George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +7.9 #72
Expected Predictive Rating +3.1 #117
Pace 73.5 #67
Improvement -3.3 #320

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #47 A- A- C B A+
Defense #135 C C C+ B- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #57 1.24 #94 +4.5 #43
2 Pt. Jumpers 7% #363 0.99 #9 -4.2 #352
Three Pointers 50% #32 1.07 #110 +5.6 #28
1st FG Attempt 1.14 #39 +5.9 #39
Freethrows 19.6 #86 73% #146 14.4 #89
Second Chance 36.0% #42 1.16 #50 0.42 #36
Turnovers 16.4% #165
Total Offense +6.9 #47

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #181 1.23 #272 -1.5 #233
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #208 0.65 #38 +1.5 #83
Three Pointers 42% #154 0.99 #146 +0.1 #176
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #182 +0.0 #181
Freethrows 16.3 #104 71% #137 11.7 #108
Second Chance 28.0% #89 1.16 #304 0.32 #195
Turnovers 17.5% #105
Total Defense +1.0 #135

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 4.1% #8 0.4% #194
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 7.2% #73 -0.4% #176
Possession Length 15.8 #48 17.6 #242
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 #82 0.19 #239
Improvement -2.6 #319 -0.7 #235

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.8% 9.6% 6.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.3 11.3 11.5
.500 or above 98.5% 99.3% 95.7%
.500 or above in Conference 90.9% 94.4% 78.7%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.3% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
First Round8.7% 9.5% 6.0%
Second Round2.0% 2.2% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Richmond (Home) - 77.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 4
Quad 23 - 44 - 8
Quad 37 - 311 - 11
Quad 49 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 341 Maine W 67 - 47 97% +7  1 - 0 +5 -4 D+ A- F +11 A+ A+ C+
 Sat, Nov 8 74 South Florida W 99 - 95 51% +1  2 - 0 +12 +12 A+ B+ F -1 A+ F C-
 Wed, Nov 12 224 American W 107 - 67 91% +20  3 - 0 +33 +24 A+ A+ C +7 B D+ A-
 Sat, Nov 15 240 Old Dominion W 96 - 73 92% +11  4 - 0 +16 +16 B+ A A+ -1 B- D- A+
 Wed, Nov 19 275 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89 - 52 94% +24  5 - 0 +28 +8 A+ F D- +19 A+ A A
 Sun, Nov 23 87 McNeese St. L 86 - 92 54% -6  5 - 1 +1 +11 C+ A+ F -10 C+ F D
 Mon, Nov 24 128 Middle Tennessee W 92 - 79 71% +10  6 - 1 +15 +19 A+ F A -5 C F A-
 Tue, Nov 25 97 Murray St. L 95 - 96 60% -1  6 - 2 +4 +19 A+ C A+ -15 D- F D+
 Tue, Dec 2 333 @Army W 84 - 70 92% +5  7 - 2 +6 +8 F A+ F -1 F A+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 138 William & Mary W 99 - 86 82% +4  8 - 2 +11 +17 A+ A+ A+ -7 C D- C-
 Wed, Dec 10 295 Delaware L 58 - 70 95% -6  8 - 3 -23 -18 F F F -5 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 10 Florida L 70 - 80 12% -8  8 - 4 +10 +5 B+ A- C- +5 D- A+ B
 Wed, Dec 31 120 @Richmond W 99 - 85 58% +10  9 - 4 1 - 0 +20 +35 A+ A+ B- -15 F C- F
 Sat, Jan 3 197 La Salle W 77 - 55 89% +6  10 - 4 2 - 0 +16 +8 C+ A+ C +11 A- A+ D-
 Tue, Jan 6 73 @Dayton L 72 - 79 39% +1  10 - 5 2 - 1 +4 +8 A+ A+ F -4 A+ F C
 Sat, Jan 10 268 Loyola Chicago W 101 - 66 93% +20  11 - 5 3 - 1 +26 +14 A+ D+ B- +9 D+ A+ A+
 Wed, Jan 14 137 Davidson L 79 - 84 81% -9  11 - 6 3 - 2 -6 +11 D+ A+ A+ -17 F F C
 Mon, Jan 19 86 @George Mason L 64 - 69 42% -1  11 - 7 3 - 3 +5 -2 C- C D+ +7 C- C A+
 Sat, Jan 24 120 Richmond W 85 - 77 77%
 Tue, Jan 27 28 @Saint Louis L 79 - 89 18%
 Sat, Jan 31 193 Fordham W 81 - 68 89%
 Wed, Feb 4 159 @Saint Joseph's W 80 - 75 68%
 Sat, Feb 7 118 @Duquesne W 85 - 83 58%
 Tue, Feb 10 122 Rhode Island W 80 - 72 78%
 Fri, Feb 13 86 George Mason W 79 - 75 63%
 Tue, Feb 17 55 @Virginia Commonwealth L 81 - 86 31%
 Tue, Feb 24 197 @La Salle W 80 - 73 75%
 Fri, Feb 27 73 Dayton W 78 - 75 62%
 Wed, Mar 4 136 St. Bonaventure W 84 - 75 81%
 Sat, Mar 7 268 @Loyola Chicago W 85 - 74 84%
Totals 19 - 11 11 - 7 +8 +7 A- A- C +1 C C C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.8 4.8 2.8 0.2 9.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.8 8.8 5.8 0.7 18.2 3rd
4th 0.1 3.0 10.9 8.3 1.1 0.0 23.4 4th
5th 0.0 2.1 9.5 7.8 1.2 0.0 20.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 5.1 5.7 1.0 0.0 12.3 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 3.9 0.9 0.0 6.9 7th
8th 0.4 2.3 1.0 0.0 3.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 1.0 0.1 2.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.3 6.1 12.3 19.2 22.7 20.2 11.8 4.1 0.6 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 59.8% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.0
14-4 14.0% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 1.4% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.6% 37.6% 23.1% 14.5% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 18.9%
14-4 4.1% 23.5% 21.3% 2.2% 10.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.0 3.1 2.8%
13-5 11.8% 15.3% 14.9% 0.4% 11.1 0.1 1.5 0.3 10.0 0.4%
12-6 20.2% 11.3% 11.2% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 1.6 0.7 0.0 17.9 0.1%
11-7 22.7% 8.0% 7.9% 0.0% 11.5 0.0 1.0 0.8 0.0 20.9 0.0%
10-8 19.2% 5.6% 5.6% 11.7 0.4 0.7 0.0 18.1
9-9 12.3% 3.8% 3.8% 11.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 11.9
8-10 6.1% 2.5% 2.5% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.9
7-11 2.3% 1.8% 1.8% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2
6-12 0.7% 0.7
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 8.8% 8.6% 0.2% 11.3 91.2 0.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 8.5 7.4 18.5 22.2 25.9 22.2 3.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2% 30.3% 10.9 6.1 21.2 3.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2% 20.0% 10.9 2.9 17.1