Queens
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -3.0 216
Expected Predictive Rating -3.7 226
Pace 71.4 106
Improvement -0.2 197

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 87 B- C+ B- C B-
Defense D- 341 D D+ D D D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 206 B- 62% 90 +0.8 148
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 294 C+ 39% 137 -1.5 261
Three Pointers 47% 52 C 34% 167 +3.4 71
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.6 103 C+ +1.7 114
1st FG Attempt B- 1.07 106
Second Chance C 30.4% 184 C+ 1.08 105 C+ 0.33 135
Turnovers B- 15.7% 105
Freethrows C- 0.30 223 B- 75% 89 C 0.22 173
Total Offense B- +3.7 87

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 71 C- 60% 227 -3.2 288
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 222 C 39% 200 +0.3 158
Three Pointers 38% 260 F+ 39% 357 -1.8 276
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 103 D +1.7 114
1st FG Attempt 1.11 316 D -4.6 322
Second Chance D 33.6% 308 C 1.04 204 D+ 0.35 276
Turnovers D 14.8% 303
Freethrows D 0.35 313 D+ 74% 273 D 0.26 317
Total Defense D- -6.7 341

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.3 80 17.7 257
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 227 0.18 210
Improvement -0.5 #221 +0.3 #172

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14% 15% 12%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.2 15.6
.500 or above 81% 92% 67%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 1% 1% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 2% 3%
First Round13% 15% 10%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Lipscomb (Home) - 56.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 31 - 51 - 11
Quad 416 - 417 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 131 Winthrop L 74 - 81 32% -2  16% 0 - 1 D+ -5 D -4 D- B+ F C -1 A- F C-
 Sat, Nov 8 32 @Villanova L 74 - 94 4% -12  0% 0 - 2 C- -3 B+ +9 A+ F D- F -12 C+ F D-
 Tue, Nov 11 107 @Duquesne L 81 - 87 OT 17% -9  3% 0 - 3 C +1 D- -7 C- F C- A- +9 B- A- C+
 Sat, Nov 15 286 Sacred Heart W 81 - 64 76% +13  99% 1 - 3 B- +7 C- -1 A- C- F A- +8 B- A+ D+
 Thu, Nov 20 300 UNC Greensboro W 101 - 94 78% +8  98% 2 - 3 C- -4 A+ +20 A+ B A F -24 F F F
 Sun, Nov 23 177 @Furman L 79 - 90 31% -11  0% 2 - 4 D -9 A+ +14 C+ A A+ F -25 F B F
 Fri, Nov 28 23 @Virginia L 69 - 94 3% -18  0% 2 - 5 D+ -6 B+ +9 C- A+ C F -17 F B- D
 Wed, Dec 3 363 Gardner-Webb W 107 - 74 95% +14  98% 3 - 5 B+ +11 A+ +16 A+ A C+ D -6 A+ F F
 Fri, Dec 12 358 South Carolina St. W 102 - 78 91% +19  99% 4 - 5 B- +6 A+ +17 B- C A+ F -12 D F D+
 Sun, Dec 14 63 @Wake Forest L 73 - 111 9% -19  1% 4 - 6 F -27 C +1 B D+ B F -26 F D C-
 Tue, Dec 16 19 @Arkansas L 80 - 108 2% -20  8% 4 - 7 D+ -7 C+ +2 C+ B D- D -6 D- F A
 Mon, Dec 29 28 @Auburn L 65 - 106 4% -30  0% 4 - 8 F -23 F+ -8 F B- C F -12 F C+ C
 Thu, Jan 1 268 Eastern Kentucky W 91 - 89 72% +1  53% 5 - 8 1 - 0 D+ -7 B+ +8 C- A A+ F -15 F C+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 282 Bellarmine W 98 - 76 75% +10  87% 6 - 8 2 - 0 B+ +12 A- +9 B B- D+ C+ +2 D- A B+
 Thu, Jan 8 309 @Jacksonville W 77 - 51 61% +15  96% 7 - 8 3 - 0 A +20 B- +5 A+ F D+ A+ +17 A D+ B
 Sat, Jan 10 343 @North Florida W 89 - 82 72% +2  66% 8 - 8 4 - 0 C- -2 C +0 D+ B+ C C- -3 D+ C F
 Thu, Jan 15 245 @Florida Gulf Coast W 85 - 74 45% +6  80% 9 - 8 5 - 0 B +9 B +7 C- C+ A+ C+ +2 A+ D F
 Sat, Jan 17 331 @Stetson W 87 - 81 68% +8  98% 10 - 8 6 - 0 C- -2 B+ +8 C+ D- A F+ -9 F D+ D
 Wed, Jan 21 344 North Alabama W 87 - 62 87% +10  92% 11 - 8 7 - 0 B +10 B +6 B B D+ B +5 C+ C+ A
 Sat, Jan 24 318 @West Georgia L 66 - 74 64% -4  9% 11 - 9 7 - 1 F+ -15 F -10 F B D- D+ -5 F A- B-
 Wed, Jan 28 190 Central Arkansas L 90 - 100 57% +1  53% 11 - 10 7 - 2 F+ -15 B +7 A+ F A F -22 F D F+
 Sat, Jan 31 282 @Bellarmine L 75 - 78 54% -0  39% 11 - 11 7 - 3 D+ -7 C- -1 F B+ B+ D -6 C F C-
 Thu, Feb 5 309 Jacksonville W 93 - 84 80% +11  96% 12 - 11 8 - 3 C- -3 A +12 B+ D+ A+ F -15 F D- C-
 Sat, Feb 7 343 North Florida W 91 - 72 87% +5  68% 13 - 11 9 - 3 C+ +4 B- +4 C B- C+ C+ +0 C- B+ B-
 Wed, Feb 11 151 Austin Peay L 87 - 95 49% -5  13% 13 - 12 9 - 4 D -11 B +7 A F A F -17 F F D+
 Sat, Feb 14 188 Lipscomb W 84 - 82 56%
 Wed, Feb 18 344 @North Alabama W 82 - 76 72%
 Sat, Feb 21 318 West Georgia W 87 - 77 82%
 Wed, Feb 25 268 @Eastern Kentucky W 84 - 83 50%
 Sat, Feb 28 190 @Central Arkansas L 79 - 83 34%
Totals 16 - 14 12 - 6 -3 F +4 A C+ B- D -7 C B- C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- B- C+ C C+ 37% 15% 47% B- B- C C+ C+ B- C- B- C D- C- C F+ D 43% 19% 38% D+ D D C D+ D D D+ D
1.14 62% 39% 34% +2 +1 1.07 30% 1.1 .33 16% .30 75% .22 1.18 60% 39% 39% +4 +1 1.11 34% 1.0 .35 15% .35 74% .22
Nov
3		 Winthrop D B- A+ F D- 35% 18% 47% C D- A- C- B+ F D A+ C+ C B+ A- B A- 33% 22% 45% A- A- F+ F F C- F D- F
1.03 61% 56% 21% -5 0 0.92 38% 1.1 .41 24% .29 88% .25 1.12 47% 27% 30% -8 0 0.84 39% 1.3 .49 14% .50 81% .40
Nov
8		 Villanova B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 49% 13% 38% A+ A+ F F F D- A- A- A F F A+ A+ B 54% 14% 32% F+ C+ F B F D- F C F
1.08 64% 67% 47% +14 +2 1.33 13% 0.7 .09 23% .31 75% .23 1.38 80% 13% 22% +2 +2 1.11 56% 0.9 .51 12% .42 72% .30
Nov
11		 Duquesne D- D- B C C- 32% 21% 47% C C- C+ F F C- B C+ B A- F D- A+ B 52% 12% 37% D+ B- A C+ A- C+ F+ A+ C+
0.94 50% 42% 33% -2 -1 0.96 30% 0.4 .13 19% .39 74% .29 1.01 71% 43% 18% -1 +2 1.03 22% 1.0 .22 19% .43 57% .24
Nov
15		 Sacred Heart C- C- F A+ A 30% 8% 62% C A- C D+ C- F F A+ F A- A C- C- B- 33% 15% 53% D+ B- D A+ A+ D+ A B A
1.17 60% 25% 48% +13 +1 1.30 32% 1.0 .32 23% .15 88% .13 0.92 44% 38% 34% -4 0 0.95 30% 0.3 .09 17% .19 73% .14
Nov
20		 UNC Greensboro A+ B C+ A+ A+ 36% 9% 55% B+ A+ A D+ B A A+ A+ A+ F F+ F C F 58% 12% 30% F F C F F F F B- F
1.49 65% 40% 48% +15 +1 1.34 40% 1.0 .40 9% .37 87% .32 1.38 66% 50% 33% +6 +3 1.18 27% 1.6 .42 6% .56 67% .37
Nov
23		 Furman A+ C B+ C- B- 27% 25% 48% D C+ D- A+ A A+ B A+ A- F F F F F 41% 6% 53% D- F F A+ B F F C D-
1.25 57% 46% 32% 0 -1 1.00 24% 1.9 .45 6% .29 82% .24 1.43 81% 67% 41% +17 +2 1.39 37% 0.6 .23 6% .36 67% .24
Nov
28		 Virginia B+ D C- F+ C- 34% 22% 44% B- C- A+ A A+ C B D- C+ F F+ F F F 33% 10% 57% C+ F D A B- D F B D-
1.07 47% 36% 27% -8 0 0.84 40% 1.1 .44 17% .34 67% .22 1.46 69% 60% 50% +20 +1 1.43 45% 0.9 .42 12% .39 68% .27
Dec
3		 Gardner-Webb A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 36% 19% 45% D+ A+ D A+ A C+ C- F D- D A+ B- B A+ 40% 24% 36% B+ A+ F F F F C- F F
1.46 71% 64% 50% +21 0 1.43 31% 1.7 .52 14% .27 59% .16 1.01 27% 31% 30% -16 0 0.69 38% 1.3 .49 14% .28 89% .25
Dec
12		 South Carolina St. A+ A+ A- C B 35% 8% 58% C- B- C+ C- C A+ B B- B F A+ F F C- 50% 23% 27% F D F F+ F D+ C D C-
1.42 78% 50% 33% +7 +1 1.19 41% 1.2 .49 8% .44 76% .34 1.09 35% 50% 50% -2 +1 0.98 44% 1.2 .51 20% .31 67% .21
Dec
14		 Wake Forest C A+ F D+ B 25% 10% 65% C+ B F A+ D+ B D- C- D- F F+ F F F 25% 14% 61% C+ F D+ D+ D C- F F F
1.02 85% 20% 30% +2 0 1.06 19% 1.3 .25 18% .26 73% .19 1.55 69% 100% 52% +28 0 1.57 35% 1.3 .45 14% .39 92% .36
Dec
16		 Arkansas C+ A- A+ F B 31% 30% 39% D- C+ A+ F B D- A- B- A- D C- F F D 47% 7% 45% F D- C- F F A F F+ F
1.00 65% 50% 19% -3 -2 0.93 41% 1.0 .41 21% .32 70% .22 1.36 65% 50% 44% +11 +2 1.29 36% 1.9 .68 18% .41 81% .34
Dec
29		 Auburn F+ C F F F 55% 18% 27% A- F D+ A+ B- C A+ B A+ F F+ A+ F F 38% 13% 48% C F D B+ C+ C F+ B+ D+
0.88 56% 22% 8% -15 +2 0.76 25% 1.3 .33 19% .45 78% .35 1.43 70% 14% 60% +20 +1 1.44 43% 0.9 .40 14% .47 70% .33
Jan
1		 Eastern Kentucky B+ A+ F F D 53% 8% 40% A+ C- C- A+ A A+ A+ B A+ F C+ C- F F 38% 9% 53% F F A+ F C+ F F+ C+ D-
1.30 75% 25% 24% +2 +3 1.11 32% 1.5 .48 9% .49 77% .38 1.27 55% 40% 43% +6 +1 1.17 23% 1.5 .34 7% .32 71% .23
Jan
3		 Bellarmine A- A+ A+ B+ B 16% 2% 82% B B C B+ B- D+ F F F C+ D+ A+ F D 50% 9% 41% D- D- A+ B- A B+ F A+ F+
1.37 78% 100% 40% +12 +1 1.28 35% 1.3 .46 17% .22 62% .13 1.06 65% 0% 47% +9 +2 1.24 10% 1.0 .10 20% .43 68% .30
Jan
8		 Jacksonville B- D+ A+ A+ A 44% 4% 52% A A+ D F F D+ D- F F A+ A A A A+ 48% 16% 36% F+ A D C D+ B F A+ B-
1.18 57% 50% 52% +14 +2 1.35 25% 0.4 .11 17% .31 59% .18 0.78 43% 29% 25% -14 +1 0.77 32% 1.0 .32 20% .38 45% .17
Jan
10		 North Florida C B+ F D- D- 45% 5% 49% A- D+ C A B+ C A B+ A+ C- F D B- D 38% 15% 47% C- D+ B- D- C F B D B-
1.23 68% 0% 30% -1 +2 1.05 38% 1.4 .54 12% .38 75% .28 1.13 70% 44% 32% +4 +1 1.12 23% 1.3 .29 12% .19 83% .16
Jan
15		 Florida Gulf Coast B C+ A+ F+ D 40% 8% 53% B+ C- C B- C+ A+ A B A C+ B+ C A+ A+ 42% 25% 32% D A+ C+ F D F F+ F F
1.20 62% 50% 29% -2 +2 1.02 31% 1.1 .33 11% .45 79% .35 1.04 52% 40% 16% -11 0 0.80 29% 1.3 .36 10% .34 100% .34
Jan
17		 Stetson B+ A+ A+ F C 38% 9% 54% B C+ B- F D- A B- A- B F+ F+ B+ F F 43% 20% 37% D F F A- D+ D F A F
1.25 81% 60% 27% +5 +1 1.14 35% 0.8 .29 10% .30 79% .24 1.16 67% 30% 39% +5 0 1.12 34% 0.8 .29 16% .58 62% .36
Jan
21		 North Alabama B A- A+ F B- 58% 11% 31% A- B A D B D+ A+ A+ A+ B C+ A+ A B 54% 13% 33% F C+ D- A C+ A F D- F
1.29 69% 80% 21% +5 +3 1.18 46% 1.1 .50 16% .44 96% .42 0.92 52% 17% 27% -10 +2 0.87 34% 0.8 .29 24% .43 73% .31
Jan
24		 West Georgia F F F C+ F 56% 8% 35% B+ F B- B- B D- D+ F F+ D+ D D F F 30% 38% 32% B F F A+ A- B- F A F+
0.99 44% 25% 35% -8 +3 0.92 35% 1.1 .38 18% .31 59% .18 1.11 60% 42% 50% +10 -3 1.16 37% 0.6 .23 18% .40 64% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Central Arkansas B A+ A+ A+ A+ 23% 9% 68% C- A+ F B- F A B+ C- B F F F F F 29% 20% 51% B F B+ F D F+ F F F
1.22 75% 60% 44% +17 0 1.36 17% 1.2 .20 15% .33 71% .24 1.35 80% 50% 42% +15 -1 1.31 22% 1.5 .33 12% .52 82% .43
Jan
31		 Bellarmine C- C- D+ D+ F 25% 22% 53% D F C+ A B+ B+ D- F F D C F D- D+ 39% 22% 39% A- C F F F C- D F F
1.18 62% 36% 33% 0 -1 1.00 36% 1.4 .50 13% .25 57% .14 1.23 61% 50% 39% +7 0 1.15 31% 1.5 .46 16% .34 89% .30
Feb
5		 Jacksonville A A F A+ A- 43% 26% 30% D+ B+ D C+ D+ A+ B- B- B- F C+ F F F 38% 27% 36% B F B+ F D- C- F F F
1.32 74% 29% 50% +12 0 1.25 25% 1.0 .25 7% .40 73% .29 1.19 53% 50% 44% +7 -1 1.13 24% 1.5 .36 17% .50 86% .43
Feb
7		 North Florida B- A B+ D C 33% 15% 53% C- C B- C+ B- C+ D+ A+ B+ C+ B+ A+ F D+ 26% 19% 55% A- C- C+ A+ B+ B- F A- F
1.32 72% 50% 31% +4 0 1.11 41% 1.2 .50 12% .25 100% .25 1.04 50% 11% 46% +3 -1 1.06 24% 0.9 .21 20% .45 72% .33
Feb
11		 Austin Peay B B A A+ A 47% 16% 37% B A F+ F F A A+ F+ A+ F F F A F 52% 25% 23% D+ F F+ F F D+ F F F
1.18 67% 50% 42% +11 +1 1.25 22% 0.4 .08 14% .53 62% .33 1.29 68% 50% 27% +6 0 1.15 33% 1.5 .50 15% .51 81% .41



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 1.3 9.6 5.6 16.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 5.0 21.8 14.8 0.5 42.3 3rd
4th 0.6 7.8 19.1 11.9 0.4 39.8 4th
5th 0.4 0.2 0.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 1.1 8.2 24.1 35.0 25.0 6.7 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 9.3% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.3
13-5 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 6.7% 20.5% 20.5% 14.4 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.0 5.4
13-5 25.0% 16.7% 16.7% 15.1 0.0 0.5 2.5 1.2 20.8
12-6 35.0% 13.4% 13.4% 15.5 0.1 2.0 2.6 30.3
11-7 24.1% 11.6% 11.6% 15.8 0.6 2.2 21.3
10-8 8.2% 8.7% 8.7% 15.9 0.1 0.7 7.4
9-9 1.1% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.1 1.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 13.8% 13.8% 0.0% 15.4 86.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.4% 100.0% 14.4 5.1 52.3 42.2 0.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.1%
Lose Out 0.6%