Lipscomb
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#161
Expected Predictive Rating+0.9#154
Pace73.1#95
Improvement+5.3#2

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#219
First Shot-2.8#259
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#125
Layup/Dunks-0.1#172
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#362
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.4#25
Freethrows-4.2#346
Improvement+2.2#35

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#134
First Shot-1.2#212
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#55
Layups/Dunks-0.6#195
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#194
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#227
Freethrows+0.4#154
Improvement+3.1#9
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.6% 22.8% 17.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.3 14.7
.500 or above 85.9% 89.5% 73.1%
.500 or above in Conference 92.2% 93.2% 88.4%
Conference Champion 30.3% 32.1% 24.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.3% 0.4%
First Four0.8% 0.6% 1.4%
First Round21.2% 22.5% 16.6%
Second Round0.8% 1.0% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama A&M (Home) - 78.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 33 - 44 - 8
Quad 415 - 419 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 11 @Vanderbilt L 61-105 3%     0 - 1 -22.4 -7.8 -11.8
  Sun, Nov 9 194 @Mercer L 77-92 45%     0 - 2 -14.1 +4.8 -19.1
  Tue, Nov 11 203 @UNC Asheville L 64-69 46%     0 - 3 -4.6 -4.2 -0.8
  Wed, Nov 19 90 @Belmont L 68-75 19%     0 - 4 +1.9 -6.7 +9.3
  Sat, Nov 22 289 Western Carolina W 83-62 82%     1 - 4 +10.8 +1.4 +8.2
  Wed, Nov 26 172 @Marshall W 90-67 41%     2 - 4 +24.9 +8.8 +13.7
  Sat, Nov 29 216 @Southeast Missouri St. W 88-77 50%     3 - 4 +10.4 +4.5 +4.5
  Wed, Dec 3 271 Tennessee Tech W 83-80 78%     4 - 4 -5.7 +1.8 -7.7
  Sun, Dec 7 272 Alabama A&M W 75-67 78%    
  Tue, Dec 16 3 @Duke L 60-86 1%    
  Mon, Dec 29 68 @Cincinnati L 67-79 14%    
  Thu, Jan 1 291 Jacksonville W 76-66 82%    
  Sat, Jan 3 344 North Florida W 88-74 90%    
  Thu, Jan 8 347 @Stetson W 78-69 79%    
  Sat, Jan 10 174 @Florida Gulf Coast L 77-79 42%    
  Thu, Jan 15 292 Bellarmine W 81-71 81%    
  Sat, Jan 17 180 Austin Peay W 75-71 64%    
  Thu, Jan 22 347 Stetson W 81-66 91%    
  Sat, Jan 24 174 Florida Gulf Coast W 80-76 63%    
  Thu, Jan 29 291 @Jacksonville W 73-69 64%    
  Sat, Jan 31 344 @North Florida W 85-77 76%    
  Thu, Feb 5 180 @Austin Peay L 72-74 43%    
  Sat, Feb 7 279 Central Arkansas W 77-68 78%    
  Wed, Feb 11 269 Eastern Kentucky W 82-74 77%    
  Sat, Feb 14 196 @Queens L 78-79 45%    
  Thu, Feb 19 292 @Bellarmine W 78-74 63%    
  Sat, Feb 21 200 North Alabama W 75-70 67%    
  Wed, Feb 25 318 @West Georgia W 76-71 68%    
  Sat, Feb 28 269 @Eastern Kentucky W 79-77 57%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.8 3.5 7.3 8.8 6.4 2.8 0.7 30.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.4 7.7 5.6 1.8 0.2 0.0 20.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.8 6.3 3.6 0.7 0.0 15.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.3 2.7 0.4 0.0 11.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.2 2.2 0.2 0.0 8.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 2.6 1.9 0.2 0.0 5.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.5 0.3 0.0 3.8 7th
8th 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.3 2.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.3 3.9 6.2 9.5 12.4 14.5 15.2 13.6 10.7 6.6 2.8 0.7 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
17-1 99.6% 2.8    2.8 0.1
16-2 96.5% 6.4    5.7 0.7 0.0
15-3 82.8% 8.8    6.4 2.3 0.2
14-4 53.9% 7.3    3.6 3.0 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 23.0% 3.5    1.0 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0
12-6 5.4% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 30.3% 30.3 20.2 7.7 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.7% 59.2% 59.2% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3
17-1 2.8% 47.2% 47.2% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.5
16-2 6.6% 40.1% 40.1% 13.6 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.0
15-3 10.7% 35.0% 35.0% 14.0 0.1 0.9 2.0 0.8 0.0 6.9
14-4 13.6% 27.9% 27.9% 14.2 0.0 0.6 1.9 1.3 0.1 9.8
13-5 15.2% 23.1% 23.1% 14.6 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.8 0.2 11.7
12-6 14.5% 17.5% 17.5% 14.9 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.5 12.0
11-7 12.4% 14.7% 14.7% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.7 10.5
10-8 9.5% 10.9% 10.9% 15.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 8.5
9-9 6.2% 7.1% 7.1% 15.7 0.1 0.3 5.7
8-10 3.9% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.2 3.7
7-11 2.3% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.1 2.2
6-12 1.0% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 1.0
5-13 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 21.6% 21.6% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.6 7.6 7.1 2.6 78.4 0.0%