Lehigh
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#246
Expected Predictive Rating-6.2#270
Pace69.0#177
Improvement+2.7#34

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#167
First Shot+3.5#85
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#340
Layup/Dunks-2.7#275
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#11
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#134
Freethrows-0.7#230
Improvement+1.2#87

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#326
First Shot-1.1#203
After Offensive Rebounds-3.8#356
Layups/Dunks+2.4#93
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#359
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#91
Freethrows-0.7#238
Improvement+1.5#63
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.2% 15.0% 10.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 43.0% 51.9% 28.8%
.500 or above in Conference 68.9% 72.9% 62.5%
Conference Champion 17.2% 19.8% 13.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.1% 4.7% 8.3%
First Four6.0% 5.8% 6.1%
First Round10.6% 12.3% 7.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: LIU Brooklyn (Away) - 61.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 413 - 814 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 59   @ Northwestern L 46-90 7%     0 - 1 -31.8 -17.0 -16.4
  Nov 06, 2024 90   @ Georgetown L 77-85 10%     0 - 2 +1.1 +5.9 -4.5
  Nov 12, 2024 183   @ Columbia L 75-76 26%     0 - 3 +0.9 +9.2 -8.3
  Nov 15, 2024 17   @ UCLA L 45-85 3%     0 - 4 -22.0 -12.1 -12.8
  Nov 26, 2024 335   @ St. Francis (PA) L 78-88 61%     0 - 5 -17.5 +2.8 -20.4
  Nov 30, 2024 236   Marist W 74-69 59%     1 - 5 -2.0 +6.4 -7.8
  Dec 04, 2024 273   Monmouth W 90-63 66%     2 - 5 +18.1 +13.8 +4.5
  Dec 07, 2024 38   @ Dayton L 62-86 5%     2 - 6 -9.2 +0.8 -12.6
  Dec 21, 2024 337   @ LIU Brooklyn W 75-72 61%    
  Jan 02, 2025 260   Bucknell W 74-70 64%    
  Jan 05, 2025 319   @ Loyola Maryland W 73-72 54%    
  Jan 08, 2025 224   @ Colgate L 70-74 34%    
  Jan 11, 2025 305   Army W 76-70 71%    
  Jan 15, 2025 252   @ Boston University L 69-72 41%    
  Jan 18, 2025 319   Loyola Maryland W 76-69 74%    
  Jan 22, 2025 237   @ American L 68-72 37%    
  Jan 25, 2025 239   Lafayette W 72-70 58%    
  Jan 29, 2025 301   Navy W 79-73 70%    
  Feb 01, 2025 330   @ Holy Cross W 75-73 58%    
  Feb 03, 2025 224   Colgate W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 08, 2025 237   American W 71-69 58%    
  Feb 12, 2025 301   @ Navy L 75-76 49%    
  Feb 15, 2025 330   Holy Cross W 78-70 77%    
  Feb 17, 2025 260   @ Bucknell L 71-73 42%    
  Feb 22, 2025 239   @ Lafayette L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 26, 2025 252   Boston University W 72-69 62%    
  Mar 01, 2025 305   @ Army W 74-73 50%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.5 4.7 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.1 17.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.6 5.7 3.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 14.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.8 5.9 2.7 0.4 0.0 13.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 3.0 5.8 2.5 0.2 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 5.9 2.5 0.2 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.8 3.1 0.3 9.5 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.5 3.2 0.4 0.0 8.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 2.6 2.7 0.5 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 1.9 0.6 0.0 5.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.6 5.7 8.3 10.6 12.8 13.1 12.7 11.2 8.3 5.7 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 98.9% 1.4    1.4 0.0
15-3 94.6% 3.0    2.7 0.3 0.0
14-4 82.3% 4.7    3.4 1.2 0.1
13-5 54.3% 4.5    2.1 2.0 0.4 0.0
12-6 22.4% 2.5    0.6 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0
11-7 4.1% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 17.2% 17.2 10.7 4.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 57.6% 57.6% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 45.9% 45.9% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.4% 40.1% 40.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.9
15-3 3.2% 34.3% 34.3% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 2.1
14-4 5.7% 29.5% 29.5% 15.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.5 4.0
13-5 8.3% 25.4% 25.4% 15.6 0.1 0.7 1.3 6.2
12-6 11.2% 18.5% 18.5% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.7 9.1
11-7 12.7% 15.8% 15.8% 15.9 0.1 1.9 10.7
10-8 13.1% 11.1% 11.1% 16.0 0.0 1.4 11.6
9-9 12.8% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 0.0 1.1 11.7
8-10 10.6% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.5 10.1
7-11 8.3% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.3 8.0
6-12 5.7% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 5.6
5-13 3.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 3.6
4-14 1.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.8
3-15 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.8
2-16 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.2% 13.2% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 3.0 9.0 86.8 0.0%