Davidson
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.4#140
Expected Predictive Rating+4.4#104
Pace65.3#292
Improvement-3.2#342

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#149
First Shot+1.1#146
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#216
Layup/Dunks-3.1#285
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#111
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#70
Freethrows-0.6#227
Improvement-2.2#332

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#136
First Shot-1.1#207
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#43
Layups/Dunks-0.4#191
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#310
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#96
Freethrows-0.8#243
Improvement-1.0#255
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.4% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.1 12.0 12.4
.500 or above 65.3% 76.1% 50.9%
.500 or above in Conference 48.4% 60.1% 32.7%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.9% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 1.4% 5.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.1% 1.3% 0.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duquesne (Home) - 57.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 22 - 52 - 9
Quad 36 - 48 - 13
Quad 48 - 216 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 149 Washington St. W 85-69 64%     1 - 0 +13.8 +10.7 +3.1
  Tue, Nov 11 183 @Charlotte W 62-55 50%     2 - 0 +8.3 +0.9 +8.8
  Sat, Nov 15 117 Bowling Green W 91-87 55%     3 - 0 +4.2 +10.6 -6.9
  Fri, Nov 21 156 Boston College W 59-49 54%     4 - 0 +10.3 +1.3 +11.1
  Sun, Nov 23 33 Utah St. L 60-94 13%     4 - 1 -20.5 -7.4 -13.0
  Fri, Nov 28 301 N.C. A&T W 90-74 87%     5 - 1 +5.3 +18.5 -12.3
  Thu, Dec 4 355 The Citadel W 79-63 94%     6 - 1 -0.7 +3.9 -3.1
  Sun, Dec 7 44 St. Mary's L 61-70 24%     6 - 2 -0.3 -0.4 -0.7
  Sat, Dec 13 318 Mercyhurst W 80-47 89%     7 - 2 +20.7 +17.8 +9.1
  Thu, Dec 18 151 Temple L 63-68 65%     7 - 3 -7.5 -6.3 -1.8
  Mon, Dec 22 17 @Kansas L 61-90 5%     7 - 4 -8.6 -2.4 -4.7
  Tue, Dec 30 121 Duquesne W 77-75 57%    
  Sat, Jan 3 188 @Saint Joseph's W 69-68 51%    
  Wed, Jan 7 270 @Loyola Chicago W 73-69 66%    
  Sat, Jan 10 119 Rhode Island W 71-70 55%    
  Wed, Jan 14 77 @George Washington L 72-81 20%    
  Wed, Jan 21 193 Fordham W 69-63 73%    
  Sat, Jan 24 47 Virginia Commonwealth L 70-77 27%    
  Wed, Jan 28 88 @George Mason L 65-73 24%    
  Sat, Jan 31 104 @Richmond L 69-75 29%    
  Tue, Feb 3 37 Saint Louis L 72-81 21%    
  Fri, Feb 6 270 Loyola Chicago W 76-66 83%    
  Sun, Feb 15 68 @Dayton L 65-75 19%    
  Wed, Feb 18 104 Richmond L 71-72 49%    
  Sat, Feb 21 193 @Fordham W 67-66 52%    
  Wed, Feb 25 121 @Duquesne L 74-78 35%    
  Sun, Mar 1 233 La Salle W 73-64 78%    
  Wed, Mar 4 188 Saint Joseph's W 72-66 71%    
  Sat, Mar 7 116 @St. Bonaventure L 68-73 33%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 2.4 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 3.1 2.2 0.4 0.0 6.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.6 3.7 0.8 0.0 8.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.5 5.2 1.5 0.1 10.5 6th
7th 0.1 2.6 6.1 2.5 0.2 0.0 11.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 6.2 3.9 0.3 0.0 12.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 4.9 4.9 0.8 0.0 11.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.7 5.2 1.3 0.0 10.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.2 1.6 0.1 8.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.9 1.3 0.1 6.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.5 0.8 0.1 3.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.3 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.7 6.4 10.3 13.6 15.4 14.9 12.5 9.4 6.1 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 92.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 69.5% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 30.2% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 6.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 17.1% 12.2% 4.9% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.6%
15-3 0.5% 10.6% 9.3% 1.3% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5%
14-4 1.5% 7.7% 7.7% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.4
13-5 3.3% 4.4% 4.4% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.2
12-6 6.1% 3.9% 3.9% 11.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.8
11-7 9.4% 2.2% 2.2% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.2
10-8 12.5% 1.0% 1.0% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.4
9-9 14.9% 0.5% 0.5% 12.6 0.0 0.0 14.9
8-10 15.4% 0.4% 0.4% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.4
7-11 13.6% 0.2% 0.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 13.5
6-12 10.3% 0.1% 0.1% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.3
5-13 6.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.4
4-14 3.7% 3.7
3-15 1.5% 1.5
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.9 0.0%