Davidson
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.7#121
Expected Predictive Rating+4.2#106
Pace65.1#264
Improvement-0.4#201

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#75
First Shot+3.4#84
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#145
Layup/Dunks+0.2#178
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#262
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#65
Freethrows+0.5#143
Improvement-0.1#184

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#220
First Shot-3.5#287
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#38
Layups/Dunks-1.4#227
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#125
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#308
Freethrows+0.5#145
Improvement-0.3#201
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 3.3% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.4 12.3 12.5
.500 or above 89.1% 95.7% 83.1%
.500 or above in Conference 50.6% 64.7% 37.8%
Conference Champion 1.1% 2.0% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.8% 1.0% 4.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.5% 3.2% 1.8%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Joseph's (Home) - 47.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 42 - 8
Quad 36 - 58 - 13
Quad 410 - 118 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 285   @ Bowling Green W 91-85 75%     1 - 0 +1.6 +9.1 -7.9
  Nov 16, 2024 146   East Tennessee St. W 76-70 66%     2 - 0 +4.4 +10.8 -5.7
  Nov 22, 2024 327   VMI W 93-66 92%     3 - 0 +13.9 +12.3 +1.2
  Nov 27, 2024 13   Arizona L 71-104 10%     3 - 1 -16.0 -1.7 -10.7
  Nov 28, 2024 81   Providence W 69-58 33%     4 - 1 +18.1 +9.2 +10.5
  Nov 29, 2024 14   Gonzaga L 65-90 10%     4 - 2 -8.3 -4.9 -2.8
  Dec 06, 2024 279   Charleston Southern W 73-72 87%     5 - 2 -8.4 -1.0 -7.4
  Dec 10, 2024 224   Charlotte W 75-71 80%     6 - 2 -2.4 +17.9 -19.3
  Dec 14, 2024 331   Detroit Mercy W 86-51 92%     7 - 2 +21.6 +11.5 +11.6
  Dec 18, 2024 110   @ Temple L 61-62 38%     7 - 3 +4.9 -2.5 +7.3
  Dec 21, 2024 255   Bethune-Cookman W 76-63 84%     8 - 3 +4.9 +4.6 +0.5
  Dec 28, 2024 313   Eastern Michigan W 86-64 90%     9 - 3 +10.6 +8.3 +2.7
  Dec 31, 2024 86   @ George Mason L 57-69 26%     9 - 4 0 - 1 -2.7 +1.0 -5.5
  Jan 04, 2025 116   Duquesne W 77-71 60%     10 - 4 1 - 1 +6.1 +15.6 -8.7
  Jan 11, 2025 221   Fordham W 74-64 80%     11 - 4 2 - 1 +3.9 -4.3 +7.8
  Jan 15, 2025 191   @ La Salle L 76-79 55%     11 - 5 2 - 2 -1.6 +4.2 -5.8
  Jan 18, 2025 109   @ Rhode Island L 90-92 37%     11 - 6 2 - 3 +4.2 +21.6 -17.5
  Jan 21, 2025 90   Saint Joseph's L 73-74 48%    
  Jan 25, 2025 209   @ Richmond W 70-68 58%    
  Feb 01, 2025 86   George Mason L 66-67 47%    
  Feb 04, 2025 78   @ Dayton L 69-76 24%    
  Feb 08, 2025 209   Richmond W 73-65 77%    
  Feb 12, 2025 171   @ Massachusetts W 77-76 51%    
  Feb 15, 2025 119   George Washington W 76-73 60%    
  Feb 18, 2025 136   Loyola Chicago W 76-72 64%    
  Feb 22, 2025 221   @ Fordham W 77-74 61%    
  Feb 25, 2025 102   Saint Louis W 76-75 55%    
  Feb 28, 2025 49   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 65-76 15%    
  Mar 05, 2025 136   @ Loyola Chicago L 73-75 42%    
  Mar 08, 2025 96   St. Bonaventure L 69-70 50%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.1 1st
2nd 0.4 1.4 0.8 0.1 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 2.1 0.4 0.0 4.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.6 4.0 1.0 0.0 6.6 4th
5th 0.4 4.7 2.6 0.2 7.9 5th
6th 0.0 2.4 5.5 0.6 8.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 6.3 2.9 0.1 10.0 7th
8th 0.1 3.0 6.1 0.5 9.6 8th
9th 1.0 6.3 2.9 0.1 10.4 9th
10th 0.3 3.9 6.0 0.4 10.5 10th
11th 0.1 1.8 6.1 2.2 0.0 10.2 11th
12th 0.6 3.9 3.1 0.2 7.8 12th
13th 0.3 2.0 2.9 0.4 5.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.7 0.5 0.0 3.7 14th
15th 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 15th
Total 0.0 0.5 2.0 4.5 9.4 14.7 18.4 18.6 15.3 9.7 4.8 1.7 0.4 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 70.7% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1
13-5 30.4% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 9.8% 7.3% 2.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.6%
13-5 1.7% 11.7% 11.7% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.5
12-6 4.8% 10.4% 10.4% 12.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 4.3
11-7 9.7% 5.3% 5.3% 12.2 0.0 0.4 0.1 9.2
10-8 15.3% 2.9% 2.9% 12.5 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 14.9
9-9 18.6% 2.2% 2.2% 12.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 18.2
8-10 18.4% 1.4% 1.4% 12.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 18.1
7-11 14.7% 0.5% 0.5% 13.5 0.0 0.0 14.6
6-12 9.4% 0.4% 0.4% 14.3 0.0 0.0 9.3
5-13 4.5% 4.5
4-14 2.0% 0.5% 0.5% 15.0 0.0 2.0
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 97.5 0.0%