Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -6.7 277
Expected Predictive Rating -8.3 299
Pace 66.3 243
Improvement +2.2 93

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- #245 C- C D C- B
Defense D+ #296 C- C F C C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 192 56% 222 -0.9 218
2 Pt. Jumpers 12% 338 37% 201 -3.4 337
Three Pointers 50% 26 33% 233 +3.6 65
1st FG Attempt 1.00 197 -0.8 198
Second Chance 32.5% 121 0.94 300 0.30 193
Turnovers 18.9% 300
Freethrows 0.30 194 68% 306 0.21 231
Total Offense -2.6 245

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 242 54% 72 +2.7 94
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 130 42% 309 -1.3 286
Three Pointers 42% 157 38% 338 -3.1 312
1st FG Attempt 1.05 235 -1.7 236
Second Chance 29.8% 149 1.05 222 0.31 190
Turnovers 12.4% 359
Freethrows 0.29 135 78% 362 0.23 207
Total Defense -4.0 296

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +1.1 50 -0.3 117
Shot Type Accuracy -1.8 234 +1.9 254
Possession Length 18.2 275 17.4 211
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 308 0.19 236
Improvement -1.0 #249 +3.3 #31

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 95% 80% 95%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Saint Louis (Home) - 2.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 21 - 52 - 9
Quad 31 - 123 - 20
Quad 44 - 57 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 299 Cleveland St. W 91 - 88 66% +2  66% 1 - 0 D+ -8 B- +4 D+ D- A+ F -12 C- F C
 Thu, Nov 6 304 Mercyhurst L 65 - 73 67% -7  13% 1 - 1 F -19 F -12 D F D D- -8 F C- B-
 Sun, Nov 9 144 North Texas L 62 - 64 23% -4  21% 1 - 2 C -1 D+ -4 F D+ B+ B- +3 C+ A+ C
 Thu, Nov 13 96 @Wichita St. L 74 - 95 9% -14  6% 1 - 3 D- -13 A- +9 A+ F+ C F -23 D F F
 Sun, Nov 16 103 Colorado St. L 67 - 80 21% -12  0% 1 - 4 D- -11 C +1 A D F F -14 C- F D-
 Fri, Nov 21 314 Northern Illinois L 59 - 76 70% -9  12% 1 - 5 F -29 F -12 C- F F+ F -20 F F F
 Tue, Nov 25 100 Northern Iowa L 51 - 72 14% -18  0% 1 - 6 F+ -16 F -10 F B C D- -9 C- C+ F
 Wed, Nov 26 236 San Jose St. L 51 - 63 41% -1  45% 1 - 7 F+ -16 F -18 D+ C F C -1 C A- F+
 Tue, Dec 2 296 Central Michigan W 83 - 72 65% +2  55% 2 - 7 C +0 B +5 D B+ A- D+ -5 D- C D
 Sat, Dec 6 221 Princeton W 73 - 68 48% -1  40% 3 - 7 C -1 C+ +2 B- A+ C C- -3 B- C+ F
 Sun, Dec 14 353 Chicago St. L 75 - 84 83% -6  12% 3 - 8 F -26 F -11 F A+ F F -15 F+ C- D-
 Wed, Dec 17 107 San Francisco L 71 - 85 15% -12  2% 3 - 9 D -10 B+ +8 D+ A- A F -20 F B- F
 Sat, Dec 20 44 Santa Clara W 80 - 78 5% +1  61% 4 - 9 B+ +14 A +12 A+ D- A+ B- +3 A+ F+ F+
 Wed, Dec 31 116 @Rhode Island W 61 - 57 12% +7  85% 5 - 9 1 - 0 B +10 D -6 A- B F A+ +16 A+ C+ C-
 Sat, Jan 3 97 Dayton L 68 - 70 20% +6  79% 5 - 10 1 - 1 C +0 C- -1 B C C C+ +1 A+ C+ F
 Wed, Jan 7 111 Davidson L 64 - 79 24% -10  0% 5 - 11 1 - 2 F+ -14 D- -8 F+ B+ C D- -7 D+ C- D+
 Sat, Jan 10 84 @George Washington L 66 - 101 7% -20  0% 5 - 12 1 - 3 F -25 F -13 C+ F F F+ -10 D- A F
 Tue, Jan 13 89 George Mason L 74 - 82 19% +3  75% 5 - 13 1 - 4 D+ -5 B+ +8 A A- B F -14 C F F
 Fri, Jan 16 97 @Dayton L 51 - 78 9% -6  22% 5 - 14 1 - 5 F -19 F -17 F D F C- -2 D+ A+ C-
 Tue, Jan 20 134 @St. Bonaventure L 70 - 84 14% +3  69% 5 - 15 1 - 6 D -9 D -4 B+ F F D -5 B+ B+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 108 Duquesne L 59 - 71 23% -4  11% 5 - 16 1 - 7 D -11 F -14 F D+ B- B- +3 C+ A D-
 Tue, Jan 27 136 Saint Joseph's L 64 - 85 31% -20  0% 5 - 17 1 - 8 F -22 D -5 C- D C F -19 F F F
 Fri, Jan 30 51 @Virginia Commonwealth L 75 - 89 4% -0  44% 5 - 18 1 - 9 C -0 B +7 C+ A D+ D- -7 C C F
 Tue, Feb 3 226 La Salle W 71 - 61 49% +1  48% 6 - 18 2 - 9 C+ +4 D -4 D+ B+ D A- +8 C+ A+ C
 Fri, Feb 6 111 @Davidson L 64 - 84 11% -16  0% 6 - 19 2 - 10 D- -13 C- -1 A C+ F F -15 F A+ D
 Fri, Feb 13 22 Saint Louis L 68 - 88 3%
 Wed, Feb 18 157 @Fordham L 63 - 72 19%
 Sat, Feb 21 136 @Saint Joseph's L 65 - 76 14%
 Sat, Feb 28 128 Richmond L 72 - 78 30%
 Wed, Mar 4 22 @Saint Louis L 65 - 91 1%
 Sat, Mar 7 84 George Washington L 73 - 83 16%
Totals 7 - 24 3 - 15 -7 C- -3 C- C D D+ -4 C- C F



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C- C- C- C- 38% 12% 50% B C- C+ D C D C D C- D+ B- D D- D+ 37% 22% 42% C+ C- C+ C- C F C+ F C
1.05 56% 37% 33% -2 +1 1.00 32% 0.9 .30 19% .30 68% .21 1.14 54% 42% 38% +2 0 1.05 30% 1.1 .31 12% .29 78% .24
Nov
3		 Cleveland St. B- F+ A- B- D 34% 7% 59% B D+ F+ D+ D- A+ A C- A F B F C+ D+ 32% 21% 46% B C- F B+ F C D- F F
1.27 53% 50% 36% +1 +1 1.07 29% 1.0 .29 10% .39 76% .29 1.22 50% 67% 35% +4 -1 1.09 50% 0.9 .44 19% .40 91% .36
Nov
6		 Mercyhurst F D+ F D- F+ 45% 6% 49% B+ D F+ F F D A- C+ A- D- B F D F+ 40% 22% 38% F F D- B- C- B- F D- F
0.96 55% 0% 29% -7 +2 0.92 27% 0.7 .19 21% .43 74% .32 1.08 50% 60% 35% +2 0 1.07 31% 1.0 .31 18% .38 76% .29
Nov
9		 North Texas D+ D+ F F F 39% 11% 50% B+ F B- F D+ B+ A+ D A+ B- C A+ D+ C+ 50% 21% 29% C+ C+ C- A+ A+ C F F F
0.94 53% 20% 18% -16 +1 0.73 36% 0.8 .30 20% .59 68% .40 0.97 57% 11% 33% -6 +1 0.90 35% 0.5 .16 18% .50 81% .41
Nov
13		 Wichita St. A- B F A+ A 40% 17% 44% A- A+ B F F+ C B+ A+ A F B- A+ F D- 33% 18% 49% C+ D B- F F F C+ C- C
1.13 63% 13% 48% +7 +1 1.17 32% 0.5 .15 17% .33 83% .28 1.46 53% 10% 46% +3 0 1.07 37% 1.6 .58 3% .30 68% .21
Nov
16		 Colorado St. C C A+ A- A- 32% 8% 61% A- A C+ F D F A+ C A+ F A+ F F C- 29% 16% 56% C+ C- F F+ F D- D- F F
1.11 58% 67% 39% +7 +1 1.18 29% 0.9 .25 22% .47 68% .32 1.33 46% 57% 44% +8 0 1.18 40% 1.3 .50 15% .37 84% .31
Nov
21		 Northern Illinois F D- F A- D+ 45% 6% 49% B+ C- F+ F F F+ F F F F C- B- F F 32% 12% 56% B- F F C+ F F A+ F A
0.96 52% 0% 39% -1 +2 1.04 24% 0.9 .21 21% .14 57% .08 1.24 56% 33% 43% +6 +1 1.16 46% 0.8 .38 16% .19 80% .16
Nov
25		 Northern Iowa F F F+ C F 34% 16% 50% C+ F B+ C+ B C B F C- D- C+ C- F+ D 27% 23% 50% A+ C- A+ F C+ F C- C+ C
0.83 20% 29% 32% -16 0 0.70 32% 0.9 .29 18% .30 60% .18 1.17 57% 42% 38% +4 -1 1.08 12% 1.8 .21 5% .26 67% .17
Nov
26		 San Jose St. F C- D C+ D+ 34% 17% 49% C- D+ D+ B C F C- F D- C B F A+ C 36% 29% 36% C- C C A+ A- F+ D B D+
0.87 58% 33% 35% 0 0 1.03 32% 1.3 .41 36% .27 60% .16 1.08 50% 62% 25% -1 -1 0.98 33% 0.7 .24 12% .33 71% .23
Dec
2		 Central Michigan B B- D+ F D- 43% 14% 43% C+ D D A+ B+ A- A+ C- A+ D+ D+ F C F+ 42% 33% 25% B- D- A+ F C D D+ F D
1.25 63% 33% 26% -3 +1 0.98 31% 1.7 .53 12% .57 70% .39 1.08 60% 50% 33% +5 -1 1.08 17% 1.8 .31 15% .30 76% .23
Dec
6		 Princeton C+ A F F+ C+ 48% 9% 43% A- B- D+ A+ A+ C A+ F+ A+ C- B D B B- 30% 13% 57% C- B- D+ B+ C+ F B- F D
1.14 71% 25% 26% 0 +2 1.07 25% 2.1 .54 14% .47 65% .31 1.06 50% 43% 30% -5 0 0.92 28% 0.9 .26 8% .27 94% .25
Dec
14		 Chicago St. F F F F F 23% 4% 72% C F A+ C+ A+ F B+ F C- F D B F F 33% 40% 27% B- F+ F A- C- D- F F F
1.04 45% 0% 26% -13 +1 0.79 51% 1.1 .58 24% .40 64% .25 1.16 59% 33% 43% +2 -3 1.00 39% 0.7 .28 12% .46 90% .41
Dec
17		 San Francisco B+ A F F D 47% 19% 35% B D+ B+ B+ A- A A+ C+ A+ F A F F F 33% 16% 51% C F A F+ B- F F C+ F
1.17 70% 13% 20% -6 +1 0.91 32% 1.2 .38 8% .59 73% .43 1.40 47% 71% 52% +15 0 1.33 25% 1.3 .32 7% .46 69% .32
Dec
20		 Santa Clara A D+ A+ A- A+ 28% 15% 57% D+ A+ C- F D- A+ B+ B+ A B- A+ F B+ A+ 38% 20% 42% B- A+ C- F F+ F+ D- D- F+
1.18 54% 86% 38% +10 0 1.22 30% 0.8 .22 13% .39 78% .31 1.15 43% 55% 30% -5 0 0.93 39% 1.3 .50 12% .30 78% .23
Dec
31		 Rhode Island D D+ A+ A A- 44% 8% 49% A- A- A+ F+ B F F A+ D+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ 38% 21% 40% B A+ C- B C+ C- B- C+ B
0.93 53% 67% 42% +6 +2 1.18 46% 0.8 .38 37% .24 90% .22 0.87 44% 40% 21% -13 0 0.77 35% 0.8 .30 18% .32 71% .22
Jan
3		 Dayton C- D A+ C B- 41% 12% 47% A- B A+ F C C F F F C+ A- A+ A+ A+ 49% 10% 41% D A+ A F C+ F C F D
1.01 50% 83% 35% +3 +1 1.10 43% 0.7 .30 22% .10 60% .06 1.04 50% 20% 25% -11 +2 0.84 21% 1.4 .29 9% .41 84% .34
Jan
7		 Davidson D- F A+ F F 50% 13% 38% A+ F+ B B- B+ C A F B- D- A+ F F D+ 32% 16% 52% C- D+ C D+ C- D+ C- B- C
0.96 42% 67% 22% -11 +2 0.83 35% 1.1 .38 18% .39 57% .22 1.19 31% 75% 46% +7 0 1.16 31% 1.1 .34 15% .30 65% .19
Jan
10		 George Washington F A+ C- F C+ 32% 11% 57% B- C+ B- F F F F+ F F F+ C F F F+ 40% 5% 55% C D- B- A+ A F B- F D
0.86 82% 33% 27% +1 +1 1.06 33% 0.4 .14 26% .21 50% .11 1.32 60% 67% 41% +8 +2 1.23 34% 0.8 .29 10% .28 95% .26
Jan
13		 George Mason B+ A- A+ D- A- 50% 8% 42% A+ A C+ A+ A- B A F C F B B F C- 43% 32% 26% B+ C F F F F F+ D- F
1.17 68% 75% 29% +5 +2 1.16 29% 1.3 .36 14% .33 56% .18 1.29 55% 33% 50% +3 -1 1.06 43% 1.4 .60 11% .46 77% .35
Jan
16		 Dayton F F F F F 43% 20% 36% B F A- F D F C+ F D C- C+ A F D 37% 18% 45% B D+ A- A+ A+ C- F+ D+ F
0.75 42% 22% 25% -15 0 0.73 37% 0.6 .23 28% .32 56% .18 1.14 58% 22% 43% +4 0 1.10 21% 0.7 .15 16% .49 79% .38
Jan
20		 St. Bonaventure D B F A+ B+ 35% 13% 52% B- B+ C- F F F C- D D+ D C+ A+ D- B+ 32% 27% 41% B B+ A+ F B+ F D F F
1.02 65% 17% 44% +8 +1 1.19 28% 0.2 .06 23% .28 73% .21 1.22 56% 27% 39% -1 -1 0.98 22% 1.3 .27 6% .31 95% .29
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Duquesne F B- F F F 33% 17% 50% B- F F A+ D+ B- C- C+ C B- B- A- F+ C 43% 15% 43% B- C+ A+ F+ A D- D+ B C
0.87 63% 25% 21% -10 0 0.81 18% 1.3 .24 16% .33 74% .25 1.05 55% 29% 40% +1 +1 1.06 16% 1.2 .19 15% .38 68% .26
Jan
27		 Saint Joseph's D B- C+ D C 19% 25% 57% D C- B- F D C D+ B- C- F F B F+ F 44% 18% 38% C F C+ F F F A+ A+ A+
0.97 60% 38% 30% -3 -2 0.92 35% 0.7 .26 15% .20 73% .14 1.29 75% 30% 38% +8 +1 1.20 32% 1.8 .57 12% .10 50% .05
Jan
30		 Virginia Commonwealth B C- F B+ C 48% 12% 40% A- C+ A- A- A D+ C D+ C- D- D A C- C 38% 13% 48% C+ C B- D+ C F F F F
1.10 52% 17% 38% -3 +2 1.00 38% 1.2 .44 19% .29 69% .20 1.31 65% 29% 36% +3 +1 1.10 32% 1.2 .38 10% .47 83% .39
Feb
3		 La Salle D D+ A D D 33% 4% 63% B+ D+ D+ A+ B+ D A+ F A+ A- A+ F C+ C+ 38% 28% 34% B- C+ A+ B+ A+ C C B C+
1.04 53% 50% 31% -4 +2 0.98 26% 1.6 .42 19% .45 60% .27 0.90 39% 54% 31% -4 -1 0.91 18% 0.8 .15 18% .34 68% .23
Feb
6		 Davidson C- C A A+ A- 46% 20% 34% A- A B D+ C+ F A+ F A- F F F F F 30% 21% 49% C+ F B A+ A+ D A F B+
1.02 58% 50% 43% +7 +1 1.17 34% 0.9 .31 24% .44 57% .25 1.34 75% 64% 46% +19 -1 1.40 28% 0.6 .16 14% .19 80% .15



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.7 11th
12th 0.2 1.7 1.5 0.0 3.3 12th
13th 6.4 7.5 1.1 0.0 15.0 13th
14th 41.2 33.0 6.5 0.2 80.8 14th
Total 41.2 39.6 15.7 3.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 0.0% 0.0
6-12 0.2% 0.2
5-13 3.4% 3.4
4-14 15.7% 15.7
3-15 39.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 39.5
2-16 41.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 41.2
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 32.7%