Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -6.4 274
Expected Predictive Rating -4.8 240
Pace 74.7 36
Improvement -2.6 287

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- #210 D+ C- B- B- B
Defense D #311 D+ D- B- D- D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 154 51% 332 -2.4 264
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% 328 47% 19 -1.9 277
Three Pointers 48% 43 30% 324 +0.8 155
1st FG Attempt 0.95 289 -3.6 289
Second Chance 27.8% 257 1.08 93 0.30 199
Turnovers 15.6% 99
Freethrows 0.34 79 72% 202 0.24 101
Total Offense -1.6 210

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 40 60% 245 -4.3 322
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 334 42% 311 +1.5 80
Three Pointers 41% 187 34% 207 -0.2 192
1st FG Attempt 1.08 283 -3.1 285
Second Chance 36.3% 345 1.06 240 0.38 331
Turnovers 18.7% 79
Freethrows 0.36 324 75% 315 0.27 332
Total Defense -4.8 311

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +1.1 51 +1.1 350
Shot Type Accuracy -4.4 322 +1.9 250
Possession Length 16.2 75 16.7 90
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 254 0.20 280
Improvement -1.8 #288 -0.7 #239

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 15.8
.500 or above 20% 36% 9%
.500 or above in Conference 15% 30% 6%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Marshall (Home) - 39.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 32 - 72 - 8
Quad 412 - 814 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 252 @East Carolina L 89 - 92 34% -2  20% 0 - 1 D+ -5 C+ +3 C B+ C D- -7 D+ F C-
 Sat, Nov 8 211 UNC Asheville W 93 - 90 48% -1  38% 1 - 1 C- -3 C+ +3 C+ F A D -6 F+ F A-
 Tue, Nov 11 243 @Florida Gulf Coast W 95 - 94 32% +3  75% 2 - 1 C -1 A+ +15 A+ D- B- F -15 D F C
 Tue, Nov 18 131 @Georgia Tech L 66 - 68 15% +1  46% 2 - 2 C+ +3 F -10 F+ B D- A+ +13 A C- A+
 Fri, Nov 21 93 @Florida St. L 72 - 98 9% -14  0% 2 - 3 F -18 F -10 D- F C C- -3 D+ C C-
 Mon, Nov 24 205 Youngstown St. L 61 - 67 36% -4  10% 2 - 4 D -9 F -14 F F C B +5 C F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 350 Texas San Antonio L 64 - 77 73% +1  69% 2 - 5 F -26 F -20 F D+ C- D+ -5 B D- F+
 Sat, Nov 29 298 Houston Christian W 80 - 62 67% +6  91% 3 - 5 B- +7 C+ +2 C C A+ B+ +6 B- C A
 Wed, Dec 3 223 Louisiana Tech W 77 - 69 50% +4  75% 4 - 5 C+ +2 B- +5 A- B- C+ C- -3 F A+ D+
 Sat, Dec 6 363 @Gardner-Webb W 88 - 84 81% +3  62% 5 - 5 D- -12 C -0 D D A- F -11 F D C-
 Sat, Dec 13 317 @West Georgia W 91 - 85 51% +9  99% 6 - 5 C -1 B+ +8 C- A B- D- -9 D F A+
 Thu, Dec 18 276 Georgia St. W 90 - 67 62% +8  78% 7 - 5 1 - 0 B+ +14 A+ +15 D A A+ C -1 F B+ A-
 Sat, Dec 20 222 James Madison W 96 - 92 OT 49% -3  14% 8 - 5 2 - 0 C- -2 B- +5 D+ D+ A D- -8 B- F C+
 Thu, Jan 1 238 @Coastal Carolina W 82 - 81 OT 31% +3  68% 9 - 5 3 - 0 C -0 C +1 D B C- C -1 A- F C
 Sat, Jan 3 253 @Old Dominion W 93 - 86 34% +13  98% 10 - 5 4 - 0 B- +5 B- +4 C+ C+ C+ C -0 A- D F
 Sat, Jan 10 191 @South Alabama L 71 - 87 24% -9  4% 10 - 6 4 - 1 F+ -15 D -5 F+ D A- F+ -10 F B A+
 Thu, Jan 15 253 Old Dominion W 87 - 84 57% -2  34% 11 - 6 5 - 1 D+ -5 B +6 A C- C- F -12 F D+ C
 Sat, Jan 17 238 Coastal Carolina L 75 - 79 OT 54% +2  59% 11 - 7 5 - 2 D- -11 D- -6 F C+ A+ D+ -5 B C- A
 Thu, Jan 22 141 Arkansas St. L 68 - 85 33% -9  4% 11 - 8 5 - 3 F -19 F -13 F A C- D+ -5 F A+ B+
 Sat, Jan 24 135 Troy L 78 - 83 31% -4  7% 11 - 9 5 - 4 D+ -6 B+ +9 C+ A+ A F -16 D+ F A-
 Fri, Jan 30 356 @Louisiana Monroe W 79 - 76 70% +2  61% 12 - 9 6 - 4 D -9 D- -7 F D D- C- -2 D- D B
 Sat, Jan 31 290 @Louisiana L 60 - 69 43% -6  1% 12 - 10 6 - 5 D- -13 F+ -8 F D+ F D -6 F D+ D+
 Wed, Feb 4 234 Texas St. L 71 - 77 53% -3  37% 12 - 11 6 - 6 D- -13 D -5 C- D- A- D- -8 B F C-
 Wed, Feb 11 161 Appalachian St. L 65 - 81 38% -8  0% 12 - 12 6 - 7 F -19 D- -6 C F F+ F -14 D D- C-
 Sat, Feb 14 164 Marshall L 80 - 83 39%
 Thu, Feb 19 276 @Georgia St. L 77 - 80 39%
 Sat, Feb 21 161 @Appalachian St. L 67 - 76 20%
 Wed, Feb 25 222 @James Madison L 75 - 81 27%
 Fri, Feb 27 164 @Marshall L 77 - 86 20%
Totals 13 - 16 7 - 11 -6 C- -2 D+ C- B- D -5 D+ D- B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D- A- D- D 39% 13% 48% B D+ D+ B- C- B- B- C B- D C- D C- D+ 44% 15% 41% D- D+ F+ C- D- B- D- D D-
1.06 51% 47% 30% -4 +1 0.95 28% 1.1 .30 16% .34 72% .24 1.15 60% 42% 34% +2 +1 1.08 36% 1.1 .38 19% .36 75% .25
Nov
4		 East Carolina C+ D+ D B- D+ 55% 11% 35% A+ C B B+ B+ C A+ F A D- F+ B- A+ C- 45% 22% 33% D D+ F F F C- F A F
1.11 53% 33% 37% -2 +2 1.04 35% 1.3 .45 17% .45 60% .27 1.14 64% 33% 22% -4 0 0.95 44% 1.2 .54 16% .61 63% .39
Nov
8		 UNC Asheville C+ D A+ D+ C 47% 14% 39% B- C+ D+ F F A A+ B- A+ D D+ F A+ F+ 40% 37% 23% D- F+ D+ F F A- D F F
1.16 52% 75% 32% +1 +1 1.07 29% 0.6 .17 11% .55 72% .39 1.12 62% 63% 25% +8 -2 1.13 31% 1.4 .45 22% .38 83% .32
Nov
11		 Florida Gulf Coast A+ A A+ A+ A+ 34% 6% 60% B+ A+ F B+ D- B- F+ F F F C+ F D D+ 39% 20% 41% F+ D F B- F C A A+ A+
1.30 72% 100% 47% +20 +2 1.45 21% 1.2 .24 15% .29 67% .19 1.29 57% 50% 38% +4 0 1.10 55% 1.0 .53 18% .18 45% .08
Nov
18		 Georgia Tech F F D+ C+ F 36% 5% 58% A F+ B- B- B D- D F F A+ F A- A+ A+ 40% 16% 44% D A F A- C- A+ F B- F
0.88 20% 33% 34% -14 +2 0.78 33% 1.1 .37 19% .25 53% .13 0.90 71% 29% 16% -9 +1 0.86 41% 0.9 .38 29% .56 67% .38
Nov
21		 Florida St. F F B F+ F+ 30% 13% 57% B D- F F F C A A+ A+ C- D A+ C- D+ 28% 3% 68% C- D+ B+ F C C- F A D-
0.87 47% 43% 28% -8 0 0.88 21% 0.7 .14 20% .36 88% .32 1.18 65% 0% 34% +1 +1 1.07 29% 1.3 .38 13% .40 66% .26
Nov
24		 Youngstown St. F F A+ F F 41% 12% 47% B+ F F+ F F C F A+ D B C+ F C C 39% 10% 51% D C D- F+ F A+ F C- F
0.90 50% 67% 22% -8 +1 0.88 24% 0.6 .14 19% .27 87% .24 0.99 56% 50% 33% 0 +1 1.05 35% 1.2 .42 28% .37 72% .27
Nov
25		 Texas San Antonio F F F F F 27% 10% 63% C- F F A D+ C- A+ F A+ D+ B A B B 35% 22% 43% C+ B D- D+ D- F+ F B- F
0.87 46% 0% 20% -20 0 0.63 27% 1.3 .36 16% .62 58% .36 1.05 47% 27% 29% -10 -1 0.82 35% 0.9 .33 14% .58 68% .39
Nov
29		 Houston Christian C+ C- F A C- 46% 9% 44% B C C- C+ C A+ B- F D B+ B- A A B+ 52% 9% 39% F B- C C C A C- B- C
1.20 60% 20% 42% +4 +2 1.15 32% 1.1 .35 12% .31 56% .17 0.93 54% 25% 28% -7 +3 0.93 30% 0.8 .24 22% .29 67% .19
Dec
3		 Louisiana Tech B- A+ A+ F+ B+ 35% 6% 59% B A- D- A+ B- C+ C B+ C+ C- F+ F B- F 45% 14% 41% F+ F A+ A+ A+ D+ C- A+ B-
1.15 76% 67% 28% +3 +2 1.10 27% 1.5 .40 16% .32 78% .25 1.03 64% 71% 30% +5 +1 1.14 23% 0.6 .13 16% .30 53% .16
Dec
6		 Gardner-Webb C F A+ B+ F+ 51% 7% 42% A D F A+ D A- A+ D A F C A+ F F 60% 6% 33% F F C F D C- F F F
1.18 50% 50% 39% 0 +3 1.07 23% 1.4 .31 11% .42 68% .28 1.12 55% 0% 44% +1 +3 1.10 24% 1.1 .28 20% .47 82% .38
Dec
13		 West Georgia B+ D+ A+ C- D+ 45% 5% 49% B C- B- A+ A B- B- A- B+ D- C- B+ D+ D+ 38% 27% 35% F+ D F D- F A+ F F F
1.25 56% 67% 33% 0 +2 1.07 35% 1.3 .46 14% .37 78% .29 1.17 56% 31% 35% -2 -1 0.96 49% 1.2 .57 23% .36 95% .34
Dec
18		 Georgia St. A+ F F A- F+ 40% 2% 58% A D A B- A A+ A+ A+ A+ C F A+ C- F+ 29% 15% 56% F F D+ A+ B+ A- B A A-
1.34 32% 0% 39% -7 +2 0.94 44% 1.1 .47 10% .58 89% .52 1.00 71% 14% 33% 0 0 1.02 30% 0.7 .22 21% .26 71% .19
Dec
20		 James Madison B- D A+ F D- 51% 8% 41% A D+ D+ C- D+ A A+ B A+ D- C- F A+ B+ 54% 8% 38% F B- F C- F C+ F D F
1.22 50% 80% 25% -6 +2 0.95 27% 1.0 .27 8% .54 77% .41 1.17 59% 50% 21% -6 +3 0.96 45% 1.1 .50 18% .59 74% .43
Jan
1		 Coastal Carolina C C- A F D 29% 31% 40% C- D C A B C- A+ B A+ C B A+ C- A 35% 35% 30% B- A- F D+ F C F D- F
1.07 53% 50% 22% -5 -2 0.88 29% 1.3 .36 13% .48 75% .36 1.06 50% 20% 35% -8 -2 0.81 41% 1.0 .41 16% .42 78% .33
Jan
3		 Old Dominion B- C B C+ B- 46% 21% 32% C C+ C+ B- C+ C+ A B+ A+ C B A- A A 38% 28% 34% C- A- D+ D D F D- F F
1.15 62% 42% 33% +2 0 1.07 32% 1.1 .34 14% .43 80% .34 1.06 52% 28% 27% -8 -1 0.83 27% 1.2 .31 11% .35 80% .28
Jan
10		 South Alabama D D- F F F 24% 2% 75% B F+ F+ B- D A- A+ F+ A+ F+ D- F F F 53% 27% 20% B- F F+ A+ B A+ F C+ F
0.98 54% 0% 27% -10 +1 0.85 24% 1.2 .28 14% .35 68% .24 1.20 63% 50% 60% +14 0 1.29 30% 0.8 .22 19% .43 64% .27
Jan
15		 Old Dominion B D A+ A+ A 44% 12% 44% B A C+ D C- C- A+ F+ A- F B- C- F F 40% 15% 45% F F F A- D+ C B- A- B
1.22 55% 50% 45% +8 +2 1.20 32% 0.9 .29 15% .47 68% .32 1.18 55% 38% 48% +8 +1 1.20 33% 0.9 .31 15% .25 67% .17
Jan
17		 Coastal Carolina D- F C F F 37% 18% 46% A F C+ C+ C+ A+ A+ F B- D+ A- F A+ C+ 19% 38% 43% A+ B F A- C- A F F F
1.01 38% 40% 27% -12 0 0.79 30% 1.1 .32 7% .40 57% .23 1.07 44% 50% 25% -4 -4 0.87 34% 0.8 .26 20% .64 82% .52
Jan
22		 Arkansas St. F D- F F F 43% 6% 51% A+ F B+ A A C- A F+ B D+ B- F F F 47% 8% 45% F F A- A+ A+ B+ F F F
0.91 52% 0% 11% -22 +2 0.62 33% 1.3 .42 16% .42 65% .27 1.14 54% 75% 43% +8 +2 1.22 31% 0.7 .22 23% .40 83% .33
Jan
24		 Troy B+ B- A+ D- C 31% 8% 61% B+ C+ C- A+ A+ A C+ A- B F C+ D+ C- 50% 0% 50% F D+ F F+ F A- F C- F
1.22 60% 100% 30% +2 +1 1.08 29% 1.8 .52 13% .31 76% .23 1.30 55% 36% 0 +3 1.09 50% 1.2 .59 20% .47 75% .35
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
30		 Louisiana Monroe D- D+ A+ F F 35% 23% 42% D- F F A D D- A+ A- A+ C- D- B- C+ D- 43% 18% 39% D D- F+ C- D B F F F
1.07 59% 55% 20% -5 -1 0.92 26% 1.3 .35 19% .57 76% .43 1.03 62% 33% 32% -1 +1 1.02 29% 1.0 .29 20% .46 81% .37
Jan
31		 Louisiana F+ F D- C F 38% 21% 42% D F C- C- D+ F D- A+ C D C F+ F F 39% 28% 33% F+ F B- F D+ D+ D D+ D
0.97 44% 30% 35% -6 0 0.90 30% 1.0 .30 23% .31 87% .27 1.11 56% 46% 47% +8 -1 1.15 23% 1.2 .27 16% .27 71% .19
Feb
4		 Texas St. D D A+ D- C- 39% 14% 47% C C- F A D- A- B C B- D- B B A A- 57% 18% 24% F B F F F C- F F F
1.02 53% 71% 30% 0 +1 1.04 16% 1.2 .19 14% .37 73% .27 1.11 50% 33% 25% -9 +2 0.88 39% 1.4 .55 19% .39 91% .35
Feb
11		 Appalachian St. D- D F B- D+ 42% 9% 49% A- C C+ F F F+ F D F F D B- B- D+ 49% 7% 44% F D F C D- C- F F F
0.98 50% 0% 36% -5 +2 0.95 32% 0.5 .15 18% .17 67% .11 1.22 64% 33% 30% 0 +3 1.07 37% 1.0 .37 15% .50 71% .36



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 0.4 0.1 0.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 0.0 1.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.6 1.1 2.7 6th
7th 0.6 4.9 0.4 5.9 7th
8th 0.1 6.9 4.4 0.1 11.5 8th
9th 0.0 2.1 13.2 0.9 16.1 9th
10th 0.3 10.9 7.6 0.1 18.8 10th
11th 2.7 15.5 1.3 19.5 11th
12th 10.6 7.2 0.0 17.8 12th
13th 5.4 0.4 5.8 13th
14th 14th
Total 18.9 36.2 29.6 12.0 3.2 0.3 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.3% 4.0% 4.0% 13.0 0.0 0.2
10-8 3.2% 1.6% 1.6% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1
9-9 12.0% 0.8% 0.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 11.9
8-10 29.6% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 29.5
7-11 36.2% 36.2
6-12 18.9% 18.9
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 15.5 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 18.9%