Bradley
Missouri Valley
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.1#94
Expected Predictive Rating+6.7#81
Pace65.9#238
Improvement-3.6#320

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#92
First Shot+4.1#73
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#256
Layup/Dunks-2.6#278
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#176
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.5#11
Freethrows-0.6#221
Improvement-3.4#322

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#108
First Shot+3.0#78
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#272
Layups/Dunks+1.9#99
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#90
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#69
Freethrows-2.7#340
Improvement-0.2#196
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.7% 22.5% 18.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.1 12.0 12.2
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 5.6% 7.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round21.7% 22.5% 18.9%
Second Round3.1% 3.3% 2.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Murray St. (Home) - 76.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 0
Quad 23 - 54 - 5
Quad 39 - 313 - 8
Quad 411 - 023 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 217   Southeast Missouri St. W 88-60 84%     1 - 0 +22.3 +12.7 +9.3
  Nov 08, 2024 107   @ Washington St. L 74-91 46%     1 - 1 -10.9 +1.8 -12.4
  Nov 12, 2024 208   Texas San Antonio W 85-72 83%     2 - 1 +7.9 +2.3 +4.6
  Nov 16, 2024 341   Northern Illinois W 76-60 95%     3 - 1 +1.6 +1.6 +0.7
  Nov 21, 2024 202   Texas St. W 82-68 76%     4 - 1 +11.8 +8.4 +3.8
  Nov 22, 2024 220   Wright St. W 77-74 79%     5 - 1 -0.2 +10.6 -10.4
  Nov 24, 2024 122   Middle Tennessee W 80-69 61%     6 - 1 +13.2 +15.0 -0.9
  Dec 03, 2024 179   @ Southern Illinois W 83-60 64%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +24.5 +13.9 +11.2
  Dec 14, 2024 60   Santa Clara L 74-84 33%     7 - 2 -0.3 +10.2 -11.1
  Dec 18, 2024 69   San Francisco W 66-64 48%     8 - 2 +7.6 -5.4 +12.9
  Dec 21, 2024 354   Canisius W 92-59 97%     9 - 2 +16.9 +23.1 -0.9
  Dec 29, 2024 238   Valparaiso W 81-75 2OT 86%     10 - 2 2 - 0 -0.7 -5.0 +3.7
  Jan 01, 2025 203   @ Indiana St. W 90-89 OT 68%     11 - 2 3 - 0 +1.3 +2.1 -0.9
  Jan 04, 2025 219   Missouri St. W 69-60 84%     12 - 2 4 - 0 +3.3 +4.9 -0.3
  Jan 08, 2025 74   Drake L 57-64 50%     12 - 3 4 - 1 -1.8 -6.1 +3.3
  Jan 11, 2025 147   @ Illinois-Chicago W 61-60 57%     13 - 3 5 - 1 +4.3 -9.0 +13.3
  Jan 15, 2025 203   Indiana St. W 118-65 82%     14 - 3 6 - 1 +48.2 +29.3 +13.7
  Jan 18, 2025 156   @ Murray St. W 74-61 58%     15 - 3 7 - 1 +16.0 +8.9 +8.1
  Jan 21, 2025 140   @ Belmont W 89-77 56%     16 - 3 8 - 1 +15.7 +13.7 +2.0
  Jan 25, 2025 127   Illinois St. W 61-57 72%     17 - 3 9 - 1 +3.2 -8.4 +12.2
  Jan 29, 2025 147   Illinois-Chicago L 70-93 75%     17 - 4 9 - 2 -24.8 -6.4 -17.8
  Feb 02, 2025 100   @ Northern Iowa L 69-83 42%     17 - 5 9 - 3 -6.9 +1.7 -9.0
  Feb 05, 2025 140   Belmont L 77-80 74%     17 - 6 9 - 4 -4.4 +2.9 -7.5
  Feb 08, 2025 237   @ Evansville W 80-74 74%     18 - 6 10 - 4 +4.5 +7.0 -2.7
  Feb 12, 2025 179   Southern Illinois W 78-64 79%     19 - 6 11 - 4 +10.5 +14.2 -2.0
  Feb 16, 2025 74   @ Drake W 61-59 31%     20 - 6 12 - 4 +12.3 +7.3 +5.5
  Feb 19, 2025 127   @ Illinois St. L 71-82 53%     20 - 7 12 - 5 -6.7 +3.6 -11.4
  Feb 22, 2025 156   Murray St. W 71-64 77%    
  Feb 26, 2025 238   @ Valparaiso W 77-70 72%    
  Mar 02, 2025 100   Northern Iowa W 72-69 63%    
Projected Record 22 - 8 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 5.6 5.6 1st
2nd 0.7 17.6 30.6 48.8 2nd
3rd 2.2 17.4 25.2 44.8 3rd
4th 0.8 0.8 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 3.0 18.0 42.9 36.1 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 15.4% 5.6    0.1 1.9 3.6
14-6 0.2% 0.1    0.1
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total 5.6% 5.6 0.1 1.9 3.7



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 36.1% 25.8% 25.8% 0.0% 11.9 1.4 7.5 0.5 0.0 26.8 0.0%
14-6 42.9% 20.5% 20.5% 12.2 0.4 6.6 1.7 0.0 34.1
13-7 18.0% 17.3% 17.3% 12.4 0.1 2.0 1.0 0.1 14.9
12-8 3.0% 14.4% 14.4% 12.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.6
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 21.7% 21.7% 0.0% 12.1 1.9 16.2 3.4 0.2 78.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 9.3% 100.0% 11.9 14.8 80.2 4.9 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 7.6% 0.1% 11.0 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 10.2%
Lose Out 1.0%