Queens
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#196
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#228
Pace70.6#156
Improvement+0.5#156

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#101
First Shot+3.6#76
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#210
Layup/Dunks-0.3#183
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#231
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#41
Freethrows-0.6#217
Improvement+3.8#5

Defense
Total Defense-5.3#338
First Shot-4.9#333
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#218
Layups/Dunks-6.6#352
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#236
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#85
Freethrows-0.5#218
Improvement-3.4#355
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.8% 14.3% 10.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 58.9% 61.7% 35.5%
.500 or above in Conference 85.2% 86.2% 76.8%
Conference Champion 20.0% 20.9% 12.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.8% 1.5%
First Four1.9% 1.9% 2.3%
First Round12.9% 13.4% 9.2%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina St. (Home) - 89.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 32 - 52 - 11
Quad 415 - 517 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 118 Winthrop L 74-81 30%     0 - 1 -3.8 -2.6 -1.1
  Sat, Nov 8 38 @Villanova L 74-94 6%     0 - 2 -4.4 +9.6 -14.5
  Tue, Nov 11 133 @Duquesne L 81-87 OT 25%     0 - 3 -1.2 -4.7 +4.7
  Sat, Nov 15 256 Sacred Heart W 81-64 72%     1 - 3 +8.8 +1.7 +7.2
  Thu, Nov 20 281 UNC Greensboro W 101-94 76%     2 - 3 -2.5 +25.3 -27.6
  Sun, Nov 23 148 @Furman L 79-90 28%     2 - 4 -7.4 +15.7 -24.3
  Fri, Nov 28 23 @Virginia L 69-94 4%     2 - 5 -7.1 +8.4 -17.7
  Wed, Dec 3 359 Gardner-Webb W 107-74 91%     3 - 5 +15.8 +20.7 -6.4
  Fri, Dec 12 349 South Carolina St. W 85-72 89%    
  Sun, Dec 14 50 @Wake Forest L 73-89 7%    
  Tue, Dec 16 20 @Arkansas L 71-91 3%    
  Mon, Dec 29 26 @Auburn L 71-91 3%    
  Thu, Jan 1 269 Eastern Kentucky W 85-79 72%    
  Sat, Jan 3 292 Bellarmine W 84-76 77%    
  Thu, Jan 8 291 @Jacksonville W 76-74 57%    
  Sat, Jan 10 344 @North Florida W 89-83 71%    
  Thu, Jan 15 174 @Florida Gulf Coast L 80-84 36%    
  Sat, Jan 17 347 @Stetson W 81-74 73%    
  Wed, Jan 21 200 North Alabama W 78-75 61%    
  Sat, Jan 24 318 @West Georgia W 80-76 63%    
  Wed, Jan 28 279 Central Arkansas W 81-74 73%    
  Sat, Jan 31 292 @Bellarmine W 81-79 57%    
  Thu, Feb 5 291 Jacksonville W 79-71 76%    
  Sat, Feb 7 344 North Florida W 92-80 86%    
  Wed, Feb 11 180 Austin Peay W 78-76 58%    
  Sat, Feb 14 161 Lipscomb W 79-78 55%    
  Wed, Feb 18 200 @North Alabama L 75-78 40%    
  Sat, Feb 21 318 West Georgia W 83-73 80%    
  Wed, Feb 25 269 @Eastern Kentucky W 83-82 51%    
  Sat, Feb 28 279 @Central Arkansas W 78-77 53%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.8 5.2 5.8 3.7 1.6 0.3 20.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 4.2 6.5 4.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 17.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.1 6.2 3.3 0.7 0.0 15.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.7 2.8 0.4 0.0 12.5 4th
5th 0.2 2.2 5.1 2.5 0.3 0.0 10.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.0 2.4 0.3 0.0 8.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.6 2.1 0.4 5.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.9 0.4 0.0 4.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.4 0.4 0.0 3.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.3 4.2 6.4 9.1 11.7 13.6 14.2 13.0 10.4 7.4 3.9 1.6 0.3 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 99.8% 1.6    1.5 0.0
16-2 94.4% 3.7    3.1 0.5 0.0
15-3 78.7% 5.8    3.9 1.7 0.2
14-4 50.0% 5.2    2.5 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 21.4% 2.8    0.7 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0
12-6 4.5% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 20.0% 20.0 12.1 5.8 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 45.3% 45.3% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
17-1 1.6% 37.4% 37.4% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0
16-2 3.9% 35.6% 35.6% 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.0 2.5
15-3 7.4% 27.9% 27.9% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.1 5.3
14-4 10.4% 22.6% 22.6% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.2 8.1
13-5 13.0% 17.8% 17.8% 15.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 0.6 10.7
12-6 14.2% 13.8% 13.8% 15.3 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.8 12.2
11-7 13.6% 10.4% 10.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.9 12.2
10-8 11.7% 7.1% 7.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 10.9
9-9 9.1% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4 8.7
8-10 6.4% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.2 6.2
7-11 4.2% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 4.1
6-12 2.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 2.3
5-13 1.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.1
4-14 0.5% 0.5
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 13.8% 13.8% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.2 5.5 4.1 86.2 0.0%