IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
West Georgia
Atlantic Sun
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.8	#345
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.5	#133
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.5	#325

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.3	#351

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	n/a	n/a	n/a

.500 or above	11.8%	44.8%	11.5%
.500 or above in Conference	22.3%	49.6%	21.9%
Conference Champion	0.9%	2.6%	0.9%
Last Place in Conference	21.5%	6.6%	21.6%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska (Away) - 1.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 9
Quad 4	8 - 10	9 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	60	@ Nebraska	L	61-85	1%
Nov 10, 2025	14	@ UCLA	L	53-85	0.1%
Nov 14, 2025	342	The Citadel	W	70-67	60%
Nov 17, 2025	328	@ Tennessee Tech	L	70-75	33%
Nov 21, 2025	336	South Carolina Upstate	W	80-78	57%
Nov 23, 2025	83	@ Georgia Tech	L	63-84	3%
Dec 01, 2025	130	@ Troy	L	61-78	7%
Dec 06, 2025	328	Tennessee Tech	W	73-72	54%
Dec 13, 2025	249	Georgia Southern	L	73-77	36%
Dec 22, 2025	51	@ Georgia	L	59-84	2%
Jan 01, 2026	320	Bellarmine	W	74-73	52%
Jan 03, 2026	174	Eastern Kentucky	L	70-78	26%
Jan 08, 2026	330	@ North Florida	L	78-83	34%
Jan 10, 2026	253	@ Jacksonville	L	65-75	21%
Jan 15, 2026	350	@ Stetson	L	72-75	42%
Jan 17, 2026	181	@ Florida Gulf Coast	L	63-76	14%
Jan 22, 2026	358	Central Arkansas	W	74-68	68%
Jan 24, 2026	245	Queens	L	73-77	37%
Jan 28, 2026	320	@ Bellarmine	L	71-76	32%
Jan 31, 2026	276	Austin Peay	L	69-72	42%
Feb 05, 2026	330	North Florida	W	81-80	54%
Feb 07, 2026	253	Jacksonville	L	68-72	38%
Feb 11, 2026	195	@ North Alabama	L	65-78	15%
Feb 14, 2026	358	@ Central Arkansas	L	71-72	49%
Feb 18, 2026	174	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	67-81	13%
Feb 21, 2026	245	@ Queens	L	70-80	20%
Feb 25, 2026	188	Lipscomb	L	67-74	29%
Feb 28, 2026	195	North Alabama	L	68-75	29%
Projected Record						9 - 19	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.9	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0				1.8	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.1	0.8	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.0					2.5	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	1.3	1.7	0.7	0.1	0.0						4.0	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	1.6	2.5	1.0	0.2	0.0							5.6	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	1.8	3.3	1.4	0.1									6.9	6th
7th						0.0	0.3	2.3	4.1	2.0	0.3	0.0									9.0	7th
8th					0.0	0.4	2.8	4.9	2.5	0.5	0.0										11.1	8th
9th				0.0	0.6	3.3	5.7	3.0	0.6	0.0	0.0										13.2	9th
10th			0.1	1.2	4.0	6.3	3.3	0.5	0.0												15.3	10th
11th		0.2	1.9	4.8	5.5	2.7	0.5	0.0													15.6	11th
12th	1.3	3.2	4.6	3.3	1.3	0.2	0.0														13.9	12th

Total	1.3	3.4	6.6	9.3	11.4	12.9	12.5	10.9	9.4	7.6	5.7	3.8	2.4	1.4	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	84.4%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	65.5%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	36.7%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	11.6%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	2.5%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.9%	0.9		0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																							0.0
17-1	0.0%																							0.0
16-2	0.1%																							0.1
15-3	0.3%																							0.3
14-4	0.8%																							0.8
13-5	1.4%																							1.4
12-6	2.4%																							2.4
11-7	3.8%																							3.8
10-8	5.7%																							5.7
9-9	7.6%																							7.6
8-10	9.4%																							9.4
7-11	10.9%																							10.9
6-12	12.5%																							12.5
5-13	12.9%																							12.9
4-14	11.4%																							11.4
3-15	9.3%																							9.3
2-16	6.6%																							6.6
1-17	3.4%																							3.4
0-18	1.3%																							1.3

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0																		100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.3%