St. Bonaventure
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.3#116
Expected Predictive Rating+9.4#64
Pace65.9#276
Improvement-1.8#291

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#120
First Shot+1.7#122
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#165
Layup/Dunks+0.5#158
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#51
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#256
Freethrows+0.8#121
Improvement-1.3#273

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#129
First Shot+3.0#86
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#308
Layups/Dunks+1.6#121
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#284
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#141
Freethrows+1.6#82
Improvement-0.5#219
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 4.9% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.5 11.2 11.7
.500 or above 95.7% 99.3% 95.0%
.500 or above in Conference 60.9% 81.5% 57.2%
Conference Champion 2.3% 7.3% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 0.2% 1.7%
First Four0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
First Round2.4% 4.5% 2.0%
Second Round0.4% 0.8% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Commonwealth (Away) - 15.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 23 - 33 - 7
Quad 38 - 411 - 11
Quad 49 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 108 Bradley W 69-63 47%     1 - 0 +9.9 +3.4 +6.9
  Sat, Nov 8 347 Canisius W 89-70 95%     2 - 0 +3.8 +20.0 -14.4
  Wed, Nov 12 179 Siena W 75-66 77%     3 - 0 +4.6 +8.2 -2.8
  Sat, Nov 15 163 Youngstown St. W 84-80 74%     4 - 0 +0.6 +11.1 -10.5
  Thu, Nov 20 185 Robert Morris W 75-61 78%     5 - 0 +9.3 +1.1 +8.5
  Tue, Nov 25 21 North Carolina L 70-85 12%     5 - 1 +1.0 +4.0 -2.7
  Thu, Nov 27 271 East Carolina W 67-58 81%     6 - 1 +3.1 -6.8 +9.7
  Sun, Nov 30 114 @Florida Atlantic W 70-65 38%     7 - 1 +11.4 +4.1 +7.7
  Sat, Dec 6 196 @Buffalo W 77-69 60%     8 - 1 +8.7 +5.2 +3.8
  Wed, Dec 10 181 Colgate W 85-77 77%     9 - 1 +3.5 +9.6 -6.1
  Sat, Dec 13 189 Ohio L 83-88 OT 69%     9 - 2 -6.9 +0.9 -7.3
  Sat, Dec 20 312 Le Moyne W 92-81 91%     10 - 2 -0.8 +12.5 -13.1
  Wed, Dec 31 47 @Virginia Commonwealth L 69-80 15%    
  Wed, Jan 7 104 Richmond W 74-72 57%    
  Sat, Jan 10 193 Fordham W 71-63 78%    
  Wed, Jan 14 188 @Saint Joseph's W 71-69 58%    
  Sat, Jan 17 233 @La Salle W 71-66 67%    
  Tue, Jan 20 270 Loyola Chicago W 78-66 87%    
  Fri, Jan 23 37 Saint Louis L 73-80 26%    
  Wed, Jan 28 121 @Duquesne L 76-78 41%    
  Sat, Jan 31 88 George Mason L 69-70 50%    
  Tue, Feb 3 68 @Dayton L 67-75 24%    
  Sat, Feb 7 193 @Fordham W 68-66 58%    
  Sat, Feb 14 121 Duquesne W 79-75 63%    
  Wed, Feb 18 188 Saint Joseph's W 74-66 77%    
  Sat, Feb 21 104 @Richmond L 71-75 36%    
  Wed, Feb 25 119 Rhode Island W 73-70 61%    
  Sat, Feb 28 88 @George Mason L 67-73 29%    
  Wed, Mar 4 77 @George Washington L 74-81 26%    
  Sat, Mar 7 140 Davidson W 73-68 67%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 2.1 1.6 0.4 0.0 5.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 3.2 2.4 0.5 0.0 7.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 4.5 3.5 0.6 0.0 9.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.4 4.8 0.9 0.0 10.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.7 5.8 1.8 0.1 11.6 6th
7th 0.1 2.5 6.1 2.6 0.2 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 5.7 3.9 0.4 0.0 11.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.2 4.3 0.7 0.0 9.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.6 3.8 1.2 0.0 7.8 10th
11th 0.2 1.5 2.9 1.2 0.1 5.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.7 1.0 0.1 3.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.9 4.0 7.2 10.8 14.1 15.1 14.5 12.6 8.7 5.5 3.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 91.8% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-3 63.2% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1
14-4 29.2% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0
13-5 5.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.4% 24.5% 10.9% 13.6% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 15.3%
15-3 1.1% 17.8% 14.3% 3.5% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9 4.1%
14-4 3.0% 10.9% 9.4% 1.5% 11.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.7 1.7%
13-5 5.5% 7.8% 7.2% 0.6% 11.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 5.1 0.7%
12-6 8.7% 5.0% 4.8% 0.1% 11.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 8.2 0.1%
11-7 12.6% 3.1% 3.0% 0.0% 11.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 12.2 0.0%
10-8 14.5% 2.2% 2.2% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 14.2
9-9 15.1% 1.2% 1.2% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.9
8-10 14.1% 0.7% 0.7% 12.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 14.0
7-11 10.8% 0.4% 0.4% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8
6-12 7.2% 0.2% 0.2% 13.8 0.0 0.0 7.2
5-13 4.0% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 4.0
4-14 1.9% 1.9
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.6% 2.4% 0.2% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 97.4 0.2%