James Madison
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#177
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#159
Pace65.0#299
Improvement+1.2#95

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#116
First Shot+3.0#97
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#231
Layup/Dunks-1.1#219
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#321
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.7#19
Freethrows+0.2#169
Improvement+1.3#80

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#283
First Shot-4.1#310
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#149
Layups/Dunks-2.4#270
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#150
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#189
Freethrows-2.3#310
Improvement-0.1#195
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.6% 13.9% 7.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.1 14.3
.500 or above 82.2% 90.7% 74.9%
.500 or above in Conference 80.1% 89.5% 72.1%
Conference Champion 12.7% 19.5% 6.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.1% 0.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round10.6% 13.9% 7.8%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Old Dominion (Away) - 46.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 34 - 55 - 9
Quad 413 - 518 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 54 @Akron L 71-85 9%     0 - 1 -0.8 -1.5 +1.0
  Sun, Nov 9 364 Coppin St. W 84-70 95%     1 - 1 -6.4 +2.8 -9.3
  Wed, Nov 12 287 @Longwood L 72-82 60%     1 - 2 -14.1 -3.1 -11.0
  Sat, Nov 15 227 @LIU Brooklyn L 79-88 48%     1 - 3 -9.9 -0.4 -8.8
  Tue, Nov 18 125 Towson W 81-75 47%     2 - 3 +5.4 +19.3 -13.0
  Mon, Nov 24 189 @Florida International W 80-72 40%     3 - 3 +9.1 +11.2 -1.7
  Tue, Nov 25 233 Nebraska Omaha W 88-77 61%     4 - 3 +6.8 +18.6 -10.9
  Sat, Nov 29 74 @George Mason L 66-82 13%     4 - 4 -5.3 +1.8 -8.0
  Wed, Dec 3 350 NC Central W 67-62 90%     5 - 4 -10.5 -4.6 -5.3
  Sat, Dec 6 218 Norfolk St. W 68-67 69%     6 - 4 -5.6 +0.8 -6.4
  Wed, Dec 17 212 @Old Dominion L 74-75 46%    
  Sat, Dec 20 232 @Georgia Southern L 77-78 49%    
  Sun, Dec 28 20 @Arkansas L 66-86 3%    
  Sun, Jan 4 149 @Arkansas St. L 76-81 33%    
  Wed, Jan 7 172 Marshall W 78-75 60%    
  Sat, Jan 10 212 Old Dominion W 77-72 68%    
  Thu, Jan 15 282 @Appalachian St. W 69-67 58%    
  Sat, Jan 17 172 @Marshall L 75-78 38%    
  Thu, Jan 22 166 South Alabama W 72-70 59%    
  Sat, Jan 24 237 Texas St. W 73-67 70%    
  Thu, Jan 29 147 @Troy L 71-76 32%    
  Sat, Jan 31 224 @Southern Miss L 75-76 48%    
  Wed, Feb 4 319 Louisiana W 74-63 83%    
  Thu, Feb 12 338 Georgia St. W 79-66 88%    
  Sat, Feb 14 282 Appalachian St. W 72-64 77%    
  Wed, Feb 18 235 @Coastal Carolina L 73-74 50%    
  Sat, Feb 21 338 @Georgia St. W 76-69 73%    
  Wed, Feb 25 232 Georgia Southern W 81-75 70%    
  Fri, Feb 27 235 Coastal Carolina W 77-71 70%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.1 3.5 1.9 0.5 0.1 12.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.4 3.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 12.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 5.9 3.2 0.5 0.0 11.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 5.5 3.9 0.5 0.0 11.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.2 4.8 0.8 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 5.2 1.5 0.0 9.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.7 2.4 0.1 8.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.8 3.4 0.4 0.0 7.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 3.2 1.0 0.0 5.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 2.2 1.2 0.1 4.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 3.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.2 1.8 12th
13th 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.1 5.5 8.6 11.9 13.8 14.5 14.0 11.3 7.6 4.5 2.0 0.5 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.4% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-2 96.1% 1.9    1.7 0.2 0.0
15-3 78.3% 3.5    2.3 1.1 0.1
14-4 53.1% 4.1    1.8 1.7 0.6 0.0 0.0
13-5 19.5% 2.2    0.4 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 2.9% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.7% 12.7 6.8 3.9 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.5% 40.3% 40.3% 12.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 2.0% 37.5% 37.5% 13.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.2
15-3 4.5% 34.0% 34.0% 13.7 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.2 2.9
14-4 7.6% 28.2% 28.2% 14.1 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.5 0.0 5.5
13-5 11.3% 20.2% 20.2% 14.3 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.8 0.1 9.0
12-6 14.0% 13.7% 13.7% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.1 12.1
11-7 14.5% 6.6% 6.6% 14.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 13.5
10-8 13.8% 3.7% 3.7% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 13.3
9-9 11.9% 1.5% 1.5% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.7
8-10 8.6% 1.0% 1.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 8.5
7-11 5.5% 0.5% 0.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 5.5
6-12 3.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.1
5-13 1.7% 1.7
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 10.6% 10.6% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.8 3.4 0.4 89.4 0.0%