Texas San Antonio
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#238
Expected Predictive Rating-4.2#258
Pace75.0#52
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#166
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#298
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.6 13.4
.500 or above 10.4% 13.5% 3.2%
.500 or above in Conference 13.2% 15.8% 6.9%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 38.1% 34.0% 47.6%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Little Rock (Home) - 70.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 21 - 61 - 10
Quad 33 - 74 - 17
Quad 45 - 39 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2024 90   @ Bradley L 72-85 13%     0 - 1 -4.2 -1.6 -1.6
  Nov 16, 2024 279   Arkansas Little Rock W 81-75 70%    
  Nov 25, 2024 121   @ Troy L 71-81 19%    
  Nov 27, 2024 206   Merrimack L 70-71 47%    
  Nov 30, 2024 358   Houston Christian W 87-73 89%    
  Dec 03, 2024 40   @ St. Mary's L 65-82 6%    
  Dec 07, 2024 19   @ Arkansas L 68-88 4%    
  Dec 15, 2024 271   @ North Dakota L 76-77 47%    
  Dec 29, 2024 313   @ Army W 69-67 56%    
  Jan 04, 2025 145   @ Tulane L 80-88 25%    
  Jan 07, 2025 142   Tulsa L 81-83 44%    
  Jan 11, 2025 86   Wichita St. L 75-82 27%    
  Jan 14, 2025 191   @ Rice L 71-76 34%    
  Jan 18, 2025 73   North Texas L 64-72 23%    
  Jan 21, 2025 101   @ UAB L 75-86 16%    
  Jan 25, 2025 112   Temple L 74-78 36%    
  Jan 29, 2025 74   @ Florida Atlantic L 79-93 11%    
  Feb 01, 2025 73   @ North Texas L 61-75 12%    
  Feb 05, 2025 145   Tulane L 83-85 45%    
  Feb 08, 2025 154   East Carolina L 73-74 46%    
  Feb 12, 2025 86   @ Wichita St. L 72-85 13%    
  Feb 15, 2025 142   @ Tulsa L 78-86 26%    
  Feb 19, 2025 120   South Florida L 75-79 39%    
  Feb 23, 2025 154   @ East Carolina L 70-77 27%    
  Mar 02, 2025 191   Rice W 74-73 54%    
  Mar 04, 2025 34   Memphis L 76-88 16%    
  Mar 09, 2025 133   @ Charlotte L 68-76 24%    
Projected Record 9 - 18 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 3.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 2.0 1.0 0.1 3.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.3 1.6 0.2 0.0 4.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.7 2.9 0.5 0.0 6.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.6 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.8 2.0 0.1 10.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.4 6.2 3.1 0.4 0.0 13.8 11th
12th 0.1 1.4 5.0 6.9 3.9 0.6 0.0 17.9 12th
13th 2.2 5.9 8.5 7.0 3.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 27.4 13th
Total 2.2 6.0 9.9 12.6 13.9 13.7 11.6 9.8 7.2 5.1 3.6 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 75.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 40.8% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 13.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 36.1% 19.4% 16.7% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 20.7%
14-4 0.3% 13.3% 13.3% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 0.6% 9.7% 9.7% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
12-6 1.3% 5.3% 5.3% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2
11-7 2.0% 3.1% 3.1% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0
10-8 3.6% 0.7% 0.7% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.6
9-9 5.1% 0.7% 0.7% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.1
8-10 7.2% 0.6% 0.6% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.2
7-11 9.8% 0.1% 0.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 9.8
6-12 11.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 11.6
5-13 13.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.7
4-14 13.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.9
3-15 12.6% 12.6
2-16 9.9% 9.9
1-17 6.0% 6.0
0-18 2.2% 2.2
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%