Lafayette
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#276
Expected Predictive Rating-10.1#319
Pace65.2#259
Improvement-1.0#229

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#312
First Shot-2.7#256
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#316
Layup/Dunks-2.3#269
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#316
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#136
Freethrows+1.0#111
Improvement-0.7#227

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#217
First Shot+0.0#178
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#292
Layups/Dunks-2.2#268
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#160
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#63
Freethrows-1.2#276
Improvement-0.3#199
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.1% 9.5% 6.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 10.3% 16.3% 5.0%
.500 or above in Conference 41.6% 56.4% 28.4%
Conference Champion 1.6% 2.7% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 13.9% 6.3% 20.8%
First Four6.9% 7.6% 6.2%
First Round4.8% 5.8% 3.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Maryland (Away) - 47.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 40 - 7
Quad 413 - 1213 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 42   @ Villanova L 63-75 4%     0 - 1 +2.4 -5.3 +7.4
  Nov 09, 2024 191   @ La Salle L 60-81 23%     0 - 2 -19.6 -12.0 -7.3
  Nov 12, 2024 287   Penn W 65-63 63%     1 - 2 -7.9 -0.5 -7.0
  Nov 16, 2024 134   @ Cornell L 71-81 15%     1 - 3 -5.5 -1.7 -4.0
  Nov 20, 2024 109   @ Rhode Island L 72-86 12%     1 - 4 -7.8 +0.1 -7.4
  Nov 29, 2024 314   LIU Brooklyn W 75-56 68%     2 - 4 +7.6 +2.2 +6.0
  Nov 30, 2024 310   Niagara W 59-47 68%     3 - 4 +0.7 -16.0 +17.5
  Dec 01, 2024 322   Binghamton L 81-82 OT 71%     3 - 5 -13.1 -3.8 -9.3
  Dec 07, 2024 359   @ Mercyhurst W 77-73 70%     4 - 5 -7.9 +5.9 -13.4
  Dec 18, 2024 119   @ George Washington L 62-82 13%     4 - 6 -14.6 -3.8 -11.9
  Dec 21, 2024 308   @ Portland L 64-74 46%     4 - 7 -15.5 -13.5 -1.8
  Dec 29, 2024 312   Stonehill L 65-70 68%     4 - 8 -16.4 -12.2 -4.3
  Jan 02, 2025 282   Boston University W 60-46 62%     5 - 8 1 - 0 +4.3 -5.3 +12.1
  Jan 05, 2025 291   @ Navy L 70-71 43%     5 - 9 1 - 1 -5.7 -2.2 -3.6
  Jan 08, 2025 265   @ Bucknell L 62-65 OT 37%     5 - 10 1 - 2 -6.2 -10.2 +4.1
  Jan 11, 2025 319   Holy Cross W 82-65 70%     6 - 10 2 - 2 +5.2 +3.0 +2.8
  Jan 15, 2025 305   @ Army L 68-70 45%     6 - 11 2 - 3 -7.2 +1.1 -8.5
  Jan 18, 2025 198   Colgate L 67-90 42%     6 - 12 2 - 4 -27.4 -6.7 -21.0
  Jan 22, 2025 315   @ Loyola Maryland L 67-68 47%    
  Jan 25, 2025 296   @ Lehigh L 68-70 43%    
  Jan 29, 2025 236   American W 65-64 52%    
  Feb 01, 2025 198   @ Colgate L 63-71 24%    
  Feb 05, 2025 315   Loyola Maryland W 70-65 69%    
  Feb 08, 2025 291   Navy W 71-67 64%    
  Feb 10, 2025 236   @ American L 62-67 31%    
  Feb 15, 2025 265   Bucknell W 66-64 57%    
  Feb 19, 2025 319   @ Holy Cross L 69-70 49%    
  Feb 22, 2025 296   Lehigh W 71-67 66%    
  Feb 25, 2025 305   Army W 70-66 66%    
  Mar 01, 2025 282   @ Boston University L 62-64 41%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.6 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 2.8 1.9 0.2 0.0 5.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 5.1 3.6 0.5 0.0 10.3 3rd
4th 0.6 5.6 5.6 0.6 12.3 4th
5th 0.2 4.8 8.0 1.3 0.0 14.2 5th
6th 0.0 2.2 9.3 2.7 0.1 14.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 6.9 5.1 0.2 13.3 7th
8th 0.6 4.4 5.8 0.7 11.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.0 1.6 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 2.0 2.9 1.3 0.0 6.9 10th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.3 6.4 11.8 16.7 20.5 17.5 13.1 7.2 3.1 0.6 0.2 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 93.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-5 64.1% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
12-6 22.7% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 3.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.6% 23.4% 23.4% 15.5 0.1 0.1 0.5
12-6 3.1% 20.8% 20.8% 15.9 0.1 0.6 2.4
11-7 7.2% 18.2% 18.2% 16.0 0.1 1.3 5.9
10-8 13.1% 12.4% 12.4% 16.0 0.0 1.6 11.4
9-9 17.5% 11.4% 11.4% 16.0 2.0 15.5
8-10 20.5% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 1.3 19.3
7-11 16.7% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.5 16.2
6-12 11.8% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.4 11.4
5-13 6.4% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 6.2
4-14 2.3% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.1 2.2
3-15 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.9 91.9 0.0%