Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.3#332
Expected Predictive Rating-8.2#305
Pace67.1#232
Improvement-3.3#339

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#303
First Shot-1.4#210
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#333
Layup/Dunks-3.5#297
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#226
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.8#26
Freethrows-2.9#331
Improvement-1.0#272

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#341
First Shot-3.7#300
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#321
Layups/Dunks-5.0#338
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#60
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#307
Freethrows+3.1#24
Improvement-2.2#325
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 4.7% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 17.6% 28.2% 11.3%
.500 or above in Conference 35.5% 50.6% 26.4%
Conference Champion 3.2% 5.6% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 18.5% 9.0% 24.3%
First Four2.5% 3.8% 1.8%
First Round1.6% 2.6% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Illinois (Away) - 37.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 30 - 6
Quad 412 - 1312 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 40   @ Georgia L 78-83 2%     0 - 1 +9.6 +10.9 -1.1
  Nov 12, 2024 348   West Georgia W 76-73 68%     1 - 1 -12.1 -7.0 -5.2
  Nov 15, 2024 350   VMI W 72-71 58%     2 - 1 -11.3 -8.8 -2.5
  Nov 16, 2024 233   UT Rio Grande Valley L 58-83 27%     2 - 2 -28.8 -15.9 -13.8
  Nov 19, 2024 82   @ Central Florida L 69-80 4%     2 - 3 -1.3 +4.2 -5.9
  Nov 27, 2024 250   Presbyterian W 90-75 41%     3 - 3 +7.1 +16.4 -8.7
  Nov 29, 2024 57   @ Vanderbilt L 56-87 3%     3 - 4 -18.6 -13.2 -4.8
  Dec 04, 2024 193   @ North Alabama L 59-82 14%     3 - 5 -21.6 -9.3 -13.7
  Dec 07, 2024 348   @ West Georgia L 73-78 45%     3 - 6 -14.1 -2.2 -12.0
  Dec 17, 2024 328   @ Western Illinois L 67-70 37%    
  Dec 19, 2024 347   @ Lindenwood L 70-71 44%    
  Jan 02, 2025 281   Southern Indiana L 71-72 46%    
  Jan 04, 2025 279   Morehead St. L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 09, 2025 322   @ Eastern Illinois L 67-71 36%    
  Jan 11, 2025 263   @ SIU Edwardsville L 65-73 24%    
  Jan 16, 2025 297   Southeast Missouri St. L 71-72 50%    
  Jan 18, 2025 244   Arkansas Little Rock L 68-71 41%    
  Jan 23, 2025 321   @ Tennessee St. L 73-77 35%    
  Jan 25, 2025 327   @ Tennessee Martin L 72-75 38%    
  Jan 30, 2025 279   @ Morehead St. L 67-74 26%    
  Feb 01, 2025 281   @ Southern Indiana L 68-75 26%    
  Feb 06, 2025 263   SIU Edwardsville L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 08, 2025 322   Eastern Illinois W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 13, 2025 244   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 65-74 22%    
  Feb 15, 2025 297   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 68-74 30%    
  Feb 20, 2025 327   Tennessee Martin W 75-72 59%    
  Feb 22, 2025 321   Tennessee St. W 76-74 56%    
  Feb 27, 2025 328   Western Illinois W 70-67 59%    
  Mar 01, 2025 347   Lindenwood W 73-68 66%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 1.8 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 2.7 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 6.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 3.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 7.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.2 3.0 0.5 0.0 8.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.3 4.1 0.7 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.8 5.0 1.2 0.0 10.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.6 5.5 1.9 0.1 11.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.6 5.1 2.3 0.2 12.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.8 4.5 2.2 0.3 0.0 12.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.4 3.3 2.9 1.3 0.2 0.0 11.8 11th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.8 4.9 7.8 10.2 11.8 12.8 12.5 11.1 8.7 6.5 4.3 2.6 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 95.1% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-4 86.5% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 66.5% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 35.2% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 11.5% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-8 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 38.7% 38.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 29.5% 29.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-4 0.6% 31.0% 31.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 0.4
15-5 1.3% 24.6% 24.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3 1.0
14-6 2.6% 17.7% 17.7% 16.0 0.0 0.4 2.1
13-7 4.3% 12.9% 12.9% 16.0 0.0 0.6 3.8
12-8 6.5% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 0.5 6.1
11-9 8.7% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4 8.3
10-10 11.1% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 10.8
9-11 12.5% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 12.3
8-12 12.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.7
7-13 11.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.8
6-14 10.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.2
5-15 7.8% 7.8
4-16 4.9% 4.9
3-17 2.8% 2.8
2-18 1.3% 1.3
1-19 0.4% 0.4
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.9 97.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%