Bradley
Missouri Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.4#115
Expected Predictive Rating+0.2#166
Pace67.9#221
Improvement+2.7#33

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#149
First Shot+3.5#81
After Offensive Rebound-3.0#336
Layup/Dunks-0.9#211
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#203
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#93
Freethrows+1.7#87
Improvement+0.2#169

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#86
First Shot+0.5#160
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#47
Layups/Dunks+4.5#44
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#339
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#148
Freethrows-2.2#303
Improvement+2.6#18
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.9% 12.6% 8.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.5 12.9
.500 or above 82.9% 89.3% 73.1%
.500 or above in Conference 76.5% 84.3% 64.7%
Conference Champion 12.5% 16.7% 6.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 0.5% 2.8%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round10.9% 12.5% 8.3%
Second Round1.3% 1.5% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Indiana St. (Away) - 60.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 52 - 6
Quad 37 - 59 - 11
Quad 410 - 219 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 108 St. Bonaventure L 63-69 47%     0 - 1 -1.9 -3.3 +1.0
  Sat, Nov 8 309 Central Michigan W 85-54 91%     1 - 1 +19.8 +8.1 +12.4
  Wed, Nov 12 240 Tennessee Martin L 67-78 85%     1 - 2 -18.5 -11.2 -6.8
  Sat, Nov 15 100 @San Francisco L 64-75 33%     1 - 3 -3.0 -3.0 -0.4
  Wed, Nov 19 317 Umass Lowell W 87-77 91%     2 - 3 -1.7 +11.5 -12.9
  Mon, Nov 24 250 Princeton W 88-64 79%     3 - 3 +19.1 +14.9 +4.4
  Tue, Nov 25 103 UC San Diego L 77-87 45%     3 - 4 -5.3 +4.6 -9.9
  Wed, Nov 26 94 Liberty W 74-64 42%     4 - 4 +15.6 +8.6 +7.8
  Tue, Dec 2 151 Washington St. W 64-60 73%     5 - 4 +1.2 -10.9 +12.2
  Sat, Dec 6 333 Northern Illinois W 84-55 93%     6 - 4 +15.7 +0.8 +13.8
  Thu, Dec 18 198 @Indiana St. W 75-72 60%    
  Sun, Dec 21 143 Southern Illinois W 75-70 69%    
  Mon, Dec 29 265 Evansville W 75-63 87%    
  Thu, Jan 1 90 @Belmont L 72-77 31%    
  Sun, Jan 4 111 @Murray St. L 75-78 38%    
  Wed, Jan 7 124 Drake W 70-66 64%    
  Sat, Jan 10 98 Northern Iowa W 65-64 55%    
  Tue, Jan 13 265 @Evansville W 72-66 71%    
  Sat, Jan 17 92 @Illinois St. L 68-73 31%    
  Wed, Jan 21 198 Indiana St. W 78-69 79%    
  Sat, Jan 24 204 Illinois-Chicago W 77-68 79%    
  Sat, Jan 31 124 @Drake L 67-69 43%    
  Tue, Feb 3 211 Valparaiso W 73-63 81%    
  Fri, Feb 6 98 @Northern Iowa L 62-67 34%    
  Mon, Feb 9 90 Belmont W 75-74 52%    
  Sun, Feb 15 143 @Southern Illinois L 72-73 48%    
  Wed, Feb 18 211 @Valparaiso W 70-66 63%    
  Sat, Feb 21 92 Illinois St. W 71-70 52%    
  Tue, Feb 24 204 @Illinois-Chicago W 74-71 61%    
  Sun, Mar 1 111 Murray St. W 78-75 59%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.8 3.4 3.4 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 12.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.2 5.2 3.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 13.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 4.0 5.6 2.9 0.6 0.0 0.0 14.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.3 5.8 2.7 0.4 0.0 14.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.8 5.8 2.5 0.3 0.0 13.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.3 4.9 2.2 0.3 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 8.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.6 1.2 0.1 6.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.5 0.7 0.1 3.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 2.1 4.2 6.5 8.8 11.5 13.5 13.4 12.3 10.4 7.3 4.5 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 98.9% 0.9    0.9 0.0
17-3 92.7% 2.2    1.9 0.3
16-4 74.7% 3.4    2.2 1.0 0.1 0.0
15-5 46.4% 3.4    1.6 1.4 0.4 0.0
14-6 17.4% 1.8    0.5 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.6% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 12.5% 12.5 7.5 3.6 1.1 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 47.1% 44.7% 2.4% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 4.3%
18-2 0.9% 33.3% 33.3% 11.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6
17-3 2.4% 29.5% 29.5% 11.8 0.2 0.5 0.0 1.7
16-4 4.5% 25.0% 25.0% 12.1 0.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.4
15-5 7.3% 21.6% 21.6% 12.3 0.1 1.0 0.5 0.0 5.7
14-6 10.4% 17.9% 17.9% 12.5 0.0 1.0 0.8 0.1 8.5
13-7 12.3% 13.5% 13.5% 12.7 0.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 10.7
12-8 13.4% 10.9% 10.9% 12.9 0.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 11.9
11-9 13.5% 7.5% 7.5% 13.2 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 12.5
10-10 11.5% 4.8% 4.8% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 10.9
9-11 8.8% 2.7% 2.7% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.6
8-12 6.5% 1.9% 1.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.4
7-13 4.2% 1.8% 1.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 4.1
6-14 2.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.1
5-15 1.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.2
4-16 0.4% 0.4
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 10.9% 10.9% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 4.6 4.0 1.2 0.3 0.1 89.1 0.0%