IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.4	#305
Expected Predictive Rating	-14.5	#343

Pace	65.1	#305
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.1	#295

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.4	#281

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.1%	5.8%	3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.8	15.9

.500 or above	23.8%	29.2%	11.7%
.500 or above in Conference	43.5%	48.2%	33.1%
Conference Champion	4.7%	5.6%	2.8%
Last Place in Conference	13.1%	10.7%	18.4%

First Four	3.4%	3.8%	2.7%
First Round	3.5%	4.1%	2.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Dartmouth (Home) - 68.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 8
Quad 4	11 - 11	13 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	170	Northeastern	L	72-80	35%	0 - 1			-11.5	+2.0	-14.1
Nov 08, 2024	277	@ San Diego	L	60-74	34%	0 - 2			-17.1	-5.4	-13.4
Nov 11, 2024	30	@ UCLA	L	40-71	3%	0 - 3			-15.6	-24.2	+9.7
Nov 16, 2024	329	Dartmouth	W	68-63	69%
Nov 19, 2024	275	Wagner	W	61-59	55%
Nov 23, 2024	302	@ Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	75-78	38%
Nov 24, 2024	246	Howard	L	70-73	38%
Dec 01, 2024	335	Sacred Heart	W	77-71	70%
Dec 07, 2024	253	Albany	W	76-75	50%
Dec 13, 2024	206	@ Merrimack	L	60-68	24%
Dec 21, 2024	138	@ Umass Lowell	L	67-79	15%
Dec 29, 2024	243	@ Maine	L	63-69	29%
Jan 02, 2025	216	@ Lafayette	L	61-68	25%
Jan 05, 2025	313	Army	W	64-60	63%
Jan 08, 2025	255	American	W	65-64	51%
Jan 11, 2025	172	@ Colgate	L	62-72	19%
Jan 15, 2025	260	Lehigh	W	73-72	53%
Jan 18, 2025	313	@ Army	L	61-63	42%
Jan 22, 2025	259	@ Navy	L	67-72	32%
Jan 25, 2025	242	Bucknell	L	68-69	48%
Jan 27, 2025	343	Holy Cross	W	72-65	73%
Feb 01, 2025	331	@ Loyola Maryland	L	65-66	48%
Feb 05, 2025	259	Navy	W	70-69	52%
Feb 08, 2025	343	@ Holy Cross	W	69-68	54%
Feb 12, 2025	242	@ Bucknell	L	65-72	29%
Feb 15, 2025	172	Colgate	L	65-69	37%
Feb 19, 2025	331	Loyola Maryland	W	68-63	67%
Feb 22, 2025	255	@ American	L	62-68	31%
Feb 26, 2025	260	@ Lehigh	L	70-75	32%
Mar 01, 2025	216	Lafayette	L	64-65	45%
Projected Record						12 - 18	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Patriot League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.1	0.6	1.3	1.3	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0		4.7	1st
2nd										0.0	0.2	1.4	2.7	1.9	0.8	0.1	0.0				7.2	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.3	1.9	3.8	2.1	0.5	0.0						8.6	3rd
4th									0.2	2.4	4.7	2.6	0.4	0.0							10.4	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.5	5.4	2.8	0.4	0.0								11.3	5th
6th						0.0	0.3	2.6	5.5	3.4	0.4	0.0									12.3	6th
7th					0.0	0.4	2.9	5.7	3.4	0.4	0.0										12.9	7th
8th				0.1	0.8	3.1	5.3	3.0	0.5	0.0											12.7	8th
9th		0.0	0.3	1.3	3.5	4.2	2.3	0.4	0.0												11.9	9th
10th	0.1	0.7	1.7	2.4	2.1	1.0	0.1														8.0	10th

Total	0.1	0.7	1.9	3.7	6.3	8.7	11.0	12.1	12.0	11.8	10.0	8.3	5.8	3.8	2.1	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	94.0%	0.4		0.4	0.0
15-3	87.0%	0.9		0.7	0.2	0.0
14-4	61.3%	1.3		0.7	0.5	0.1	0.0
13-5	34.5%	1.3		0.4	0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0
12-6	10.2%	0.6		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
11-7	1.0%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.7%	4.7		2.5	1.5	0.5	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																							0.0
17-1	0.1%		31.0%	31.0%		14.5														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
16-2	0.4%		29.3%	29.3%		14.8														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.3
15-3	1.1%		25.7%	25.7%		15.4															0.0	0.1	0.1	0.8
14-4	2.1%		20.8%	20.8%		15.5															0.0	0.2	0.3	1.7
13-5	3.8%		17.1%	17.1%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.5	3.1
12-6	5.8%		13.0%	13.0%		15.9														0.0		0.1	0.7	5.1
11-7	8.3%		10.2%	10.2%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.8	7.5
10-8	10.0%		6.5%	6.5%		16.0																0.0	0.6	9.4
9-9	11.8%		5.1%	5.1%		16.0																0.0	0.6	11.2
8-10	12.0%		3.0%	3.0%		16.0																	0.4	11.7
7-11	12.1%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.2	11.9
6-12	11.0%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	10.9
5-13	8.7%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	8.7
4-14	6.3%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	6.3
3-15	3.7%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	3.7
2-16	1.9%																							1.9
1-17	0.7%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	0.7
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		5.1%	5.1%	0.0%	15.8														0.0	0.1	0.6	4.4	94.9		0.0%