West Georgia
Atlantic Sun
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.5#349
Expected Predictive Rating-14.7#347
Pace68.9#173
Improvement-0.7#216

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#332
First Shot-6.3#338
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#193
Layup/Dunks+0.1#181
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#28
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.9#354
Freethrows-3.0#341
Improvement+0.6#142

Defense
Total Defense-6.1#338
First Shot-4.4#311
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#313
Layups/Dunks-2.6#285
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#141
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#245
Freethrows-1.2#275
Improvement-1.3#253
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.8% 3.0% 0.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 32.6% 17.2% 36.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jacksonville (Home) - 21.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 30 - 100 - 15
Quad 45 - 105 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 23   @ Mississippi St. L 60-95 1%     0 - 1 -17.1 -7.9 -7.8
  Nov 06, 2024 104   @ Georgia Tech L 62-85 5%     0 - 2 -16.5 -10.6 -4.4
  Nov 12, 2024 317   @ Tennessee Tech L 73-76 27%     0 - 3 -9.2 -6.0 -3.1
  Nov 15, 2024 154   @ South Florida L 55-74 8%     0 - 4 -15.6 -12.8 -4.2
  Nov 19, 2024 117   Troy L 65-84 12%     0 - 5 -19.0 -1.0 -19.9
  Nov 23, 2024 272   @ Georgia Southern L 54-64 20%     0 - 6 -13.5 -21.4 +8.1
  Nov 26, 2024 140   Utah Valley L 74-77 10%     0 - 7 -1.5 +2.6 -4.0
  Nov 27, 2024 112   North Dakota St. L 61-73 8%     0 - 8 -8.9 -11.5 +1.9
  Nov 29, 2024 115   @ Samford L 65-86 6%     0 - 9 -15.3 -6.9 -8.6
  Dec 04, 2024 233   @ Mercer L 72-86 15%     0 - 10 -15.3 +4.4 -20.6
  Dec 07, 2024 317   Tennessee Tech W 78-73 47%     1 - 10 -6.7 +1.1 -7.7
  Dec 17, 2024 224   @ Charlotte L 70-75 14%     1 - 11 -5.9 +1.5 -7.8
  Jan 02, 2025 168   Florida Gulf Coast L 68-79 19%     1 - 12 0 - 1 -14.1 -4.1 -10.3
  Jan 04, 2025 348   Stetson L 62-78 59%     1 - 13 0 - 2 -30.9 -20.3 -10.7
  Jan 09, 2025 298   @ Austin Peay W 72-68 24%     2 - 13 1 - 2 -0.9 -2.1 +1.1
  Jan 11, 2025 91   @ Lipscomb L 67-86 3%     2 - 14 1 - 3 -10.1 +1.3 -12.2
  Jan 16, 2025 168   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 60-82 9%     2 - 15 1 - 4 -19.6 -14.0 -4.7
  Jan 18, 2025 348   @ Stetson L 78-82 38%     2 - 16 1 - 5 -13.4 +1.2 -14.7
  Jan 23, 2025 185   Jacksonville L 65-74 21%    
  Jan 25, 2025 245   North Florida L 79-84 32%    
  Jan 29, 2025 339   @ Central Arkansas L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 01, 2025 210   @ Queens L 70-83 11%    
  Feb 05, 2025 91   Lipscomb L 64-80 7%    
  Feb 08, 2025 163   North Alabama L 69-79 19%    
  Feb 13, 2025 248   @ Eastern Kentucky L 70-80 16%    
  Feb 15, 2025 353   @ Bellarmine L 72-74 42%    
  Feb 18, 2025 163   @ North Alabama L 66-81 8%    
  Feb 20, 2025 339   Central Arkansas W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 24, 2025 210   Queens L 73-80 26%    
  Feb 26, 2025 298   Austin Peay L 66-68 43%    
Projected Record 5 - 25 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 5th
6th 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.1 0.2 3.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 3.3 2.8 0.5 0.1 7.5 8th
9th 0.1 2.0 7.7 5.6 1.2 0.1 16.5 9th
10th 0.1 4.0 12.3 8.8 1.7 0.1 27.1 10th
11th 0.1 3.7 11.6 9.1 1.6 0.0 0.0 26.1 11th
12th 3.2 8.1 5.7 1.1 0.0 18.1 12th
Total 3.3 11.8 21.4 24.5 19.0 11.1 6.1 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.2
9-9 0.6% 0.6
8-10 2.0% 2.0
7-11 6.1% 6.1
6-12 11.1% 11.1
5-13 19.0% 19.0
4-14 24.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 24.5
3-15 21.4% 21.4
2-16 11.8% 11.8
1-17 3.3% 3.3
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.3%