Preseason Rankings
Boston University
Patriot League
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#277
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace60.4#351
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#300
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#236
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.9% 16.2% 10.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 17.0 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 48.1% 66.6% 40.4%
.500 or above in Conference 66.6% 77.3% 62.1%
Conference Champion 14.1% 20.7% 11.4%
Last Place in Conference 5.6% 2.9% 6.7%
First Four5.0% 4.8% 5.0%
First Round10.8% 15.7% 8.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northeastern (Away) - 29.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 52 - 7
Quad 414 - 1016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 226   @ Northeastern L 62-68 29%    
  Nov 07, 2025 71   @ Northwestern L 54-71 5%    
  Nov 12, 2025 168   Brown L 62-64 42%    
  Nov 15, 2025 257   Merrimack W 61-59 56%    
  Nov 18, 2025 265   @ Columbia L 69-73 37%    
  Nov 22, 2025 172   Harvard L 61-66 32%    
  Nov 25, 2025 90   @ Penn St. L 60-75 10%    
  Nov 29, 2025 266   @ Northern Kentucky L 61-65 37%    
  Dec 06, 2025 356   @ New Hampshire W 67-63 63%    
  Dec 10, 2025 290   Maine W 64-60 62%    
  Dec 13, 2025 230   @ Dartmouth L 64-70 32%    
  Dec 21, 2025 295   Umass Lowell W 70-66 64%    
  Dec 31, 2025 224   @ Navy L 62-68 31%    
  Jan 03, 2026 303   American W 63-58 66%    
  Jan 07, 2026 308   @ Lafayette L 62-63 46%    
  Jan 10, 2026 353   Army W 70-61 78%    
  Jan 14, 2026 306   Lehigh W 67-62 65%    
  Jan 17, 2026 317   @ Loyola Maryland L 64-65 48%    
  Jan 21, 2026 308   Lafayette W 65-60 66%    
  Jan 24, 2026 216   @ Colgate L 62-68 31%    
  Jan 28, 2026 224   Navy W 65-64 51%    
  Jan 31, 2026 287   @ Bucknell L 64-66 43%    
  Feb 02, 2026 352   @ Holy Cross W 66-63 60%    
  Feb 07, 2026 317   Loyola Maryland W 67-62 67%    
  Feb 11, 2026 353   @ Army W 67-64 60%    
  Feb 14, 2026 287   Bucknell W 67-63 62%    
  Feb 16, 2026 216   Colgate L 65-66 50%    
  Feb 21, 2026 306   @ Lehigh L 64-65 46%    
  Feb 25, 2026 352   Holy Cross W 69-60 77%    
  Feb 28, 2026 303   @ American L 60-61 45%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 2.2 3.8 3.5 2.3 1.1 0.3 14.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.1 4.7 2.6 0.8 0.1 14.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.0 4.1 1.6 0.2 0.0 13.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.2 3.9 0.8 0.1 12.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.8 3.4 0.6 0.0 11.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.6 3.0 0.5 0.0 10.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.9 2.3 0.3 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.9 1.8 0.3 0.0 7.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.9 1.1 0.3 5.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.1 3.3 10th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 2.8 4.1 6.0 8.3 9.5 10.6 11.6 11.2 9.8 8.6 6.7 4.3 2.4 1.1 0.3 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.1    1.1 0.0
16-2 96.9% 2.3    2.1 0.2 0.0
15-3 82.1% 3.5    2.7 0.8 0.0
14-4 57.2% 3.8    2.1 1.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 26.1% 2.2    0.8 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0
12-6 7.8% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 14.1% 14.1 9.2 3.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 71.2% 71.2% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.1% 50.8% 50.8% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-2 2.4% 41.6% 41.6% 14.7 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.4
15-3 4.3% 34.8% 34.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.4 2.8
14-4 6.7% 28.3% 28.3% 17.1 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.9 4.8
13-5 8.6% 21.8% 21.8% 18.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 6.7
12-6 9.8% 16.5% 16.5% 18.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 8.2
11-7 11.2% 10.9% 10.9% 18.4 0.0 0.2 1.2 10.0
10-8 11.6% 7.7% 7.7% 17.3 0.1 0.9 10.7
9-9 10.6% 5.6% 5.6% 16.9 0.0 0.6 10.1
8-10 9.5% 3.8% 3.8% 16.7 0.0 0.4 9.2
7-11 8.3% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 8.1
6-12 6.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 6.0
5-13 4.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.1
4-14 2.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.8
3-15 1.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.6
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 11.9% 11.9% 0.0% 17.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.4 7.5 88.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%