Queens
Atlantic Sun
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#210
Expected Predictive Rating+1.8#138
Pace74.0#57
Improvement+6.7#7

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#184
First Shot+0.1#173
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#198
Layup/Dunks+1.9#111
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#362
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#72
Freethrows-0.8#236
Improvement+4.3#13

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#245
First Shot+0.0#179
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#337
Layups/Dunks-3.2#300
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#117
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#102
Freethrows+0.6#138
Improvement+2.3#63
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.0% 8.0% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.5 14.8
.500 or above 95.8% 98.0% 90.9%
.500 or above in Conference 98.6% 99.5% 96.8%
Conference Champion 12.8% 16.3% 5.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round6.9% 7.9% 4.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Florida (Home) - 69.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 33 - 44 - 9
Quad 415 - 318 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 341   Western Carolina W 67-54 86%     1 - 0 -1.3 -17.4 +14.7
  Nov 12, 2024 70   @ Utah L 65-96 11%     1 - 1 -20.2 -7.4 -10.2
  Nov 13, 2024 43   @ BYU L 55-99 7%     1 - 2 -29.8 -14.9 -12.7
  Nov 19, 2024 122   @ Appalachian St. L 53-65 23%     1 - 3 -6.6 -10.2 +2.6
  Nov 23, 2024 337   South Carolina Upstate W 98-74 80%     2 - 3 +12.5 +13.1 -2.2
  Nov 24, 2024 147   @ East Tennessee St. L 67-82 27%     2 - 4 -11.1 -2.9 -8.5
  Dec 03, 2024 198   Winthrop L 78-86 57%     2 - 5 -12.4 -5.0 -6.7
  Dec 07, 2024 329   @ VMI W 81-78 69%     3 - 5 -4.6 +7.2 -11.7
  Dec 14, 2024 241   @ Gardner-Webb W 85-83 47%     4 - 5 +0.4 +13.4 -13.0
  Dec 18, 2024 232   Mercer W 73-66 66%     5 - 5 +0.2 -8.8 +8.3
  Dec 21, 2024 19   @ Mississippi L 62-80 4%     5 - 6 +0.3 -2.0 +2.5
  Jan 02, 2025 348   Stetson W 96-87 87%     6 - 6 1 - 0 -5.9 +5.3 -11.9
  Jan 04, 2025 168   Florida Gulf Coast W 92-83 52%     7 - 6 2 - 0 +5.9 +18.7 -12.6
  Jan 09, 2025 92   @ Lipscomb W 75-73 15%     8 - 6 3 - 0 +10.9 +14.3 -3.2
  Jan 11, 2025 300   @ Austin Peay W 67-60 60%     9 - 6 4 - 0 +2.0 -1.9 +4.3
  Jan 16, 2025 348   @ Stetson W 95-60 75%     10 - 6 5 - 0 +25.6 +11.0 +13.1
  Jan 18, 2025 168   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 47-60 32%     10 - 7 5 - 1 -10.6 -16.3 +3.4
  Jan 23, 2025 246   North Florida W 89-84 69%    
  Jan 25, 2025 184   Jacksonville W 73-72 56%    
  Jan 29, 2025 163   North Alabama W 78-77 51%    
  Feb 01, 2025 349   West Georgia W 83-70 89%    
  Feb 05, 2025 338   @ Central Arkansas W 78-72 71%    
  Feb 08, 2025 92   Lipscomb L 73-79 31%    
  Feb 13, 2025 353   @ Bellarmine W 81-73 78%    
  Feb 15, 2025 247   @ Eastern Kentucky L 79-80 47%    
  Feb 18, 2025 338   Central Arkansas W 81-69 86%    
  Feb 20, 2025 300   Austin Peay W 75-67 77%    
  Feb 24, 2025 349   @ West Georgia W 80-73 75%    
  Feb 26, 2025 163   @ North Alabama L 75-80 30%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 3.1 5.4 3.5 0.5 12.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 6.0 10.1 4.2 0.3 21.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 6.5 10.8 4.3 0.2 22.9 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 5.3 9.6 3.8 0.2 19.8 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 4.5 6.9 3.4 0.3 16.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.2 0.7 0.0 5.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 1.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.3 7.7 14.0 20.7 21.2 17.6 9.7 3.8 0.5 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5
16-2 91.3% 3.5    2.5 0.9 0.1
15-3 55.2% 5.4    2.0 2.8 0.6 0.0
14-4 17.6% 3.1    0.4 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.0
13-5 1.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.8% 12.8 5.3 5.2 1.8 0.4 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.5% 26.4% 26.4% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.4
16-2 3.8% 20.5% 20.5% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 3.0
15-3 9.7% 11.8% 11.8% 14.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 8.6
14-4 17.6% 9.7% 9.7% 14.5 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.1 15.9
13-5 21.2% 7.0% 7.0% 14.8 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.1 19.7
12-6 20.7% 4.9% 4.9% 15.1 0.2 0.6 0.2 19.7
11-7 14.0% 3.6% 3.6% 15.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 13.5
10-8 7.7% 2.3% 2.3% 15.4 0.1 0.1 7.6
9-9 3.3% 1.2% 1.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 3.3
8-10 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1
7-11 0.2% 0.2
6-12 0.0% 0.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 14.5 0.1 0.8 2.4 3.1 0.7 93.0 0.0%