Lafayette
Patriot League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#216
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#219
Pace64.3#321
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#289
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#145
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.5% 20.3% 14.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.8 15.3
.500 or above 74.0% 86.5% 67.9%
.500 or above in Conference 78.5% 84.7% 75.4%
Conference Champion 21.5% 27.3% 18.7%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 1.3% 3.1%
First Four3.9% 3.2% 4.3%
First Round14.6% 18.8% 12.6%
Second Round0.6% 0.8% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cornell (Away) - 32.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 417 - 719 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 77   @ Villanova L 63-75 11%     0 - 1 -1.6 -4.2 +2.4
  Nov 09, 2024 127   @ La Salle L 60-81 21%     0 - 2 -15.5 -10.6 -4.7
  Nov 12, 2024 208   Penn W 65-63 61%     1 - 2 -3.7 -0.1 -3.2
  Nov 16, 2024 183   @ Cornell L 71-76 33%    
  Nov 20, 2024 116   @ Rhode Island L 66-75 20%    
  Nov 29, 2024 339   LIU Brooklyn W 74-63 84%    
  Nov 30, 2024 320   Niagara W 71-62 79%    
  Dec 01, 2024 330   Binghamton W 71-61 81%    
  Dec 07, 2024 356   @ Mercyhurst W 67-59 77%    
  Dec 18, 2024 153   @ George Washington L 68-75 27%    
  Dec 21, 2024 307   @ Portland W 68-66 55%    
  Dec 29, 2024 359   Stonehill W 72-58 90%    
  Jan 02, 2025 305   Boston University W 68-61 75%    
  Jan 05, 2025 259   @ Navy L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 08, 2025 242   @ Bucknell L 65-67 43%    
  Jan 11, 2025 343   Holy Cross W 73-61 85%    
  Jan 15, 2025 313   @ Army W 61-59 58%    
  Jan 18, 2025 172   Colgate W 65-64 52%    
  Jan 22, 2025 331   @ Loyola Maryland W 65-61 63%    
  Jan 25, 2025 260   @ Lehigh L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 29, 2025 255   American W 65-60 66%    
  Feb 01, 2025 172   @ Colgate L 62-67 32%    
  Feb 05, 2025 331   Loyola Maryland W 68-58 80%    
  Feb 08, 2025 259   Navy W 69-64 67%    
  Feb 10, 2025 255   @ American L 62-63 46%    
  Feb 15, 2025 242   Bucknell W 68-64 63%    
  Feb 19, 2025 343   @ Holy Cross W 70-64 69%    
  Feb 22, 2025 260   Lehigh W 72-67 67%    
  Feb 25, 2025 313   Army W 64-56 76%    
  Mar 01, 2025 305   @ Boston University W 65-64 55%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.3 3.9 5.7 5.4 3.4 1.4 0.3 21.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.8 5.6 3.2 0.9 0.1 18.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.4 6.0 4.7 1.4 0.2 15.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 2.1 5.3 3.7 0.7 0.1 12.1 4th
5th 0.2 1.9 4.5 3.2 0.6 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.6 2.7 0.5 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.6 2.1 0.4 0.0 6.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 1.5 0.3 0.0 4.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.2 3.6 5.7 8.1 10.0 11.7 12.8 12.5 11.0 9.1 6.3 3.5 1.4 0.3 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.4    1.4 0.0
16-2 96.2% 3.4    3.1 0.3
15-3 86.4% 5.4    4.3 1.1 0.0
14-4 62.6% 5.7    3.4 1.9 0.3 0.0
13-5 35.6% 3.9    1.4 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0
12-6 10.4% 1.3    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 21.5% 21.5 14.1 5.7 1.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 53.3% 53.3% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.4% 51.9% 51.9% 13.4 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.7
16-2 3.5% 43.7% 43.7% 13.9 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.0 2.0
15-3 6.3% 34.6% 34.6% 14.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.2 4.1
14-4 9.1% 29.3% 29.3% 15.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 0.7 6.4
13-5 11.0% 24.0% 24.0% 15.3 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.2 8.3
12-6 12.5% 18.1% 18.1% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 10.2
11-7 12.8% 13.5% 13.5% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.4 11.0
10-8 11.7% 10.7% 10.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.1 10.5
9-9 10.0% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7 9.2
8-10 8.1% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.0 0.4 7.7
7-11 5.7% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 5.5
6-12 3.6% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 3.6
5-13 2.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 2.1
4-14 1.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.2
3-15 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.5
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 16.5% 16.5% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.7 4.9 7.4 83.5 0.0%