Bradley
Missouri Valley
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.8#90
Expected Predictive Rating+3.0#132
Pace67.7#230
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#97
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#91
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.9% 0.9% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 24.7% 25.4% 15.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.2% 1.3% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.8 11.8 12.7
.500 or above 93.0% 93.9% 80.6%
.500 or above in Conference 90.7% 91.3% 82.3%
Conference Champion 32.1% 33.0% 19.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.5% 1.2%
First Four0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
First Round24.5% 25.1% 15.4%
Second Round6.6% 6.9% 3.3%
Sweet Sixteen2.0% 2.0% 1.0%
Elite Eight0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Illinois (Home) - 92.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 32 - 4
Quad 38 - 410 - 8
Quad 411 - 121 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 321   Southeast Missouri St. W 88-60 94%     1 - 0 +16.0 +8.7 +7.0
  Nov 08, 2024 75   @ Washington St. L 74-91 32%     1 - 1 -6.4 +3.6 -9.8
  Nov 12, 2024 238   Texas San Antonio W 85-72 87%     2 - 1 +6.5 +0.8 +4.7
  Nov 16, 2024 294   Northern Illinois W 79-63 93%    
  Nov 21, 2024 146   Texas St. W 70-65 67%    
  Dec 03, 2024 161   @ Southern Illinois W 68-66 58%    
  Dec 14, 2024 111   Santa Clara W 75-73 57%    
  Dec 18, 2024 69   San Francisco W 71-70 53%    
  Dec 21, 2024 318   Canisius W 79-62 94%    
  Dec 29, 2024 278   Valparaiso W 79-64 91%    
  Jan 01, 2025 207   @ Indiana St. W 77-72 68%    
  Jan 04, 2025 195   Missouri St. W 75-64 82%    
  Jan 08, 2025 98   Drake W 72-68 62%    
  Jan 11, 2025 162   @ Illinois-Chicago W 75-73 59%    
  Jan 15, 2025 207   Indiana St. W 80-69 84%    
  Jan 18, 2025 136   @ Murray St. W 69-68 55%    
  Jan 21, 2025 151   @ Belmont W 76-74 56%    
  Jan 25, 2025 173   Illinois St. W 72-63 80%    
  Jan 29, 2025 162   Illinois-Chicago W 78-70 77%    
  Feb 02, 2025 128   @ Northern Iowa W 71-70 51%    
  Feb 05, 2025 151   Belmont W 79-71 75%    
  Feb 08, 2025 248   @ Evansville W 75-68 73%    
  Feb 12, 2025 161   Southern Illinois W 71-63 76%    
  Feb 16, 2025 98   @ Drake L 69-71 42%    
  Feb 19, 2025 173   @ Illinois St. W 69-66 61%    
  Feb 22, 2025 136   Murray St. W 72-65 73%    
  Feb 26, 2025 278   @ Valparaiso W 76-67 78%    
  Mar 02, 2025 128   Northern Iowa W 73-67 70%    
Projected Record 19 - 9 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.9 4.8 7.3 7.9 5.7 3.0 0.9 32.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.9 6.2 3.7 1.2 0.2 20.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.3 4.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 14.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.2 2.9 0.7 0.1 10.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 3.1 2.3 0.5 0.0 7.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.9 2.5 1.7 0.3 0.0 5.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.6 3.9 5.9 7.6 9.9 11.9 12.6 12.5 11.3 9.1 5.9 3.0 0.9 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.9    0.9
19-1 100.0% 3.0    3.0 0.0
18-2 97.2% 5.7    5.3 0.4
17-3 86.7% 7.9    6.3 1.5 0.1 0.0
16-4 65.0% 7.3    4.8 2.3 0.2 0.0
15-5 38.7% 4.8    2.0 2.1 0.6 0.0
14-6 15.1% 1.9    0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.1% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 32.1% 32.1 22.8 7.4 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.9% 81.0% 63.0% 18.0% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 48.6%
19-1 3.0% 69.8% 58.4% 11.4% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.9 27.4%
18-2 5.9% 51.6% 47.7% 3.9% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.2 1.1 0.1 2.9 7.5%
17-3 9.1% 42.4% 40.8% 1.6% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.1 0.4 0.0 5.2 2.7%
16-4 11.3% 35.4% 35.4% 0.0% 12.1 0.0 0.5 2.6 0.9 0.1 7.3 0.0%
15-5 12.5% 29.4% 29.3% 0.1% 12.4 0.0 0.1 1.9 1.4 0.2 0.0 8.8 0.1%
14-6 12.6% 22.5% 22.5% 12.8 0.0 1.0 1.4 0.4 0.0 9.8
13-7 11.9% 17.0% 17.0% 13.1 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 9.9
12-8 9.9% 11.4% 11.4% 13.3 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 8.8
11-9 7.6% 8.5% 8.5% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.9
10-10 5.9% 5.3% 5.3% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.6
9-11 3.9% 4.6% 4.6% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.7
8-12 2.6% 1.8% 1.8% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6
7-13 1.4% 1.9% 1.9% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
6-14 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.8
5-15 0.4% 0.4
4-16 0.2% 0.2
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 24.7% 23.8% 0.9% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 3.6 9.8 6.0 2.0 0.4 0.1 75.3 1.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 4.5 8.5 5.3 13.8 24.5 17.0 16.0 8.5 4.3 2.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 75.0% 7.4 7.1 3.6 3.6 17.9 10.7 7.1 3.6 7.1 10.7 3.6