IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Arkansas Little Rock
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.2	#279
Expected Predictive Rating	-8.5	#305

Pace	71.0	#129
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.6	#251

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.6	#296

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	15.3%	20.1%	13.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.6	15.8

.500 or above	51.2%	68.6%	43.8%
.500 or above in Conference	73.7%	82.1%	70.2%
Conference Champion	20.4%	27.7%	17.4%
Last Place in Conference	4.1%	2.3%	4.8%

First Four	8.7%	9.1%	8.5%
First Round	11.0%	15.6%	9.0%
Second Round	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Texas San Antonio (Away) - 29.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 7
Quad 4	14 - 9	15 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2024	163	@ Winthrop	L	67-82	19%	0 - 1			-11.8	-10.2	+0.0
Nov 12, 2024	115	@ Arkansas St.	L	63-80	12%	0 - 2			-10.5	-4.1	-7.1
Nov 16, 2024	238	@ Texas San Antonio	L	75-81	30%
Nov 20, 2024	142	@ Tulsa	L	73-83	17%
Nov 22, 2024	19	@ Arkansas	L	63-86	2%
Nov 25, 2024	20	@ Illinois	L	66-88	2%
Nov 27, 2024	360	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	78-67	85%
Dec 04, 2024	346	Central Arkansas	W	79-70	79%
Dec 15, 2024	162	Illinois-Chicago	L	75-78	38%
Dec 19, 2024	293	SIU Edwardsville	W	73-69	63%
Dec 21, 2024	336	Eastern Illinois	W	79-72	75%
Jan 02, 2025	314	@ Tennessee Martin	L	78-79	48%
Jan 04, 2025	306	@ Tennessee St.	L	73-75	44%
Jan 09, 2025	274	Morehead St.	W	70-67	60%
Jan 11, 2025	317	Southern Indiana	W	75-70	68%
Jan 14, 2025	321	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	74-75	49%
Jan 18, 2025	325	@ Tennessee Tech	W	73-72	51%
Jan 23, 2025	312	@ Western Illinois	L	68-69	46%
Jan 25, 2025	351	@ Lindenwood	W	74-70	62%
Jan 30, 2025	306	Tennessee St.	W	76-72	64%
Feb 01, 2025	314	Tennessee Martin	W	81-76	67%
Feb 06, 2025	317	@ Southern Indiana	L	72-73	49%
Feb 08, 2025	274	@ Morehead St.	L	67-70	40%
Feb 11, 2025	321	Southeast Missouri St.	W	77-71	69%
Feb 13, 2025	325	Tennessee Tech	W	75-69	70%
Feb 20, 2025	351	Lindenwood	W	77-67	79%
Feb 22, 2025	312	Western Illinois	W	71-66	67%
Feb 27, 2025	336	@ Eastern Illinois	W	76-75	55%
Mar 01, 2025	293	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	70-72	43%
Projected Record						14 - 15	12 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.8	2.7	4.5	5.1	3.8	2.2	1.0	0.2		20.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	1.5	4.0	5.1	3.3	1.2	0.2	0.0				15.5	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.3	4.3	4.4	1.9	0.4	0.0	0.0					12.5	3rd
4th										0.0	1.1	4.3	4.0	1.3	0.2	0.0							10.9	4th
5th									0.0	0.7	3.7	3.7	1.1	0.1									9.4	5th
6th								0.0	0.5	2.6	3.6	1.0	0.1										7.7	6th
7th							0.0	0.4	1.9	3.2	1.1	0.0											6.7	7th
8th					0.0	0.0	0.4	1.6	2.7	1.2	0.1	0.0											6.0	8th
9th				0.0	0.0	0.3	1.3	2.0	1.1	0.1													4.9	9th
10th		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.1	1.4	0.7	0.1														3.7	10th
11th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.6	0.3	0.1															2.3	11th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.1	2.0	3.4	4.8	6.3	7.9	9.7	10.5	11.1	10.6	10.0	8.2	6.3	4.0	2.2	1.0	0.2			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
19-1	100.0%	1.0		1.0	0.0
18-2	99.0%	2.2		2.1	0.1
17-3	94.1%	3.8		3.4	0.4
16-4	80.5%	5.1		3.8	1.2	0.1
15-5	54.9%	4.5		2.5	1.6	0.4	0.0
14-6	27.6%	2.7		1.0	1.2	0.5	0.1	0.0
13-7	7.8%	0.8		0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-8	1.1%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%	0.0						0.0
10-10	0.0%

Total	20.4%	20.4		14.2	4.7	1.2	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.2%		75.0%	75.0%		13.9														0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1
19-1	1.0%		62.9%	62.9%		14.5													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.4
18-2	2.2%		49.4%	49.4%		15.0													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.3	1.1
17-3	4.0%		46.0%	46.0%		15.4														0.0	0.2	0.7	1.0	2.2
16-4	6.3%		39.1%	39.1%		15.7															0.1	0.5	1.9	3.9
15-5	8.2%		32.5%	32.5%		15.9															0.0	0.3	2.4	5.5
14-6	10.0%		24.3%	24.3%		16.0															0.0	0.1	2.3	7.5
13-7	10.6%		16.1%	16.1%		16.0																0.0	1.7	8.9
12-8	11.1%		9.9%	9.9%		16.0																0.0	1.1	10.0
11-9	10.5%		5.9%	5.9%		16.0																	0.6	9.9
10-10	9.7%		3.9%	3.9%		16.0																0.0	0.4	9.3
9-11	7.9%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																	0.2	7.7
8-12	6.3%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	6.2
7-13	4.8%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	4.8
6-14	3.4%																							3.4
5-15	2.0%																							2.0
4-16	1.1%																							1.1
3-17	0.6%																							0.6
2-18	0.2%																							0.2
1-19	0.1%																							0.1
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		15.3%	15.3%	0.0%	15.7													0.0	0.2	0.8	2.4	11.9	84.7		0.0%