Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#252
Expected Predictive Rating-7.3#293
Pace62.5#335
Improvement+1.3#88

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#260
First Shot-3.2#273
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#181
Layup/Dunks-4.8#325
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#140
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#66
Freethrows-2.7#325
Improvement-0.3#210

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#232
First Shot-2.6#265
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#124
Layups/Dunks+0.6#148
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#273
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#250
Freethrows-0.6#233
Improvement+1.7#55
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.0% 14.3% 10.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 41.3% 60.9% 36.3%
.500 or above in Conference 65.2% 74.3% 62.9%
Conference Champion 13.7% 18.8% 12.4%
Last Place in Conference 6.6% 3.8% 7.4%
First Four6.1% 6.0% 6.1%
First Round8.3% 11.7% 7.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Away) - 20.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 31 - 51 - 6
Quad 414 - 1115 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 158   Northeastern L 72-80 41%     0 - 1 -11.0 +4.2 -15.8
  Nov 08, 2024 315   @ San Diego L 60-74 52%     0 - 2 -19.8 -5.3 -16.2
  Nov 11, 2024 17   @ UCLA L 40-71 3%     0 - 3 -13.0 -21.8 +10.0
  Nov 16, 2024 306   Dartmouth W 78-50 71%     1 - 3 +17.2 +4.0 +14.1
  Nov 19, 2024 290   Wagner L 58-60 67%     1 - 4 -11.8 -4.4 -7.7
  Nov 23, 2024 255   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 75-71 39%     2 - 4 +1.7 -2.8 +4.4
  Nov 24, 2024 254   Howard W 69-62 50%     3 - 4 +1.8 -3.0 +5.4
  Dec 01, 2024 277   Sacred Heart L 65-73 65%     3 - 5 -17.1 -12.0 -5.2
  Dec 07, 2024 248   Albany W 80-74 OT 60%     4 - 5 -1.8 +2.2 -4.0
  Dec 13, 2024 217   @ Merrimack L 61-64 30%     4 - 6 -2.8 +5.0 -8.4
  Dec 21, 2024 151   @ Umass Lowell L 68-77 21%    
  Dec 29, 2024 213   @ Maine L 62-68 30%    
  Jan 02, 2025 239   @ Lafayette L 63-67 35%    
  Jan 05, 2025 305   Army W 70-64 70%    
  Jan 08, 2025 237   American W 65-63 57%    
  Jan 11, 2025 224   @ Colgate L 64-69 33%    
  Jan 15, 2025 246   Lehigh W 72-69 59%    
  Jan 18, 2025 305   @ Army L 66-67 49%    
  Jan 22, 2025 301   @ Navy L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 25, 2025 260   Bucknell W 67-64 62%    
  Jan 27, 2025 330   Holy Cross W 72-64 76%    
  Feb 01, 2025 319   @ Loyola Maryland W 67-66 52%    
  Feb 05, 2025 301   Navy W 72-67 68%    
  Feb 08, 2025 330   @ Holy Cross W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 12, 2025 260   @ Bucknell L 64-67 40%    
  Feb 15, 2025 224   Colgate W 67-66 54%    
  Feb 19, 2025 319   Loyola Maryland W 70-63 72%    
  Feb 22, 2025 237   @ American L 62-66 35%    
  Feb 26, 2025 246   @ Lehigh L 69-72 38%    
  Mar 01, 2025 239   Lafayette W 66-64 56%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.9 3.7 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 13.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.6 5.4 2.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 13.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.9 5.6 2.5 0.4 0.0 12.9 3rd
4th 0.2 3.0 6.2 2.6 0.2 0.0 12.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 2.0 6.0 2.8 0.2 0.0 11.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 5.4 3.2 0.3 0.0 10.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 4.0 3.5 0.4 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.0 3.2 0.5 0.0 7.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.1 2.1 0.6 0.0 5.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.5 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.1 4.0 6.5 9.3 11.6 13.1 13.9 12.6 10.3 7.2 4.6 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
16-2 99.4% 1.0    1.0 0.0
15-3 95.1% 2.1    1.9 0.2 0.0
14-4 80.9% 3.7    2.6 1.0 0.1
13-5 53.7% 3.9    1.9 1.6 0.3 0.0
12-6 21.0% 2.2    0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
11-7 4.2% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.7% 13.7 8.2 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 28.6% 28.6% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 33.1% 33.1% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.0% 32.5% 32.5% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.7
15-3 2.3% 31.6% 31.6% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 1.5
14-4 4.6% 26.2% 26.2% 15.4 0.1 0.5 0.6 3.4
13-5 7.2% 22.1% 22.1% 15.7 0.0 0.4 1.2 5.6
12-6 10.3% 18.0% 18.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.6 8.5
11-7 12.6% 14.1% 14.1% 15.9 0.1 1.7 10.8
10-8 13.9% 11.0% 11.0% 16.0 0.0 1.5 12.3
9-9 13.1% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 0.0 1.0 12.1
8-10 11.6% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.5 11.2
7-11 9.3% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.3 9.0
6-12 6.5% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 6.4
5-13 4.0% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 3.9
4-14 2.1% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 2.1
3-15 0.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 0.9
2-16 0.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.0% 11.0% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.9 8.7 89.0 0.0%