IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+0.8	#153
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.9	#177

Pace	73.7	#73
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.3	#110

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.5	#220

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.0%	2.1%	0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Average Seed	12.0	12.0	12.4

.500 or above	62.7%	64.1%	35.3%
.500 or above in Conference	34.9%	35.7%	19.3%
Conference Champion	2.0%	2.1%	1.0%
Last Place in Conference	15.2%	14.7%	25.7%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
First Round	2.0%	2.0%	0.7%
Second Round	0.4%	0.4%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: NJIT (Home) - 95.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	2 - 5	2 - 7
Quad 3	5 - 5	6 - 12
Quad 4	9 - 2	16 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	356	Mercyhurst	W	76-59	94%	1 - 0			-0.1	+2.4	-1.3
Nov 08, 2024	323	Hampton	W	82-54	88%	2 - 0			+15.9	+1.1	+13.6
Nov 12, 2024	300	N.C. A&T	W	85-80	84%	3 - 0			-5.0	+1.4	-6.8
Nov 18, 2024	354	NJIT	W	81-64	95%
Nov 22, 2024	42	Kansas St.	L	70-80	18%
Nov 29, 2024	357	VMI	W	92-74	95%
Dec 04, 2024	255	@ American	W	72-70	59%
Dec 07, 2024	289	@ Old Dominion	W	82-77	66%
Dec 13, 2024	313	Army	W	74-62	86%
Dec 18, 2024	216	Lafayette	W	75-68	73%
Dec 31, 2024	184	@ Richmond	L	73-74	47%
Jan 04, 2025	58	Dayton	L	72-77	33%
Jan 08, 2025	116	@ Rhode Island	L	78-83	31%
Jan 15, 2025	157	Duquesne	W	76-73	61%
Jan 18, 2025	95	@ George Mason	L	71-79	25%
Jan 22, 2025	109	@ Massachusetts	L	75-81	28%
Jan 25, 2025	102	Saint Louis	L	80-81	47%
Jan 29, 2025	184	Richmond	W	76-71	67%
Feb 01, 2025	127	@ La Salle	L	72-77	34%
Feb 05, 2025	95	George Mason	L	74-76	44%
Feb 09, 2025	113	@ St. Bonaventure	L	71-77	30%
Feb 12, 2025	54	Virginia Commonwealth	L	71-77	32%
Feb 15, 2025	130	@ Davidson	L	73-77	36%
Feb 19, 2025	106	Saint Joseph's	L	76-77	47%
Feb 22, 2025	109	Massachusetts	L	78-79	48%
Feb 26, 2025	108	@ Loyola Chicago	L	72-79	29%
Mar 01, 2025	127	La Salle	W	75-74	55%
Mar 05, 2025	159	@ Fordham	L	74-77	41%
Projected Record						15 - 13	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0		2.0	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	0.9	1.2	0.6	0.2	0.0				3.1	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.1	1.8	0.7	0.1	0.0					3.9	3rd
4th										0.0	0.9	2.3	1.3	0.2	0.0						4.7	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	2.4	2.0	0.3	0.0							5.3	5th
6th									0.1	1.9	3.2	0.6	0.0								5.9	6th
7th								0.0	1.0	3.7	1.7	0.1									6.5	7th
8th								0.5	3.1	3.1	0.3	0.0									6.9	8th
9th							0.2	2.0	4.5	1.1	0.0										7.7	9th
10th						0.0	1.1	4.5	2.5	0.2											8.3	10th
11th					0.0	0.7	3.4	3.8	0.6	0.0											8.6	11th
12th				0.0	0.4	2.7	4.3	1.3	0.1												8.8	12th
13th			0.0	0.3	2.2	4.5	2.3	0.2													9.6	13th
14th		0.1	0.5	2.2	3.9	2.5	0.4	0.0													9.5	14th
15th	0.3	1.3	2.4	2.8	1.8	0.5	0.0														9.2	15th

Total	0.3	1.4	2.9	5.4	8.3	10.8	11.7	12.3	11.9	10.4	8.6	6.4	4.4	2.6	1.4	0.8	0.2	0.1	0.0		Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	93.1%	0.2		0.2	0.0
15-3	79.1%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0
14-4	44.8%	0.6		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	18.2%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	2.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0			0.0			0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.0%	2.0		1.0	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																		0.0
17-1	0.1%		54.5%	18.2%	36.4%	9.4							0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		44.4%
16-2	0.2%		46.6%	24.1%	22.4%	9.6		0.0				0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1		29.5%
15-3	0.8%		24.9%	16.0%	8.9%	11.1									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0				0.6		10.6%
14-4	1.4%		17.1%	16.1%	1.0%	11.5									0.0		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0				1.1		1.1%
13-5	2.6%		13.1%	12.9%	0.1%	11.8											0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0			2.3		0.1%
12-6	4.4%		7.8%	7.7%	0.1%	12.2										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0			4.0		0.1%
11-7	6.4%		3.9%	3.9%		12.5												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0			6.2
10-8	8.6%		2.4%	2.4%	0.0%	12.5												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0			8.4		0.0%
9-9	10.4%		1.5%	1.5%		12.8												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0			10.3
8-10	11.9%		0.9%	0.9%		13.2													0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		11.8
7-11	12.3%		0.4%	0.4%		13.7													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		12.3
6-12	11.7%		0.1%	0.1%		14.3														0.0	0.0	0.0		11.7
5-13	10.8%		0.1%	0.1%		14.7															0.0	0.0		10.8
4-14	8.3%		0.1%	0.1%		15.5																0.0	0.0	8.3
3-15	5.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	5.4
2-16	2.9%																							2.9
1-17	1.4%																							1.4
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		2.0%	1.9%	0.2%	12.0		0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0	98.0		0.2%