Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#253
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#247
Pace60.4#359
Improvement-2.1#313

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#134
First Shot+3.3#85
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#297
Layup/Dunks-3.1#284
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#135
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.2#17
Freethrows-1.5#271
Improvement-0.4#208

Defense
Total Defense-6.5#350
First Shot-5.4#343
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#264
Layups/Dunks-2.0#248
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#183
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#294
Freethrows-0.6#228
Improvement-1.8#311
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.8% 12.7% 8.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 52.4% 58.0% 34.0%
.500 or above in Conference 71.7% 74.0% 63.9%
Conference Champion 13.9% 15.2% 9.6%
Last Place in Conference 3.9% 3.5% 5.6%
First Four5.0% 4.9% 5.2%
First Round9.2% 10.2% 6.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maine (Home) - 77.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 414 - 916 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 228 @Northeastern W 76-75 OT 34%     1 - 0 +0.1 +0.0 +0.0
  Fri, Nov 7 61 @Northwestern L 52-76 6%     1 - 1 -12.0 -8.6 -7.3
  Wed, Nov 12 226 Brown W 90-77 57%     2 - 1 +6.2 +26.4 -19.0
  Sat, Nov 15 283 Merrimack L 79-91 67%     2 - 2 -21.6 +9.4 -32.0
  Tue, Nov 18 130 @Columbia L 49-54 17%     2 - 3 +0.1 -13.7 +12.9
  Sat, Nov 22 202 Harvard W 75-74 40%     3 - 3 -1.6 +8.1 -9.6
  Tue, Nov 25 96 @Penn St. L 87-96 11%     3 - 4 -0.7 +24.8 -26.5
  Sat, Nov 29 192 @Northern Kentucky L 65-74 28%     3 - 5 -8.0 +0.8 -10.0
  Sat, Dec 6 335 @New Hampshire L 82-88 OT 59%     3 - 6 -13.6 +0.3 -13.4
  Wed, Dec 10 328 Maine W 70-62 77%    
  Sat, Dec 13 268 @Dartmouth L 74-76 41%    
  Sun, Dec 21 317 Umass Lowell W 78-71 73%    
  Wed, Dec 31 197 @Navy L 67-73 29%    
  Sat, Jan 3 242 American W 74-72 59%    
  Wed, Jan 7 327 @Lafayette W 71-69 56%    
  Sat, Jan 10 340 Army W 77-68 80%    
  Wed, Jan 14 307 Lehigh W 74-68 71%    
  Sat, Jan 17 321 @Loyola Maryland W 73-72 54%    
  Wed, Jan 21 327 Lafayette W 74-66 75%    
  Sat, Jan 24 179 @Colgate L 68-75 27%    
  Wed, Jan 28 197 Navy W 71-70 51%    
  Sat, Jan 31 316 @Bucknell W 72-71 52%    
  Mon, Feb 2 286 @Holy Cross L 70-71 46%    
  Sat, Feb 7 321 Loyola Maryland W 76-69 74%    
  Wed, Feb 11 340 @Army W 74-71 61%    
  Sat, Feb 14 316 Bucknell W 75-68 72%    
  Mon, Feb 16 179 Colgate L 71-72 47%    
  Sat, Feb 21 307 @Lehigh W 71-70 50%    
  Wed, Feb 25 286 Holy Cross W 73-68 68%    
  Sat, Feb 28 242 @American L 71-75 38%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 1.4 3.5 4.2 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1 13.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.9 5.8 4.4 1.8 0.4 0.0 15.8 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.6 6.3 3.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 15.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.4 6.7 3.5 0.5 0.0 14.5 4th
5th 0.2 2.6 5.8 2.9 0.4 0.0 11.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.9 2.7 0.3 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 3.5 2.4 0.3 7.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.3 2.1 0.3 5.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.8 4.9 7.8 10.6 12.7 14.0 13.3 11.7 9.0 6.0 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 98.2% 1.3    1.2 0.1
15-3 87.7% 2.8    2.3 0.5 0.0
14-4 69.4% 4.2    2.6 1.4 0.2 0.0
13-5 38.8% 3.5    1.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
12-6 12.1% 1.4    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.9% 13.9 8.2 4.2 1.1 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 32.0% 32.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.4% 38.2% 38.2% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.3% 37.6% 37.6% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.8
15-3 3.2% 30.9% 30.9% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 2.2
14-4 6.0% 26.7% 26.7% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.7 4.4
13-5 9.0% 22.0% 22.0% 15.6 0.1 0.6 1.3 7.0
12-6 11.7% 17.8% 17.8% 15.8 0.0 0.4 1.7 9.6
11-7 13.3% 11.7% 11.7% 15.9 0.2 1.4 11.8
10-8 14.0% 9.3% 9.3% 16.0 0.0 1.3 12.7
9-9 12.7% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.0 0.8 11.9
8-10 10.6% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.4 10.2
7-11 7.8% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.2 7.6
6-12 4.9% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 4.8
5-13 2.8% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 2.7
4-14 1.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.5
3-15 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.8% 11.8% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.8 8.2 88.2 0.0%