Cincinnati
Big 12
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +13.9 37
Results Rating +10.8 56
Consistency 0.18 323
Pace 69.4 152
Improvement +8.8 2

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 100 B- B- B- D+ C-
Defense A 10 A- B B+ B B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 281 B 63% 76 -0.1 191
2 Pt. Jumpers 31% 255 C+ 39% 126 +0.4 153
Three Pointers 44% 124 C+ 35% 138 +2.1 106
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.2 221 B- +2.5 94
1st FG Attempt B- 1.07 103
Second Chance B- 32.9% 96 C+ 1.05 136 B- 0.35 92
Opponents' Steals B+ 7.5% 27
Other Turnovers C- 7.7% 248
Turnovers B- 15.2% 88
Freethrows D+ 0.28 261 D+ 70% 269 D+ 0.19 281
Total Offense B- +3.0 100

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots A- 64% 10 A- 7.2% 24
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A 47% 7 B 2.7% 38
Three Pointers C+ 86% 146 A- 0.0% 4
Total A 68% 9 A 3.1% 9


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 299 A 47% 11 -6.4 15
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 67 D+ 40% 271 +1.9 325
Three Pointers 42% 145 B+ 30% 27 -2.3 85
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.7 59 A- -5.9 15
1st FG Attempt A- 0.89 19
Second Chance A- 24.0% 16 D+ 1.11 290 B 0.27 65
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.1% 130
Other Turnovers A+ 9.8% 4
Turnovers B+ 19.9% 31
Freethrows B 0.26 59 B+ 69% 25 B 0.18 40
Total Defense A +10.9 10

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 315 B 15.1% 46
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 189 D+ 3.3% 270
Three Pointers B 79% 51 A+ 3.4% 2
Total C 55% 174 B 7.4% 53

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.3 76 18.5 334
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 50 0.07 5
Consistency 0.14 303 0.10 18
Improvement +8.7 1 +0.1 193

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status On The Bubble
Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 43 37 30
Results Rating Rank 65 54 46
Conference Record 9 - 9 9 - 9 10 - 8
Conference Finish 8 7 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 9
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 1% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 42% 62% 26%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 42% 61% 25%
Average Seed 10.4 10.1 10.9
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four26% 29% 23%
First Round31% 50% 16%
Second Round14% 23% 6%
Sweet Sixteen3% 5% 2%
Elite Eight1% 2% 1%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: TCU (Away) - 45.1% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 54 - 11
Quad 25 - 29 - 14
Quad 32 - 011 - 14
Quad 47 - 118 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 232 Western Carolina W 94 - 63 96% +20  99% 1 - 0 A+ +24 C +1 A C+ F+ A+ +19 B+ A A+
 Fri, Nov 7 304 Georgia St. W 74 - 64 98% +6  84% 2 - 0 C -2 F -11 F+ C- F A- +8 C D+ A+
 Tue, Nov 11 76 Dayton W 74 - 62 81% +9  99% 3 - 0 A- +17 D- -7 A F F A+ +22 A+ A+ D+
 Sun, Nov 16 273 Mount St. Mary's W 72 - 55 97% +0  35% 4 - 0 B- +8 D- -8 D+ F+ C+ A+ +15 B+ A- B+
 Fri, Nov 21 13 Louisville L 64 - 74 32% -1  44% 4 - 1 B +9 D -5 B F+ C- A+ +14 A+ A+ B
 Mon, Nov 24 333 NJIT W 94 - 67 99% +16  98% 5 - 1 B+ +12 B +6 A- D B+ B +4 B- F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 247 Eastern Michigan L 56 - 64 97% -9  0% 5 - 2 F+ -16 F -17 F+ D- D- C +0 B F A+
 Mon, Dec 1 220 Tarleton St. W 76 - 58 96% +8  86% 6 - 2 B+ +11 C- -1 A- A- F A+ +12 C+ C A+
 Fri, Dec 5 86 @Xavier L 74 - 79 67% -4  12% 6 - 3 C+ +5 D+ -3 F A A A- +7 B- A+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 26 Georgia L 65 - 84 43% -1  50% 6 - 4 C- -3 F -12 F+ C- C+ A +10 A D A
 Wed, Dec 17 316 Alabama St. W 88 - 51 98% +21  99% 7 - 4 A+ +25 B+ +8 B- D A+ A+ +16 A A+ D
 Sun, Dec 21 40 Clemson L 65 - 68 51% -13  0% 7 - 5 B +11 C+ +2 C A C+ A +9 C A A-
 Mon, Dec 29 197 Lipscomb W 89 - 62 95% +16  83% 8 - 5 A +22 B+ +9 C+ A+ A+ A+ +12 A D B+
 Sat, Jan 3 6 Houston L 60 - 67 30% +1  46% 8 - 6 0 - 1 B+ +12 C -0 A- C- C- A+ +12 A C C+
 Tue, Jan 6 55 @West Virginia L 60 - 62 52% -3  13% 8 - 7 0 - 2 B +11 C +0 C C A+ A +11 F A+ A+
 Sun, Jan 11 51 @Central Florida L 72 - 73 49% -1  24% 8 - 8 0 - 3 B+ +13 C+ +4 D A A+ A +10 D B A+
 Wed, Jan 14 65 Colorado W 77 - 68 78% +13  99% 9 - 8 1 - 3 A- +15 C -0 B F B+ A+ +15 A- C A+
 Sat, Jan 17 10 Iowa St. W 79 - 70 38% +7  84% 10 - 8 2 - 3 A+ +26 A+ +17 A- B+ A+ A +9 A+ C A-
 Wed, Jan 21 4 @Arizona L 51 - 77 9% -7  5% 10 - 9 2 - 4 C+ +3 D -5 F+ B- D- B+ +6 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 57 @Arizona St. L 68 - 82 54% -4  14% 10 - 10 2 - 5 C -1 C- -1 C D+ D+ C -0 D+ B C+
 Wed, Jan 28 47 Baylor W 67 - 57 69% +9  99% 11 - 10 3 - 5 A +19 D -6 D+ D+ A+ A+ +25 A+ A+ C
 Sat, Jan 31 6 @Houston L 54 - 76 15% -13  5% 11 - 11 3 - 6 C+ +3 C +1 A- C+ F C- -2 C A- F
 Thu, Feb 5 55 West Virginia L 59 - 65 74% +6  74% 11 - 12 3 - 7 C +1 D+ -4 F A+ D+ B +5 A+ F B
 Sun, Feb 8 51 Central Florida W 92 - 72 71% +11  98% 12 - 12 4 - 7 A+ +28 A+ +17 A+ A B- A +11 A A+ D-
 Wed, Feb 11 96 @Kansas St. W 91 - 62 70% +21  99% 13 - 12 5 - 7 A+ +38 A+ +20 A+ A+ C A+ +17 A+ D+ A+
 Sun, Feb 15 102 Utah W 69 - 65 88% +2  61% 14 - 12 6 - 7 B- +5 C- -1 F+ B A+ B+ +6 A+ F A
 Sat, Feb 21 20 @Kansas W 84 - 68 26% +2  53% 15 - 12 7 - 7 A+ +36 A+ +24 A+ C+ C+ A+ +13 A+ B- C+
 Tue, Feb 24 12 @Texas Tech L 68 - 80 22% -5  40% 15 - 13 7 - 8 B +10 A +12 B C- A+ D+ -4 C+ F A
 Sat, Feb 28 63 Oklahoma St. W 91 - 68 77% +19  99% 16 - 13 8 - 8 A+ +29 A +14 C+ A+ A+ A+ +14 A+ A A
 Tue, Mar 3 23 BYU W 90 - 68 54% +13  93% 17 - 13 9 - 8 A+ +35 A+ +16 A A+ A+ A+ +19 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Mar 7 45 @TCU L 68 - 69 45%
Totals 17 - 14 9 - 9 +14 B- +3 B- B- C- A +11 C+ D+ D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- B C+ C+ B- 35% 31% 44% C- B- B- C+ B- B- D+ D+ D+ A A D+ B+ A- 34% 24% 42% B A- A- D+ B B+ B B+ B
1.13 63% 39% 35% +3 0 1.07 33% 1.1 .35 15% .28 70% .19 0.93 47% 40% 30% -6 -1 0.89 24% 1.1 .27 20% .26 69% .19
Nov
3		 Western Carolina C A+ A+ B- A 35% 19% 46% C- A D A+ C+ F+ A+ F A A+ A A C- B 30% 26% 43% A- B+ C+ A+ A A+ B+ A+ A
1.18 78% 60% 38% +13 0 1.29 23% 1.3 .30 19% .46 67% .31 0.79 44% 29% 35% -6 -1 0.87 33% 0.7 .23 28% .24 57% .14
Nov
7		 Georgia St. F A+ C- F F+ 35% 15% 50% C F+ C D+ C- F A+ F+ A A- B- D B+ D+ 20% 44% 36% A+ C B F D+ A+ C- F D-
0.98 72% 38% 19% -6 0 0.90 34% 0.9 .32 21% .44 65% .29 0.85 50% 41% 28% -4 -4 0.86 24% 1.4 .32 23% .31 89% .27
Nov
11		 Dayton D- D+ F A+ A- 45% 10% 45% A+ A F F F F A+ F A+ A+ B+ C A+ A+ 53% 5% 42% F A+ A+ C+ A+ D+ C+ B- B-
0.91 53% 25% 47% +5 +2 1.17 18% 0.7 .12 30% .65 62% .40 0.76 53% 33% 4% -22 +3 0.65 14% 1.2 .16 16% .40 74% .29
Nov
16		 Mount St. Mary's D- C+ C F D+ 37% 19% 44% C+ D+ B F F+ C+ A+ F B A+ A+ B+ C B+ 38% 14% 48% C+ B+ A+ D A- B+ A+ A+ A+
0.99 58% 40% 26% -5 0 0.92 34% 0.6 .20 14% .48 60% .29 0.75 42% 29% 33% -8 +1 0.88 18% 1.1 .21 26% .19 30% .06
Nov
21		 Louisville D C+ F B- B- 37% 24% 39% B B B- F F+ C- C F D+ A+ F+ A+ B+ A+ 30% 13% 57% A- A+ A- A+ A+ B F F F
0.90 58% 25% 35% -3 0 0.96 27% 0.5 .12 18% .27 63% .17 1.04 71% 17% 31% -1 0 1.00 29% 0.4 .11 18% .48 86% .41
Nov
24		 NJIT B A B- B+ A 34% 17% 49% C- A- D+ D+ D B+ D+ D- D B A+ D F B- 20% 28% 52% A- B- F F F A+ B D+ B-
1.24 70% 40% 38% +7 0 1.17 31% 1.0 .31 12% .31 67% .21 0.88 0% 43% 38% -7 -2 0.84 33% 1.2 .38 26% .27 73% .20
Nov
26		 Eastern Michigan F D+ D- F F 42% 6% 52% A F+ F+ C- D- D- D- A- D+ C A+ F B- B 26% 24% 50% C+ B B- F F A+ F F F
0.85 52% 33% 23% -11 +2 0.84 22% 1.0 .22 18% .26 79% .21 0.98 20% 67% 32% -5 -1 0.89 25% 1.9 .46 26% .45 86% .39
Dec
1		 Tarleton St. C- C- F A+ A 17% 12% 71% D+ A- A C A- F F F F A+ A+ D- F B- 41% 20% 39% D C+ A+ F C A+ B+ A+ A+
1.07 57% 20% 47% +11 0 1.24 44% 1.1 .47 30% .30 60% .18 0.82 33% 44% 41% -5 0 0.93 17% 1.8 .31 27% .27 57% .15
Dec
5		 Xavier D+ F F+ F F 32% 23% 46% C- F B+ A+ A A A- F D+ A- D+ F A+ C+ 28% 30% 43% B B- A+ A A+ F F A+ C
1.00 44% 31% 27% -11 -1 0.79 32% 1.2 .38 12% .34 50% .17 1.07 65% 67% 23% +3 -2 1.05 12% 0.8 .10 5% .33 57% .19
Dec
13		 Georgia F C F F F 35% 23% 42% C- F+ C- C- C- C+ A F C+ A F B- A+ A 37% 25% 38% A+ A A+ F D A F C- F
0.85 56% 25% 23% -11 -1 0.79 30% 0.9 .26 18% .34 57% .19 1.10 74% 38% 20% -2 -1 0.96 28% 1.7 .47 20% .42 77% .32
Dec
17		 Alabama St. B+ A+ B- F B- 39% 9% 52% B- B- B- F D A+ D D D- A+ A+ D+ A+ A 33% 33% 33% A A D- A+ A+ D A A+ A
1.26 90% 40% 25% +6 +2 1.17 36% 0.8 .31 10% .32 70% .22 0.73 39% 39% 22% -12 -2 0.74 35% 0.3 .10 16% .20 58% .12
Dec
21		 Clemson C+ F C- A+ C- 38% 18% 44% B+ C B+ A+ A C+ C C- C A A C F C 45% 15% 40% C- C A+ F A A- A C+ A
0.97 32% 33% 41% -6 0 0.90 29% 1.2 .34 18% .27 73% .20 1.02 48% 43% 47% +4 +1 1.13 7% 2.5 .18 18% .26 71% .18
Dec
29		 Lipscomb B+ C+ F B C 40% 15% 45% B+ C+ B A+ A+ A+ F D F A+ A F A A+ 38% 4% 58% D A A F D B+ C A+ B+
1.23 63% 22% 37% +1 +1 1.07 36% 1.4 .49 11% .14 67% .09 0.86 47% 50% 28% -9 +2 0.88 16% 1.8 .30 19% .22 54% .12
Jan
3		 Houston C C- B+ C+ B+ 45% 12% 43% A A- C- C- C- C- C A B- A+ B- B B+ A+ 30% 30% 40% C A B D C C+ A+ C A+
0.94 53% 40% 33% -3 +2 1.00 24% 0.9 .21 23% .33 75% .25 1.05 60% 33% 30% -3 -2 0.92 34% 1.2 .40 13% .16 78% .13
Jan
6		 West Virginia C A F C C 23% 21% 57% D+ C C- C+ C A+ F F F A A D+ F F 31% 17% 52% B F A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A
0.94 67% 9% 33% -5 -1 0.91 24% 1.0 .24 13% .16 44% .07 0.97 46% 43% 50% +10 0 1.21 21% 0.7 .14 24% .27 54% .14
Jan
11		 Central Florida C+ A+ B F C- 35% 35% 30% F+ D B- A+ A A+ F F F A F D F F+ 38% 33% 29% A D A+ F B A+ A+ C- A+
1.07 70% 45% 12% -3 -2 0.91 28% 1.5 .42 10% .13 63% .08 1.09 72% 44% 43% +11 -2 1.21 19% 2.0 .38 21% .17 78% .13
Jan
14		 Colorado C A+ A- F B 42% 31% 27% C- B C- F F B+ A+ D A+ A+ B- D+ B+ A- 39% 29% 33% A- A- B F+ C A+ A- B- A-
1.06 70% 47% 23% +3 -1 1.06 25% 0.5 .13 14% .56 69% .38 0.93 58% 43% 31% 0 -1 1.00 27% 1.1 .30 23% .27 73% .20
Jan
17		 Iowa St. A+ B- A+ C A 24% 27% 49% D+ A- A+ F B+ A+ D B+ C- A A+ A F+ A+ 44% 16% 40% D+ A+ A F C A- F B+ F
1.19 62% 53% 33% +4 -2 1.07 42% 0.9 .36 12% .21 75% .15 1.06 42% 29% 41% -4 +1 0.95 31% 1.3 .40 18% .50 63% .31
Jan
21		 Arizona D F C F F+ 26% 36% 38% D+ F+ B+ C B- D- B- A+ A+ B+ C A+ A+ A+ 45% 33% 22% B- A+ D- C+ D+ F F B F+
0.78 33% 35% 22% -14 -3 0.68 28% 0.8 .23 22% .27 93% .26 1.19 64% 19% 18% -9 -1 0.82 45% 1.0 .45 9% .47 71% .34
Jan
24		 Arizona St. C- B- A+ F C+ 33% 37% 29% F C B F D+ D+ C- F+ D+ C B A F D 26% 22% 52% A- D+ A F+ B C+ C B+ C+
0.98 59% 53% 20% -1 -3 0.96 36% 0.7 .25 22% .27 67% .18 1.18 54% 27% 46% +6 -1 1.12 24% 1.4 .33 16% .36 71% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Baylor D F A F+ D+ 16% 33% 51% C D+ F+ A D+ A+ D+ B C- A+ A+ B A+ A+ 47% 16% 37% F A+ A+ A A+ C A+ A+ A+
0.98 44% 50% 29% -2 -3 0.91 21% 1.3 .26 12% .23 79% .18 0.83 50% 38% 21% -11 +1 0.82 27% 0.9 .24 15% .15 56% .09
Jan
31		 Houston C D D A+ A+ 10% 44% 46% F A- A+ F C+ F C F+ D+ C- A- F D D+ 18% 39% 43% A+ C A- B- A- F D- D- F+
0.91 50% 28% 47% +4 -5 1.00 40% 0.7 .27 32% .32 62% .20 1.28 56% 53% 38% +8 -4 1.10 32% 1.0 .32 7% .33 83% .27
Feb
5		 West Virginia D+ F D- F F 29% 31% 40% F+ F B+ A+ A+ D+ F B+ D- B B F A+ A+ 37% 20% 44% B A+ B F F B F A+ F
0.92 43% 27% 26% -13 -2 0.73 31% 1.6 .51 20% .18 78% .14 1.01 53% 63% 17% -8 0 0.85 29% 1.8 .53 19% .52 56% .29
Feb
8		 Central Florida A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ 29% 37% 33% F A+ C A+ A B- A- D+ B A B F+ A A- 32% 30% 38% A A A+ A+ A+ D- B+ D B
1.31 73% 37% 59% +16 -3 1.29 26% 1.6 .41 16% .36 71% .25 1.03 56% 47% 29% -1 -2 0.96 27% 0.6 .17 11% .24 80% .19
Feb
11		 Kansas St. A+ D+ F+ A+ A+ 34% 20% 46% C A+ A A+ A+ C C- A+ B- A+ B C A+ A+ 31% 27% 41% A+ A+ C+ D- D+ A+ A+ B+ A+
1.29 53% 30% 52% +9 0 1.20 42% 1.5 .65 18% .28 81% .23 0.88 56% 36% 24% -8 -1 0.84 31% 1.2 .37 23% .17 67% .11
Feb
15		 Utah C- D+ D- F F+ 47% 26% 28% C- F+ D+ A+ B A+ A+ A A+ B+ A+ F F A+ 36% 28% 36% A A+ F C- F A C+ F+ C-
1.08 55% 33% 23% -7 0 0.87 25% 1.4 .34 9% .38 77% .29 1.02 18% 54% 41% -6 -1 0.87 42% 1.0 .42 20% .30 80% .24
Feb
21		 Kansas A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 25% 27% 47% D A+ A+ F C+ C+ B C- B- A+ A- F+ A+ A+ 31% 37% 31% A+ A+ A F+ B- C+ A C+ A
1.24 77% 57% 42% +15 -2 1.29 41% 0.6 .24 15% .26 67% .17 1.01 53% 45% 24% -4 -3 0.89 26% 1.3 .34 15% .23 77% .17
Feb
24		 Texas Tech A A+ D B A- 17% 40% 43% F+ B B- F C- A+ D A+ C- D+ F C B B- 33% 17% 50% D+ C+ F F F A F F+ F
1.12 78% 33% 35% +2 -4 0.98 28% 0.7 .21 5% .22 77% .17 1.31 79% 43% 33% +7 0 1.17 48% 1.6 .76 20% .41 80% .33
Feb
28		 Oklahoma St. A A+ C+ D- B- 28% 26% 47% F C+ B+ A+ A+ A+ D B- D+ A+ C+ A+ B A+ 42% 20% 38% A A+ A+ F A A C+ F D
1.27 69% 40% 30% 0 -1 1.00 34% 1.7 .59 11% .24 73% .17 0.95 57% 10% 32% -7 0 0.88 15% 1.4 .21 19% .35 85% .29
Mar
3		 BYU A+ D A A+ A- 43% 21% 36% A A B- A+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 32% 28% 40% B A+ A+ A A+ A+ C- A- C+
1.25 52% 45% 42% +3 0 1.09 29% 1.7 .50 10% .34 73% .25 0.95 50% 57% 25% -3 -1 0.94 28% 1.0 .28 21% .33 68% .23



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 45.1 45.1 6th
7th 31.8 31.8 7th
8th 23.2 23.2 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 54.9 45.1 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 45.1% 61.6% 0.6% 61.0% 10.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.9 8.7 12.2 0.3 17.3 61.4%
9-9 54.9% 25.8% 0.5% 25.3% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.4 10.7 1.5 40.8 25.4%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 42.0% 0.5% 41.4% 10.4 58.1 41.6%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 6.4 7.7 50.0 38.5 3.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.1% 96.3% 7.9 0.9 6.5 24.1 35.2 27.8 1.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.4% 88.1% 8.7 1.3 8.9 26.4 28.5 20.0 3.0
Lose Out 23.3% 11.8% 11.2 0.2 9.1 2.5