Louisiana
Sun Belt
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.9#319
Expected Predictive Rating-14.6#346
Pace62.9#338
Improvement+0.4#164

Offense
Total Offense-7.1#347
First Shot-6.0#333
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#252
Layup/Dunks-1.9#240
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#100
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#274
Freethrows-2.6#320
Improvement-1.0#258

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#229
First Shot-2.6#259
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#135
Layups/Dunks-2.7#281
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#26
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#121
Freethrows-4.1#347
Improvement+1.4#80
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 0.6% 2.2% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 18.0% 25.6% 16.4%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 14.3% 10.3% 15.1%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana Tech (Away) - 17.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 91 - 13
Quad 47 - 98 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 310 @Ball St. L 64-75 36%     0 - 1 -16.3 -4.7 -12.6
  Fri, Nov 7 246 SE Louisiana W 58-52 45%     1 - 1 -1.7 -3.8 +3.3
  Tue, Nov 11 187 Tulane L 62-66 34%     1 - 2 -8.7 -10.1 +0.9
  Fri, Nov 14 80 @McNeese St. L 62-88 5%     1 - 3 -15.9 -2.1 -15.1
  Tue, Nov 18 85 @Stanford L 66-93 5%     1 - 4 -17.6 -3.2 -13.9
  Fri, Nov 21 75 @Santa Clara L 43-80 5%     1 - 5 -26.4 -23.6 -4.7
  Mon, Nov 24 170 @UC Davis L 56-77 15%     1 - 6 -19.0 -9.9 -10.6
  Fri, Nov 28 312 Jackson St. L 45-51 60%     1 - 7 -17.4 -25.2 +7.0
  Wed, Dec 3 214 @Lamar L 55-65 21%     1 - 8 -10.5 -6.1 -5.8
  Sat, Dec 6 109 UNC Wilmington L 63-70 18%     1 - 9 -6.1 -4.6 -2.2
  Sat, Dec 13 193 @Louisiana Tech L 57-67 18%    
  Thu, Dec 18 224 @Southern Miss L 65-73 22%    
  Sat, Dec 20 360 @Louisiana Monroe W 69-67 58%    
  Sun, Dec 28 218 Norfolk St. L 62-64 41%    
  Wed, Dec 31 166 South Alabama L 62-67 31%    
  Sat, Jan 3 224 Southern Miss L 68-70 42%    
  Thu, Jan 8 360 Louisiana Monroe W 72-64 77%    
  Sat, Jan 10 147 Troy L 63-70 27%    
  Wed, Jan 14 237 @Texas St. L 60-68 24%    
  Sat, Jan 17 166 @South Alabama L 59-70 16%    
  Thu, Jan 22 282 @Appalachian St. L 60-65 31%    
  Sat, Jan 24 212 @Old Dominion L 64-73 22%    
  Thu, Jan 29 338 Georgia St. W 68-63 68%    
  Sat, Jan 31 232 Georgia Southern L 70-72 44%    
  Wed, Feb 4 177 @James Madison L 63-74 17%    
  Thu, Feb 12 235 Coastal Carolina L 66-68 44%    
  Thu, Feb 19 149 Arkansas St. L 69-75 28%    
  Sat, Feb 21 237 Texas St. L 63-65 45%    
  Tue, Feb 24 147 @Troy L 60-73 13%    
  Fri, Feb 27 149 @Arkansas St. L 66-78 14%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 1.9 4th
5th 0.4 1.7 0.8 0.1 3.0 5th
6th 0.2 1.5 1.9 0.3 3.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 3.0 0.9 0.0 5.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.8 2.4 0.2 7.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.5 4.0 0.6 0.0 8.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.5 5.9 2.0 0.1 11.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 4.0 6.9 3.7 0.4 15.7 11th
12th 0.1 1.1 4.7 7.6 4.1 0.7 0.0 18.3 12th
13th 0.1 1.3 4.2 5.2 2.7 0.6 0.0 14.1 13th
14th 0.2 1.3 2.6 2.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 8.0 14th
Total 0.2 1.4 3.9 7.9 11.8 15.0 15.7 14.7 11.5 8.0 5.2 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 61.4% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 23.8% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.2% 14.0% 14.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.5% 9.3% 9.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-6 1.3% 4.6% 4.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 1.3
11-7 2.8% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 2.8
10-8 5.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 5.1
9-9 8.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.9
8-10 11.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.5
7-11 14.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.6
6-12 15.7% 15.7
5-13 15.0% 15.0
4-14 11.8% 11.8
3-15 7.9% 7.9
2-16 3.9% 3.9
1-17 1.4% 1.4
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%