George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.5#59
Expected Predictive Rating+7.3#82
Pace74.4#66
Improvement-1.6#292

Offense
Total Offense+9.1#19
First Shot+7.9#19
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#112
Layup/Dunks+4.8#45
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#330
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#60
Freethrows+2.0#73
Improvement+1.2#85

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#157
First Shot+1.0#135
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#233
Layups/Dunks-2.8#285
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#80
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#149
Freethrows+1.4#105
Improvement-2.8#347
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.0% 22.3% 12.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 6.8% 6.9% 2.5%
Average Seed 10.4 10.3 11.0
.500 or above 99.7% 99.7% 97.6%
.500 or above in Conference 95.4% 95.5% 90.5%
Conference Champion 22.2% 22.4% 14.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four3.2% 3.2% 1.5%
First Round20.5% 20.8% 11.3%
Second Round7.6% 7.7% 3.1%
Sweet Sixteen1.7% 1.8% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware (Home) - 96.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 24 - 35 - 6
Quad 38 - 213 - 9
Quad 410 - 023 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 328 Maine W 67-47 97%     1 - 0 +7.1 -5.0 +13.1
  Sat, Nov 8 79 South Florida W 99-95 58%     2 - 0 +11.3 +12.2 -1.6
  Wed, Nov 12 242 American W 107-67 93%     3 - 0 +32.5 +23.2 +6.3
  Sat, Nov 15 212 Old Dominion W 96-73 92%     4 - 0 +16.7 +14.6 +1.0
  Wed, Nov 19 259 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89-52 94%     5 - 0 +28.6 +9.5 +18.5
  Sun, Nov 23 80 McNeese St. L 86-92 59%     5 - 1 +1.1 +13.0 -11.5
  Mon, Nov 24 136 Middle Tennessee W 92-79 77%     6 - 1 +14.7 +17.4 -3.0
  Tue, Nov 25 111 Murray St. L 95-96 71%     6 - 2 +2.7 +19.3 -16.6
  Tue, Dec 2 340 @Army W 84-70 94%     7 - 2 +5.7 +9.8 -3.6
  Sat, Dec 6 119 William & Mary W 99-86 81%     8 - 2 +13.1 +16.6 -4.9
  Wed, Dec 10 296 Delaware W 89-69 97%    
  Sat, Dec 13 14 Florida L 79-88 21%    
  Wed, Dec 31 105 @Richmond W 83-81 58%    
  Sat, Jan 3 225 La Salle W 85-69 93%    
  Tue, Jan 6 70 @Dayton L 80-82 44%    
  Sat, Jan 10 260 Loyola Chicago W 88-70 95%    
  Wed, Jan 14 138 Davidson W 84-73 83%    
  Mon, Jan 19 74 @George Mason L 77-78 46%    
  Sat, Jan 24 105 Richmond W 86-78 77%    
  Tue, Jan 27 45 @Saint Louis L 83-87 35%    
  Sat, Jan 31 229 Fordham W 84-68 93%    
  Wed, Feb 4 178 @Saint Joseph's W 84-76 76%    
  Sat, Feb 7 133 @Duquesne W 88-83 67%    
  Tue, Feb 10 116 Rhode Island W 85-76 80%    
  Fri, Feb 13 74 George Mason W 80-75 67%    
  Tue, Feb 17 42 @Virginia Commonwealth L 79-84 32%    
  Tue, Feb 24 225 @La Salle W 82-72 82%    
  Fri, Feb 27 70 Dayton W 83-79 65%    
  Wed, Mar 4 108 St. Bonaventure W 82-74 77%    
  Sat, Mar 7 260 @Loyola Chicago W 85-73 86%    
Projected Record 22 - 8 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.2 4.9 7.3 5.9 2.4 0.5 22.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 7.0 8.2 3.8 0.7 0.0 21.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 5.8 7.3 2.3 0.2 0.0 16.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.4 6.2 1.7 0.1 0.0 13.1 4th
5th 0.2 2.5 4.9 1.7 0.1 9.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 3.4 1.9 0.2 0.0 6.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 4.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 2.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 1.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.7 5.3 8.4 12.5 15.6 17.4 15.6 11.2 6.5 2.4 0.5 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
17-1 98.9% 2.4    2.2 0.2
16-2 89.9% 5.9    4.6 1.2 0.0
15-3 64.8% 7.3    4.1 2.7 0.5 0.0
14-4 31.5% 4.9    1.5 2.2 1.0 0.2 0.0
13-5 6.9% 1.2    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 22.2% 22.2 12.9 6.7 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.5% 91.2% 43.8% 47.4% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 84.4%
17-1 2.4% 77.0% 39.3% 37.7% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 62.2%
16-2 6.5% 56.8% 32.9% 24.0% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.0 2.8 35.7%
15-3 11.2% 39.8% 26.9% 12.9% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.4 0.1 6.8 17.7%
14-4 15.6% 27.6% 21.4% 6.2% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 3.1 0.3 11.3 7.9%
13-5 17.4% 19.5% 17.0% 2.5% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.5 0.5 0.0 14.0 3.1%
12-6 15.6% 13.1% 12.5% 0.7% 11.3 0.1 1.4 0.6 0.0 13.6 0.8%
11-7 12.5% 8.4% 8.2% 0.2% 11.4 0.0 0.6 0.4 0.0 11.5 0.2%
10-8 8.4% 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 11.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 7.9 0.0%
9-9 5.3% 3.5% 3.5% 11.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.1
8-10 2.7% 3.2% 3.2% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.6
7-11 1.3% 2.1% 2.1% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2
6-12 0.5% 2.1% 2.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.5
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 22.0% 16.4% 5.7% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.9 4.0 11.5 2.4 0.1 0.0 78.0 6.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 3.8 6.9 13.8 17.2 31.0 20.7 10.3