Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#232
Expected Predictive Rating-2.7#206
Pace75.7#42
Improvement-1.1#262

Offense
Total Offense-1.4#202
First Shot+0.8#154
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#310
Layup/Dunks-1.6#232
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#267
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#69
Freethrows+0.2#165
Improvement-2.1#333

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#260
First Shot-2.0#238
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#242
Layups/Dunks-2.6#275
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#92
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#143
Freethrows-1.9#289
Improvement+1.0#105
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 5.1% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.8 15.1
.500 or above 57.5% 67.8% 43.9%
.500 or above in Conference 61.2% 65.5% 55.4%
Conference Champion 5.6% 6.9% 3.9%
Last Place in Conference 2.1% 1.6% 2.8%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round4.1% 5.0% 2.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: West Georgia (Away) - 56.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 33 - 63 - 8
Quad 412 - 715 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 266 @East Carolina L 89-92 44%     0 - 1 -5.6 +4.5 -9.7
  Sat, Nov 8 203 UNC Asheville W 93-90 56%     1 - 1 -2.6 +4.5 -7.5
  Tue, Nov 11 174 @Florida Gulf Coast W 95-94 28%     2 - 1 +2.8 +17.4 -14.6
  Tue, Nov 18 135 @Georgia Tech L 66-68 20%     2 - 2 +2.8 -5.6 +8.5
  Fri, Nov 21 101 @Florida St. L 72-98 13%     2 - 3 -18.1 -7.3 -6.6
  Mon, Nov 24 162 Youngstown St. L 61-67 37%     2 - 4 -6.6 -8.4 +1.6
  Tue, Nov 25 277 Texas San Antonio L 64-77 58%     2 - 5 -19.1 -13.0 -5.5
  Sat, Nov 29 263 Houston Christian W 80-62 67%     3 - 5 +9.5 +5.0 +5.4
  Wed, Dec 3 193 Louisiana Tech W 77-69 54%     4 - 5 +2.9 +8.0 -4.7
  Sat, Dec 6 359 @Gardner-Webb W 88-84 75%     5 - 5 -7.2 +3.9 -11.4
  Sat, Dec 13 318 @West Georgia W 78-76 57%    
  Thu, Dec 18 338 Georgia St. W 81-71 83%    
  Sat, Dec 20 177 James Madison W 78-77 51%    
  Thu, Jan 1 235 @Coastal Carolina L 76-79 40%    
  Sat, Jan 3 212 @Old Dominion L 76-80 36%    
  Sat, Jan 10 166 @South Alabama L 71-77 28%    
  Thu, Jan 15 212 Old Dominion W 79-77 58%    
  Sat, Jan 17 235 Coastal Carolina W 79-76 62%    
  Thu, Jan 22 149 Arkansas St. L 82-83 45%    
  Sat, Jan 24 147 Troy L 76-78 44%    
  Thu, Jan 29 360 @Louisiana Monroe W 82-75 74%    
  Sat, Jan 31 319 @Louisiana W 72-70 56%    
  Wed, Feb 4 237 Texas St. W 75-72 62%    
  Wed, Feb 11 282 Appalachian St. W 73-68 69%    
  Sat, Feb 14 172 Marshall W 81-80 50%    
  Thu, Feb 19 338 @Georgia St. W 78-74 64%    
  Sat, Feb 21 282 @Appalachian St. L 70-71 48%    
  Wed, Feb 25 177 @James Madison L 75-81 30%    
  Fri, Feb 27 172 @Marshall L 78-84 29%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.9 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 5.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.9 1.4 0.3 0.0 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 3.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 7.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 4.6 2.4 0.3 0.0 8.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.1 4.1 0.6 0.0 9.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.8 5.1 1.4 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 5.5 2.5 0.1 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 4.3 4.0 0.5 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.0 4.7 1.2 0.0 9.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.3 1.9 0.1 8.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.2 1.9 0.2 0.0 6.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 2.1 1.6 0.3 0.0 5.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.3 4.5 7.3 10.4 12.9 14.1 13.5 12.4 9.0 6.0 3.5 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 96.2% 0.6    0.5 0.1
15-3 81.5% 1.5    1.0 0.4 0.0
14-4 54.4% 1.9    0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 19.8% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.6% 5.6 2.8 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.2% 27.6% 27.6% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.6% 31.0% 31.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
15-3 1.8% 22.4% 22.4% 14.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.4
14-4 3.5% 21.0% 21.0% 14.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 2.8
13-5 6.0% 15.6% 15.6% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 5.1
12-6 9.0% 8.7% 8.7% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 8.2
11-7 12.4% 4.1% 4.1% 15.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 11.9
10-8 13.5% 2.2% 2.2% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 13.2
9-9 14.1% 1.2% 1.2% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 13.9
8-10 12.9% 0.3% 0.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 12.8
7-11 10.4% 0.3% 0.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 10.3
6-12 7.3% 7.3
5-13 4.5% 4.5
4-14 2.3% 2.3
3-15 1.1% 1.1
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.1 0.8 95.9 0.0%