West Georgia
Atlantic Sun
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.1#348
Expected Predictive Rating-14.5#348
Pace68.6#189
Improvement+1.5#81

Offense
Total Offense-6.6#342
First Shot-7.6#352
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#125
Layup/Dunks-0.8#211
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#35
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.4#352
Freethrows-2.5#316
Improvement+1.5#68

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#334
First Shot-3.5#294
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#318
Layups/Dunks-2.7#273
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#184
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#247
Freethrows+0.5#155
Improvement+0.0#185
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 6.4% 10.5% 6.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 34.9% 26.9% 35.6%
First Four0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charlotte (Away) - 8.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 101 - 14
Quad 46 - 106 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 28   @ Mississippi St. L 60-95 1%     0 - 1 -19.1 -8.8 -8.9
  Nov 06, 2024 110   @ Georgia Tech L 62-85 5%     0 - 2 -16.1 -10.1 -4.5
  Nov 12, 2024 332   @ Tennessee Tech L 73-76 32%     0 - 3 -10.3 -7.2 -3.0
  Nov 15, 2024 145   @ South Florida L 55-74 8%     0 - 4 -15.3 -12.2 -4.5
  Nov 19, 2024 127   Troy L 65-84 15%     0 - 5 -19.8 -1.1 -20.6
  Nov 23, 2024 235   @ Georgia Southern L 54-64 15%     0 - 6 -10.9 -19.2 +8.6
  Nov 26, 2024 165   Utah Valley L 74-77 14%     0 - 7 -3.5 +0.8 -4.2
  Nov 27, 2024 131   North Dakota St. L 61-73 10%     0 - 8 -10.2 -11.3 +0.4
  Nov 29, 2024 109   @ Samford L 65-86 5%     0 - 9 -14.0 -7.3 -6.9
  Dec 04, 2024 229   @ Mercer L 72-86 14%     0 - 10 -14.6 +2.5 -18.0
  Dec 07, 2024 332   Tennessee Tech W 78-73 55%     1 - 10 -8.3 -0.4 -7.8
  Dec 17, 2024 170   @ Charlotte L 61-75 9%    
  Jan 02, 2025 180   Florida Gulf Coast L 64-72 22%    
  Jan 04, 2025 336   Stetson W 74-72 57%    
  Jan 10, 2025 261   @ Austin Peay L 60-70 19%    
  Jan 11, 2025 107   @ Lipscomb L 62-81 4%    
  Jan 16, 2025 180   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 61-75 10%    
  Jan 18, 2025 336   @ Stetson L 71-75 35%    
  Jan 23, 2025 204   Jacksonville L 66-73 26%    
  Jan 25, 2025 167   North Florida L 74-83 22%    
  Jan 29, 2025 342   @ Central Arkansas L 68-72 37%    
  Feb 01, 2025 280   @ Queens L 71-80 21%    
  Feb 05, 2025 107   Lipscomb L 65-78 12%    
  Feb 08, 2025 193   North Alabama L 68-76 25%    
  Feb 13, 2025 218   @ Eastern Kentucky L 68-80 13%    
  Feb 15, 2025 333   @ Bellarmine L 71-76 34%    
  Feb 18, 2025 193   @ North Alabama L 65-79 11%    
  Feb 20, 2025 342   Central Arkansas W 71-69 58%    
  Feb 24, 2025 280   Queens L 74-77 40%    
  Feb 26, 2025 261   Austin Peay L 63-67 37%    
Projected Record 6 - 24 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.5 0.5 0.0 3.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 5.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.2 6.6 2.9 0.3 0.0 14.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.3 5.8 7.6 3.8 0.5 0.0 19.0 10th
11th 0.2 2.0 6.6 8.2 3.7 0.5 0.0 21.2 11th
12th 1.2 4.5 7.6 6.6 2.6 0.4 0.0 22.9 12th
Total 1.2 4.6 9.7 14.6 17.4 16.3 14.0 9.8 6.1 3.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 60.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 16.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.3% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3
11-7 0.8% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8
10-8 1.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.7
9-9 3.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.4
8-10 6.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.1
7-11 9.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.8
6-12 14.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.9
5-13 16.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.3
4-14 17.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 17.4
3-15 14.6% 14.6
2-16 9.7% 9.7
1-17 4.6% 4.6
0-18 1.2% 1.2
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%