St. Bonaventure
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.8#113
Expected Predictive Rating+10.0#46
Pace64.6#314
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#104
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#128
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.1% 7.3% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.7% 1.8% 0.1%
Average Seed 10.9 10.9 12.0
.500 or above 81.4% 82.6% 57.7%
.500 or above in Conference 57.7% 58.6% 39.5%
Conference Champion 6.0% 6.2% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 5.2% 11.2%
First Four0.9% 0.9% 0.1%
First Round6.6% 6.9% 1.9%
Second Round2.0% 2.1% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Le Moyne (Home) - 95.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 22 - 43 - 7
Quad 37 - 49 - 11
Quad 49 - 119 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 202   Cal St. Northridge W 70-56 81%     1 - 0 +8.7 -9.7 +17.2
  Nov 09, 2024 318   @ Canisius W 87-78 81%     2 - 0 +3.3 +21.0 -16.6
  Nov 13, 2024 239   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 74-65 66%     3 - 0 +8.4 +3.2 +5.4
  Nov 16, 2024 337   Le Moyne W 79-61 95%    
  Nov 24, 2024 193   Bryant W 80-71 78%    
  Nov 28, 2024 43   Utah St. L 69-76 27%    
  Dec 04, 2024 242   @ Bucknell W 72-67 67%    
  Dec 07, 2024 315   Buffalo W 81-66 91%    
  Dec 14, 2024 84   Providence L 64-67 38%    
  Dec 17, 2024 308   @ Siena W 72-64 78%    
  Dec 21, 2024 320   Niagara W 78-62 92%    
  Dec 31, 2024 54   Virginia Commonwealth L 67-69 41%    
  Jan 04, 2025 159   @ Fordham W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 08, 2025 102   @ Saint Louis L 72-76 37%    
  Jan 11, 2025 127   La Salle W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 15, 2025 184   Richmond W 72-64 76%    
  Jan 18, 2025 157   @ Duquesne W 69-68 51%    
  Jan 21, 2025 95   George Mason W 70-69 55%    
  Jan 24, 2025 54   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 64-72 23%    
  Jan 28, 2025 58   Dayton L 68-70 43%    
  Feb 01, 2025 159   Fordham W 72-66 70%    
  Feb 04, 2025 108   @ Loyola Chicago L 68-71 38%    
  Feb 09, 2025 153   George Washington W 77-71 70%    
  Feb 12, 2025 116   @ Rhode Island L 73-75 42%    
  Feb 15, 2025 109   @ Massachusetts L 70-73 38%    
  Feb 22, 2025 157   Duquesne W 71-65 70%    
  Feb 26, 2025 106   @ Saint Joseph's L 69-73 37%    
  Mar 05, 2025 109   Massachusetts W 73-70 58%    
  Mar 08, 2025 130   @ Davidson L 68-69 46%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.8 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.1 6.0 1st
2nd 0.3 1.8 2.8 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 7.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 3.3 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 3.8 2.6 0.4 0.0 8.2 4th
5th 0.5 3.4 3.5 0.7 0.0 8.0 5th
6th 0.1 2.5 4.3 1.2 0.0 8.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.5 2.2 0.2 7.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 3.2 3.6 0.5 0.0 7.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.8 4.3 1.3 0.1 7.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.7 2.4 0.2 7.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.4 3.2 0.5 0.0 6.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.0 1.1 0.0 5.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.3 1.5 0.1 5.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 4.3 14th
15th 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.8 15th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.0 3.6 5.8 8.0 10.3 11.6 12.6 11.8 10.7 8.7 6.4 3.9 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 94.4% 1.0    0.8 0.1 0.0
15-3 75.7% 1.7    1.1 0.5 0.1
14-4 45.7% 1.8    0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0
13-5 15.0% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.0% 6.0 3.3 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 90.9% 50.0% 40.9% 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 81.8%
17-1 0.3% 84.8% 40.4% 44.4% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 74.6%
16-2 1.0% 63.5% 26.0% 37.5% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 50.7%
15-3 2.2% 46.9% 24.6% 22.4% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 29.6%
14-4 3.9% 28.1% 19.0% 9.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 2.8 11.2%
13-5 6.4% 18.7% 16.3% 2.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 5.2 2.9%
12-6 8.7% 12.8% 12.1% 0.7% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.6 0.8%
11-7 10.7% 7.1% 6.9% 0.1% 11.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 9.9 0.1%
10-8 11.8% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 12.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 11.4 0.0%
9-9 12.6% 2.2% 2.2% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.3
8-10 11.6% 0.8% 0.8% 12.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.5
7-11 10.3% 0.4% 0.4% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.2
6-12 8.0% 0.3% 0.3% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.9
5-13 5.8% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 5.8
4-14 3.6% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 3.6
3-15 2.0% 2.0
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 7.1% 5.4% 1.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 2.3 2.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 93.0 1.7%