, 2024 255   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 86-62 90%     7 - 1 +15.7 -3.6 +16.3
  Dec 06, 2024 42   @ West Virginia L 60-73 22%     7 - 2 +1.4 -2.0 +2.8
  Dec 14, 2024 97   @ Syracuse W 75-71 41%     8 - 2 +12.4 +7.0 +5.5
  Dec 18, 2024 36   Creighton L 72-75 39%    
  Dec 22, 2024 117   @ Seton Hall W 63-62 50%    
  Dec 28, 2024 363   Coppin St. W 81-54 99%    
  Jan 03, 2025 53   Xavier L 74-75 46%    
  Jan 07, 2025 13   @ Marquette L 68-80 13%    
  Jan 11, 2025 9   Connecticut L 68-76 22%    
  Jan 14, 2025 15   @ St. John's L 68-80 13%    
  Jan 17, 2025 88   DePaul W 75-72 60%    
  Jan 20, 2025 48   @ Villanova L 67-74 25%    
  Jan 25, 2025 75   @ Providence L 66-70 35%    
  Jan 28, 2025 15   St. John's L 71-77 28%    
  Jan 31, 2025 74   Butler W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 04, 2025 53   @ Xavier L 71-78 27%    
  Feb 08, 2025 117   Seton Hall W 66-60 71%    
  Feb 15, 2025 74   @ Butler L 71-75 34%    
  Feb 19, 2025 75   Providence W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 23, 2025 36   @ Creighton L 69-78 21%    
  Feb 26, 2025 9   @ Connecticut L 65-79 10%    
  Mar 01, 2025 13   Marquette L 71-77 29%    
  Mar 04, 2025 48   Villanova L 70-71 45%    
  Mar 08, 2025 88   @ DePaul L 72-75 39%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.7 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 2.0 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.0 2.3 0.5 0.0 7.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 4.4 3.3 0.7 0.0 10.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.4 4.1 0.9 0.1 12.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.4 6.1 4.8 1.1 0.1 14.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.1 6.5 4.7 1.2 0.1 0.0 16.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.1 6.1 4.0 0.9 0.0 16.7 10th
11th 0.2 0.8 2.2 3.7 3.7 1.9 0.5 0.0 12.9 11th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.4 5.0 8.3 11.5 13.5 14.1 13.2 10.9 8.1 5.5 3.3 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 87.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 66.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 35.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 14.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.0% 95.7% 34.8% 60.9% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 93.3%
16-4 0.1% 100.0% 14.3% 85.7% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.3% 92.9% 11.3% 81.5% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 91.9%
14-6 0.9% 83.3% 8.8% 74.5% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 81.7%
13-7 1.8% 65.8% 5.5% 60.2% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.6 63.8%
12-8 3.3% 44.0% 5.0% 39.0% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.0 1.9 41.1%
11-9 5.5% 25.0% 3.0% 22.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.0 4.2 22.7%
10-10 8.1% 10.9% 1.5% 9.3% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 7.3 9.5%
9-11 10.9% 2.9% 1.2% 1.7% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 10.6 1.7%
8-12 13.2% 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.1 0.2%
7-13 14.1% 0.4% 0.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0
6-14 13.5% 0.3% 0.3% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.5
5-15 11.5% 0.2% 0.2% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5
4-16 8.3% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 8.3
3-17 5.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.0
2-18 2.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.4
1-19 0.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 6.7% 1.1% 5.7% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.7 2.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 93.3 5.7%